Aamara Capital21 Oct 2026 · For internal use only

Crizac Ltd

NSE: CRIZAC · BSE: 544439 · ISIN INE0S4R01014 · B2B international student recruitment platform
CMP (intraday)Rs 145.70
Mkt CapRs 2,549 cr
P/E12.07x
52W H/LRs 333 / 145

Snapshot

Data as of 21 Oct 2026. Price is the NSE live print at 15:17 IST (an intraday print, not the close; the 15:30 close was not captured). Latest reported period: Q1 FY27 (quarter to 30 Jun 2026; board approved 3 Aug 2026, call 4 Aug 2026). Q2 FY27 results are not out and no board-meeting date has been announced (NSE announcements and board-meeting feeds pulled about 15:15 IST on 21 Oct 2026; latest filing is the 14 Oct 2026 Partner Growth Program press release; latest board-meeting record is still 3 Aug 2026). SEBI deadline for Q2 results: 14 Nov 2026 [Est.]. Where the six earlier research files conflict with the primary-document gap-fill (NSE archives, RHP, FY26 annual report, five concall transcripts), the primary documents are used.

Market dataValue
CMP (NSE LTP, 21 Oct 2026, 15:17 IST)Rs 145.70 intraday print [Fact] (indicative close Rs 145.27)
Previous close (19 Oct 2026; 20 Oct exchange holiday)Rs 151.39; day change -3.76% (Rs -5.69)
Day rangeOpen Rs 151.80, high Rs 152.09, low Rs 145.00 (hit 15:16)
52-week lowRs 145.00, a new 52-week low set 21 Oct 2026
52-week highRs 333 on 27 Oct 2025 (NSE)
Market capRs 2,549 cr (17,49,82,500 shares at the LTP)
P/E (NSE)12.07x
Volume / delivery1.85 lakh shares, 53.7% delivery, traded value Rs 2.73 cr
Price band+/-10%
Free-float market cap (NSE ffmc)Rs 511 cr (free float about 20%)
IPO price / listing priceRs 245 / about Rs 280-281 (9 Jul 2025)
vs IPO price-40.5% [Est.] (145.70 / 245 - 1)
Listed9 Jul 2025, NSE and BSE
Index membershipNot Available: no index constituent listing found on the NSE quote page or in any of the seven research files
Company overviewDetail
Legal name / CINCrizac Limited; L80903WB2011PLC156614
HQWing A, 3rd Floor, Constantia Building, 11 Dr UN Brahmachari Street, Kolkata; London office at 24 Great Chapel Street, Soho
Incorporated3 Jan 2011 as GA Educational Services Pvt Ltd (ROC Kolkata); renamed Crizac in 2024
Employees356 permanent (standalone BRSR, 31 Mar 2026), down from 368 at 31 Mar 2025 (RHP) [Fact]
PromotersDr Vikash Agarwal (founder, MD), Manish Agarwal (WTD and CFO), Pinky Agarwal; promoter group 79.94%
ChairChristopher Flood Nagle (non-executive, non-independent) since 3-4 Aug 2026
SectorEducation services; B2B student recruitment outsourcing (single operating segment)
Statutory auditorSinghi & Co (FRN 302049E); internal auditor Grant Thornton Bharat LLP from 25 May 2026
Registrar / BRLMsMUFG Intime / Equirus Capital and Anand Rathi Advisors
Shareholders67,543 (Sep 2026) vs 2,07,716 at IPO (Jun 2025)
Crizac is a Kolkata-based business-to-business outsourcing platform for university student recruitment. Independent education counsellors ("counselling partners", about 17,400 registered, 4,032 active in Q1 FY27) upload student applications to Crizac's portal; Crizac screens documents, routes applications to about 450+ partner universities and tracks them to enrolment. Universities pay Crizac a commission on enrolled students and Crizac pays most of it on to the agent (cost of services was 67.5% of FY26 revenue). It owns no plants and has only about Rs 1.5 cr of borrowings. About 97% of FY26 revenue (98.7% in Q1 FY27) came from the UK. The IPO in July 2025 was a pure Rs 860 cr offer for sale by two promoters; the company received nothing.

Quick Verdict Scorecard

BusinessMediumasset-light, 97% UK
ManagementMediumleaning weak: walk-backs, RPTs
FinancialStrongnet cash Rs 570 cr, ROCE 48.6%
ValuationAttractive12.07x P/E, yield 5.5%, risk-priced
OverallNeutralverdict TRACK, see Tab 13

Headline KPIs (FY26, consolidated)

Revenue from ops FY26Rs 1,042.2 cr+22.7% YoY; Q1 FY27 -4.0%
PAT FY26Rs 219.1 cr+41.4%; EPS Rs 12.52
EBITDA margin FY2627.1%Rs 282.4 cr; Q1 FY27 29.8%
RoE / RoCE (company-quoted)37.2% / 48.6%Q1 FY27 annualised 28.8% / 40.3%
Valuation snapshot at Rs 145.70ValueBasis
Net cash (30 Jun 2026)Rs 569.5 crQ1 FY27 deck; borrowings Rs 1.5 cr
Net cash / market cap22.4%Rs 570 / 2,549 [Est.]
Enterprise valueRs 1,979 cr2,549 - 570 [Est.]
EV / TTM EBITDA (Rs 277.5 cr)7.1x[Est.]
Dividend yield5.5%Rs 8 interim paid 13 Feb 2026 / 145.70 [Est.]
FY26 FCF yield5.0%Rs 127 cr / 2,549 [Est.]
Open status itemsStatus
Q2 FY27 resultsNot out; no board-meeting intimation; statutory deadline 14 Nov 2026 [Est.]; trading window closed 25 Sep 2026 [Fact]. Precedent: the Q2 FY26 intimation came on 10 Oct 2025 for a 16 Oct meeting and the Q1 FY27 intimation on 29 Jul 2026 for 3 Aug, so with none filed by 21 Oct the meeting is unlikely before about 24-26 Oct [Est.]. Q2 FY26 is a tough base (39% operating margin, PAT +139%), so Q2 FY27 PAT is likely down year on year [Est.]
Cause of the 21 Oct fallNot found. No filing since 14 Oct; no catalyst article found. Not stated as fact anywhere in this report
Promoter lock-in expiryAbout 7 Jan 2027 [Est.]
Inova and Edument closingsNo completion filing found by 21 Oct
Nagle and Flood 1 LtdUnverified name and address inference; open question only (Tab 2, Tab 7)

Data freshness: prices 21 Oct 2026 15:17 IST; financials to Q1 FY27 (30 Jun 2026); shareholding Sep 2026 quarter (Upstox, retrieved 21 Oct 2026).

Analyst Notes

[Analyst View] Aamara Capital, 21 Oct 2026

What happened. Crizac is a one-year story that has run from IPO euphoria to a show-me stock. It listed at about Rs 281 on 9 Jul 2025, touched a post-listing peak near Rs 388 in September 2025 (secondary-sourced, outside today's 52-week window) and printed Rs 145.70 intraday today, a new 52-week low of Rs 145.00 and 40.5% below the Rs 245 issue price. Revenue growth went from +28% (Q3 FY26) to +15% (Q4) to -4.0% (Q1 FY27), the first year-on-year decline since listing. Management then withdrew the 15-17% FY27 growth remark it made on 25 May and now says FY27 will be "broadly in line with FY26". Q2 results are not out and no board date exists. The cause of today's 3.8% fall is not known; no filing explains it and I will not guess.

What the market is pricing. At 12.07x P/E (NSE), about 7.1x EV/TTM EBITDA, a 5.5% yield and net cash of Rs 570 cr (22% of the Rs 2,549 cr market cap), the price already assumes no growth and a structural discount for single-country exposure. Reported ROCE of 48.6% and 27% EBITDA margins are not what a business expecting a profit collapse trades on. The market is separating "cheap on trailing numbers" from "what is the sustainable earnings base if UK visa volumes keep shrinking": UK study visas fell from 446,029 (FY24) to 391,572 (FY26) while Crizac's share of them rose from 3.5% to 6.0%. That is share gain in a shrinking pool.

What tempers the cheapness. First, concentration is rising, not falling: UK was about 95% of FY25 revenue, 97.0% in FY26 and 98.7% in Q1 FY27, and the target "UK below 60%" has moved from two years to three. Second, guidance credibility: FY26 growth guided at about 30% (Aug 2025) came in at 22.7%; the long-term range slid from 20-25% to 15-17% to flat within about 12 months. Management's own defence, "we have not given any guidance", is hard to square with the transcript of 25 May. Third, institutions are leaving: FII holding fell from 2.48% (Dec 2025) to 1.17% (Sep 2026) and mutual funds to 0.35%, on a free float of about 20%.

Related parties are the part the first-pass research missed. The FY26 annual report confirms that the Rs 56.74 cr cash outflow cited on the Q4 call ("around INR 55 crores") was the last instalment of the GBP 7.15 mn (Rs 74.88 cr) break fee to Crizac Informatics Ltd UK. It was expensed in FY24, so FY26 profit was not hit, only operating cash flow. The Rs 103.56 cr software bought in Dec 2023 came from Crizac Technologies Pvt Ltd, which is promoter-family controlled, and Crizac Ltd still carries a Rs 30.99 cr FVOCI stake in that vendor (Rs 38.36 cr a year earlier). Standalone revenue is 84% intercompany fees from the UK subsidiary, which is why standalone Q1 PBT rose 27.4% while consolidated PBT rose 4.3%. Only consolidated numbers carry information.

The chair question I cannot close. Christopher Flood Nagle, 32, was UK CEO from 21 Mar 2024, received 15,00,000 of the 25,90,000 pre-IPO options (58%), left the UK CEO role on 2 Aug 2026 and became non-independent chair of the listed parent on 3-4 Aug. The break-fee counterparty is owned 38.73% by Flood 1 Ltd, whose London address (24 Great Chapel Street) matches the company's London office. [Est.] That is a name-and-address coincidence only. Companies House PSC data was not fetched. Until it is, this is an open question and nothing more.

What would change the view. (1) The Q2 print: management has pre-flagged it as weak, so the tell is not the revenue decline but whether enrolments, not just applications, hold up and EBITDA margin stays in 25-27%. (2) Evidence that H2, which is 60-65% of revenue, can deliver the "pent-up demand" recovery (H2 was about 64% of FY26 revenue, Rs 671 cr of Rs 1,042 cr; if H1 is -4% it needs only about +2% in H2 to reach flat for the year, and about +4-6% if Q2 falls 10-20% [Est.], so "flat" is not a demanding bar and the real test is whether Q3-Q4 hold). (3) A Companies House answer on Flood 1 Ltd. (4) The promoter lock-in expiry, about 7 Jan 2027 [Est.], and the minimum-public-shareholding path (promoters at 79.94% against a 75% ceiling). (5) Any move by universities on commission slabs ahead of the UK international student levy (GBP 925 a student from 1 Aug 2028).

Where I land. The balance sheet and cash generation make this an asset the portfolio can afford to wait on. The earnings base, related-party structure and the quality of guidance do not yet justify committing capital ahead of a weak Q2 and an unexplained slide. The verdict in Tab 13 is a watching brief with explicit triggers.

What the primary documents corrected in the earlier research files

Earlier claimCorrected fact (primary source)
Rs 55 cr termination fee "implausible"; direction unknownConfirmed: Rs 56.74 cr cash paid in FY26 to Crizac Informatics Ltd UK, final instalment of GBP 7.15 mn break fee expensed in FY24 (AR note 45.2; Q4 FY26 call p6)
StudiesPlanet 100% owned51% via Crizac Ltd UK on 23 Oct 2025 for Rs 4.44 cr; no call or put on the other 49% disclosed
Standalone PAT +27.4%27.4% is standalone PBT; standalone PAT +28.8% (Rs 52.9 cr vs Rs 41.0 cr)
Headcount rising356 permanent employees (BRSR, 31 Mar 2026) vs 368 at 31 Mar 2025
FY27 growth guide 15-20% / 20-25%15-17% said on 25 May; then "we have not given any guidance"; now flat
Top-10 universities 70.56% of FY25 revenueRHP: Rs 5,120.57 mn = 60.28% of FY25 revenue (70.71% FY24, 72.90% FY23); 70.56% appears in aggregator notes only
Two Rs 8 dividendsOne interim dividend of Rs 8 (Rs 139.99 cr), paid 13 Feb 2026; no final in the AR
Dividend policy 2 years, on PAT3 financial years from listing (FY26-FY28), on standalone net profit
Q1 FY27 revenue +4% in constant currencyManagement: constant-currency de-growth of about 4%
Q2 results "due 2 Dec" / "13 Nov"No date announced; deadline 14 Nov 2026 [Est.]
52-week high Rs 359 / Rs 387.95NSE 52-week high Rs 333 (27 Oct 2025). The Rs 387.95 post-listing peak (Sep 2025) predates the 52-week window

Open questions

QuestionWhy it mattersWhere searched
Beneficial owners of Flood 1 Ltd, Quadrange UK Holdings Ltd, Buchanan Group LtdBreak-fee counterparty; Nagle chairs the listed company [Est.]RHP risk factor 29; Graphlytic; Companies House PSC not fetched
What drove the 21 Oct 2026 fallSets whether it is information or driftNSE filings feed, web search; Zeebiz headline seen but paywalled and undated
Inova and Edument completionCapital deployment, disclosure hygieneNSE announcements to 21 Oct; no filing
Per-agent commission %, per-university revenuePricing powerRHP, AR, five transcripts: not disclosed
Break-fee tranche reconciliation (GBP 5.0 mn vs Rs 215.41 mn paid FY25)RHP wording inconsistentRHP, AR note 45.2
Legal basis of the "two more years" minimum public shareholding deadlineOverhang timingNot checked against SCRR Rule 19A

Business Deep-Dive

Crizac is an asset-light B2B intermediary. It has no plants, no raw materials and no unit capacity; manufacturing certifications (IATF, ISO 13485, AS9100) are not relevant. Sources: RHP, FY26 annual report, five concall transcripts, Q1 FY27 deck, PIE News and aggregator notes where flagged.

What it does, service by service

ServiceWhat it isStatus / economics
Agent portal (crizac.com)Independent counselling partners register, upload student profiles, search courses across partner universities, submit applications and track statusCore; 17,400 registered, 4,032 active in Q1 FY27 (5,389 active in FY26)
Application processing and screeningCrizac staff check eligibility and documents, filter and route applications; manage offers, conditions, CAS/confirmation and enrolment trackingCore; 3.94 lakh applications in FY26 (+43%); Q1 FY27 1.04 lakh (-6.2%)
University-side outsourced recruitmentManaged admissions pipeline for institutions in UK, Ireland, Canada, Australia, NZ (Netherlands via Inova)Universities pay slab/bonus-linked commission on enrolled students
B2C counselling (StudiesPlanet.com, Global Tree Careers)Direct-to-student counselling and immigration servicesSmall; Global Tree contributed Rs 5.83 cr revenue and about Rs 0.29 cr PBT Jan-Mar 2026
ForeignAdmits / Edument (AI-led education financing, visa prep)Stake of about 36.80% fully diluted via CCPS/CCDs for Rs 1.2373 crNot complete at last disclosure
EduMentorAI student-course matching platform; USD 2.5 mn over five years (Mar 2026)Commitment
ETS India alliance (13 Jul 2026)Authorised TOEFL/GRE test-prep content for agent networkCommercial tie-up, not a certification
Planned ancillariesAccommodation (distributor; GBP 100-300 per student, Rs 10-30k), loans (0.8-2% of loan via NBFC/banks), visa support, forex, visa insuranceManagement: 1-1.5% of revenue and 2-5% of EBITDA over time (the two figures are hard to reconcile; 2-5% not underwritten)
Domestic India admissionsExploredNot commercially viable yet

How it earns and the process

Revenue model. "Turnover represents commission received from universities... the cost of commission payable to the agents... is recognised in the same year." Universities pay Crizac first and Crizac pays agents later (in pounds), which gives a payables float. Payments can be reversed if a student drops out early (RHP risk). Gross margin is guided at 28-30%. Management: "67% to 70% of our expenses, agent commission, we pay directly to the agent in pounds." [Fact] Per-agent commission rates are not disclosed anywhere read.

Workflow. Agent lead, platform application, Crizac screening and document verification, submission to university, offer and acceptance, visa (student/agent), enrolment or census date, commission invoiced to university, agent share paid. Seasonality follows UK intakes: Q3 is about 30% and Q4 about 35% of annual revenue; Q1 and Q2 are troughs; visibility is "roughly between 6 to 9 months". Conversion is about 10% of unique applicants (about 47,000 unique applicants in Q1 FY27).

Operating metrics

MetricFY25FY26Q1 FY27
Applications processed~2.76 lakh (derived)3.94 lakh (+43%)1.04 lakh (-6.2% YoY)
Active agents / counselling partners3,948 (39+ countries)5,389 (+36.5%)4,032 (+2.1% YoY)
Registered agents10,36213,500+ (Oct 2025 PR)~17,400
Enrolments~21,700 [Est.]24,697 (+13.8%)4,751 (+15.0%)
Partner institutions173250+ (Oct 2025); 450+ (deck)110 revenue-generating universities
Revenue per enrolment (computed)n/a~Rs 4.22 lakh~Rs 4.23 lakh
Unique applicantsn/an/a~47,488

The "7.11 lakh applications" for FY25 in IPO notes is a cumulative FY23-25 figure, not annual. An aggregator claim of "1000+ partner universities" is unreliable. Network: 450+ universities, 12 destinations, 85+ source countries, on-ground presence in 11 countries; management says Crizac represents more than 95 of about 100 UK commercial universities.

Headcount (FY26 BRSR)

FunctionPermanent employees (31 Mar 2026)
Agent Relations68
Application Management114
University Relations88
Technology32
Senior Management23
Accounts / Compliance / HR15
Support16
Total356

Headcount contradiction

356 at 31 Mar 2026 (standalone BRSR) vs 368 employees plus 12 consultants at 31 Mar 2025 (RHP) and 28 at 1 Apr 2022. The annual report text says headcount includes staff "added through acquisitions" (count blanked in the extraction). Q1 FY27 employee cost nonetheless rose to Rs 10.1 cr from Rs 5.5 cr (+84%), described as a deliberate technology and talent step-up. [Fact]

Facilities and offices (RHP property table, June 2025)

LocationUseTenure
Wing A, 3rd Floor, Constantia Building, 11 Dr UN Brahmachari Street, KolkataRegistered and corporate officeLease term shown "up to 2092"; lessor shown as GA Solutions Pvt Ltd (extraction garbled)
Second Kolkata floorOfficeRented from Altis Projects LLP, a related party (rent Rs 1.44 cr FY26 vs Rs 0.60 cr FY25; Rs 0.72 cr deposit FY25)
24 Great Chapel Street, Soho, LondonUK office and registered office of Crizac Ltd UKRented from Oxford House College Training Ltd; validity 31 Dec 2025; renewal not confirmed [Est.]
HyderabadCo-working (VCollab)Rented
SheffieldRegistered office of Inova Consultancy LtdAcquired entity
DubaiUCOL FZE (free-zone, wholly owned)Small
Cameroon, China, Ghana, KenyaConsultants / small presence (Sep 2024 snapshot)Not Available: areas and leases not disclosed in texts read

Certifications, IP, moat

ItemFinding
ISO 27001, SOC 2 or similarNot Available: none found in the RHP or AR text; AR mentions information-security investment and data-privacy compliance generically
UK Agent Quality FrameworkCited as a compliance driver (not a certification)
Patents / trademarksNone seen; CRIZAC word-mark applications reported objected in India and the logo not trademarked (DSIJ, secondary)
TechnologyProprietary cloud portal; "central application management system" bought from Crizac Technologies for Rs 103.56 cr (Dec 2023); AI matching being added via EduMentor and ForeignAdmits
USP / moat [Analyst View]Scale (about 13% of Indian students recruited to UK HE in 2023 per Frost & Sullivan in the RHP; 6% of all UK study visas in FY26), agent network, university panel inclusion and compliance record. Moat is narrow and policy-contingent (Tab 9)

Named universities and partners (RHP list, not a ranking)

SourceNames
RHPBirmingham, Surrey, Sunderland, Nottingham Trent, Greenwich, West London, Portsmouth, De Montfort, Glasgow Caledonian, Aston, Dundee, Dundalk IT, Coventry, Swansea
Management (calls)King's College London, Manchester, Leeds, Birmingham
IPO notesBirmingham, Surrey, Nottingham Trent, Coventry; 20+ top partners associated more than 5 years

Individual revenue shares by university are Not Available (RHP, AR and calls searched). The Q1 FY27 investor presentation (CRIZAC0301_04082026120504) was downloaded but its university table was not mined.

Segment Analysis

Single operating segment

Crizac reports one operating segment (student recruitment services). No segment EBITDA exists. The meaningful cuts are destination geography, source market and channel. [Fact]

Revenue by destination

DestinationFY25FY26Q1 FY27
UK~95% (Rs 808 cr of Rs 849 cr)97.0%98.7%
Irelandn/a2.0%0.9%
Dubain/a0.4%Dubai/other 0.4%
Others (Canada, Australia, NZ)n/a0.6%incl. above
UK share of revenue (%): concentration is rising~95%FY2597.0%FY2698.7%Q1 FY27Management target: below 60% in about 3 years

Student source mix

SourceFY26Q1 FY27Conversion (mgmt)
India48.7%50.2%~10%
Rest of Asia34.7%27.2%China/LatAm ~20%
Africa16.4%22.3%parts of Africa ~5%
Latin Americanewly opened (Mexico via Inova)n/an/a

Earlier: 43.33% of active agents outside India in FY25; FY24 active agents 2,532 = 1,524 India + 1,008 elsewhere (Nigeria, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nepal, Sri Lanka, Cameroon, Ghana, Kenya, Vietnam, Canada, Egypt). Q4 FY26 call: India is now below 50% of student origin. Conversion of unique applicants overall about 10%.

Channel and acquired businesses

BusinessStake / priceDetailContribution
B2B agent channeln/aNearly all revenueCore
StudiesPlanet.com Ltd (UK; LatAm B2C)51% via Crizac Ltd UK, 23 Oct 2025; cash Rs 4.44 cr; goodwill Rs 4.19 crPrice not in NSE filing; PR says "controlling stake"; no call/put on 49% disclosedRs 2.25 cr revenue, nil PBT (AR note 42.3)
Global Tree Careers Pvt Ltd (Hyderabad, B2C)51.04% (24.20% primary Rs 10.00 cr + 26.84% secondary); standalone investment Rs 21.10 cr; announced 7 Jan 2026Secondary consideration depends on future performance; earn-out not on balance sheet [Est.]; FY25 turnover Rs 25.97 cr, assets Rs 29.80 crRs 5.83 cr revenue, about Rs 0.29 cr PBT Jan-Mar 2026
Inova Consultancy Ltd (Sheffield)100% for GBP 742,378 (about Rs 7 cr); agreement 27-28 Jul 2026FY26 turnover GBP 442,360 (price about 1.7x revenue); Netherlands and Mexico; completion expected 15 Oct 2026; no completion filing foundNot yet consolidated [Est.]
Edument / ForeignAdmits~36.80% fully diluted (was 37.41%) for Rs 1.2373 crTarget FY25 turnover Rs 1.13 cr, loss Rs 0.72 cr; completion slipped 12 Aug to 12 Oct 2026; no completion filingAssociate, not related party
Medway (New Zealand)Team onboarded Apr 2026Not a share acquisition per the callNZ representation claim not independently verified
Raj Consultants (US)2025 (Q1 FY26 call)Cited as US entry step (secondary)US expansion stalled

Market share and where growth came from

MeasureFY24FY26
Crizac share of all UK study visas3.5%6.0%
Crizac share of UK study visas to Indian students9%13.9%
UK study visas granted (all)446,029391,572 (-12.2%)
India-to-UK student visas (12m to Mar 2026)93,44590,425 or 87,461 (deck series differ)

[Est.] Triangulation: 6.0% x 391,572 = about 23.5k vs 24,697 FY26 enrolments; 13.9% x 87,461 = about 12.2k vs 48.7% x 24,697 = about 12.0k. The claim is internally coherent. Fastest grower: UK-routed B2B volume in FY26 (applications +43%). Segment under pressure: UK volume in H1 FY27 (applications -6.2%, mix shift to lower-fee universities). Targets: UK below 60% in 2-3 years (Q4 call said two); about 40% revenue from newer markets in three years; the Q1 deck is cited as "below 50% over next few years" (secondary).

Financials: P&L

Consolidated, Rs cr, FY to 31 March. Screener basis unless stated; company figures where labelled. FY22-FY23 revenue conflicts across sources (Screener Rs 264 / 473 cr; S&P Rs 120 / 274 cr; FY23 was standalone per some sources); PAT is consistent. FY24 revenue base is Rs 530 cr (RHP restated Rs 530.05 cr); the Rs 634.9 cr figure in DSIJ/Rupeezy is not used.

Rs crFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26TTM Jun-26
Revenue from ops264*473*5308491,0421,034
YoYn/m+79%+12%+60%+23%+15%
Total income~267~518~583~8851,071~1,063
Operating expenses175366385635756748
EBITDA (ex other income; FY24 before exceptional)89107145215286286
EBITDA margin34%23%27%25%27%28%
Other income34553362929
Depreciation and amortisation1213462724
EBIT (ex other income)88105132169259262
EBIT margin33%22%25%20%25%25%
Interest~0~0~0~00.070.1
PBT91150184205287290
Tax rate25%25%37%24%24%-
PAT68112116155219220
PAT margin26%24%22%18%21%21%
EPS (Rs, post-bonus, FV Rs 2)3.876.416.628.8612.5212.59
Dividend payout0%0%0%0%64%-

*See data-quality note above. Company-reported FY26: revenue Rs 1,042.2 cr (+22.7%), total income Rs 1,071.1 cr (+21.0%), EBITDA Rs 282.4 cr (+31.0%, 27.1%), PAT Rs 219.1 cr (+41.4%; 20.5% on total income), diluted EPS Rs 12.52. FY25 comparatives: total income Rs 885.5 cr, EBITDA Rs 215.6 cr, PAT Rs 155.0 cr (RHP restated FY25: revenue Rs 849.49 cr, EBITDA Rs 212.8 cr, PAT Rs 152.93 cr). FY26 consolidated cost of services Rs 703.2 cr = 67.5% of revenue (results filing year column). TTM PAT Rs 220.4 cr = 219.1 - 45.8 + 47.1 (Q1 FY27 PAT attributable to owners, Rs 471 mn) [Est.].

Revenue from operations (Rs cr) and EBITDA margin, FY22-FY26264*473*5308491,04234%23%27%25%27%FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26Bars: revenue. Line: EBITDA margin. *FY22-23 revenue basis disputed.

FY24 bridge: why PAT (Rs 117.9 cr) exceeded EBITDA (Rs 71.7 cr)

RHP restated consolidated, Rs mnFY24
Revenue5,300.52
Other income1,285.68
Cost of services3,441.83
Employee expenses66.88
Other expenses326.45
Depreciation134.33
Finance cost0.11
PBT before exceptional2,616.60
Exceptional item (break fee)-748.77
PBT1,867.83
Tax (36.9% effective)688.62
PAT1,179.21
Company-defined EBITDA (after exceptional)716.59

Last 8 quarters

QuarterRevenueYoYQoQOp. profit (ex OI)OPMPATPAT YoYPAT QoQ
Q2 FY25 (Sep-24)130n/a-19%3225%20n/a-52%
Q3 FY25 (Dec-24)218n/a+68%6329%43n/a+115%
Q4 FY25 (Mar-25)341n/a+56%6519%50n/a+16%
Q1 FY26 (Jun-25)210+30%-38%6129%46+9%-8%
Q2 FY26 (Sep-25)162+25%-23%6339%48+140%+4%
Q3 FY26 (Dec-25)279+28%+72%6624%51+19%+6%
Q4 FY26 (Mar-26)392+15%+41%9524%74+48%+45%
Q1 FY27 (Jun-26)201-4%-49%6130%47+3%-37%
Quarterly revenue (Rs cr): Q4 peak, Q1/Q2 troughs130218341210162279392201Q2 FY25Q3 FY25Q4 FY25Q1 FY26Q2 FY26Q3 FY26Q4 FY26Q1 FY27Use YoY, not QoQ. Q1 FY27 is the first YoY decline since listing.
Company-reported (Rs mn)Revenue from opsEBITDAEBITDA %PAT
Q4 FY253,406 (total income 3,475)658n/an/a
Q1 FY262,09564931.0%458
Q2 FY261,622633 (one source, low confidence)~39%483
Q3 FY262,78664623.2%505
Q4 FY263,917 (total income 3,986)939 (+42.8%)24.0%750 (+50.3%)
Q1 FY272,012600 (-7.6%)29.8%471 (+2.9%)

Q1 FY27: consolidated vs standalone (results filing, Rs lakh)

MetricQ1 FY27Q1 FY26YoY
Consolidated revenue20,121.3220,953.53-4.0%
Consolidated PBT6,483.916,213.70+4.3%
Consolidated PAT (total, after tax Rs 1,867.35 lakh; before minority interest)4,616.564,581.25+0.8%
Consolidated PAT attributable to owners (basis of the reported +2.9%, EPS Rs 2.69)4,712.844,581.25+2.9%
Standalone revenue8,201.076,666.83+23.0%
Standalone PBT7,041.115,526.68+27.4%
Standalone PAT5,286.254,104.27+28.8%

Growth decomposition, margins and one-offs

ItemFinding
Why Q1 FY27 revenue fell while enrolments rose 15%Constant-currency de-growth of about 4%: volume +15% but university mix changed, "we have missed couple of bonuses and couple of slabs for our top-ranked universities", lower revenue per student. Also Iran/Middle East war flight cancellations Feb-Jun and rupee volatility hit April-June intake
Organic vs inorganicAcquired companies' revenue about Rs 6 cr in Q1 (CFO); acquisitions each "less than INR 10 crores... never to add on any benefit on revenue or EBITDA". Growth is organic
Volume vs priceFY26 enrolments +13.8%, revenue +22.7% (revenue per enrolment ~Rs 4.2 lakh FY26 computed as Rs 10,422 mn / 24,697; the financials file's ~Rs 4.0 lakh FY26 and ~Rs 3.55 lakh FY24 are not reconciled); FX helped: FY26 average GBP/INR 116 vs 105 in FY25
FXQ4 FY26 FX/hedging gain Rs 1.28 cr; rupee depreciation added about 1-1.5% to margin; management called Q4 margin "transitional"
Amortisation tailwindD&A Rs 46 cr (FY25) to Rs 27 cr (FY26); Q1 FY27 only Rs 3.5-4 cr. S&P "other amortisation" Rs mn: 103 FY24 / 420 FY25 / 231 FY26. Tailwind largely exhausted
Other incomeAbout Rs 29 cr (10% of PBT), treasury yield on about Rs 500 cr
InterestNil; debt-free
FY24 effective tax 37%Reflects the exceptional item (break fee)
Gross profit (S&P basis)Rs mn: FY24 1,790 / FY25 2,309 / FY26 3,085 / TTM 3,044 (33.8% / 27.2% / 29.6% / 29.4%); S&P definition differs from the filing cost of services (67.5% of FY26 revenue)
Agent payout creepBlended payouts 57.8% of revenue FY22 to 70.6% FY25 (secondary); management says stable about 70%
Dividend and ESOP chargeFY26 non-cash ESOP charge Rs 5.5 cr (first year); expect a larger FY27 charge

Earnings-quality check

PAT converted to operating cash at 0.66x in FY26 (S&P operating cash flow Rs 144 cr vs PAT Rs 219 cr), but the finance chief (Manish Agarwal) states that net cash from operating activity was 56% of EBITDA "moderated by one of termination fees payment of around INR 55 crores"; adding back Rs 56.7 cr gives about 76% (company-quoted net operating cash Rs 158.3 cr + 56.7 = 215 vs EBITDA Rs 282.4 cr) [Est.]. The two operating-cash figures (S&P Rs 144 cr, company Rs 158.3 cr) are not reconciled in the research files. The break fee was expensed in FY24, so FY26 profit was not hit; only cash was. Cumulative FY22-FY26 S&P operating cash flow was Rs 538 cr against PAT of Rs 668 cr (81%; the research file's "Rs 649 cr / 83%" did not sum from its own PAT row). See Tab 6.

Financials: Balance Sheet, Cash Flow & Ratios

Balance sheet (consolidated)

Rs crMar-22Mar-23Mar-24Mar-25Mar-26
Equity capital1010353535
Reserves98213302468550
Net worth108223337503585 (Rs 592 cr incl. minority Rs 7.8 cr)
Total debt00002 (Rs 1.8 cr incl. leases)
Other liabilities6583251374289
Total liabilities and equity172307588878876
Fixed assets (incl. intangibles, goodwill, RoU)272612893120
Goodwill (S&P)000.85.924.4
Other intangibles (S&P)--93.255.445.1
PP&E (S&P)22.419.525.223.243.3
Investments (Screener, non-current)671061433831
Inventorynilnilnilnilnil (service business)
Trade receivables (S&P)~0~0167.9256.4238.5
Cash and equivalents (S&P)10.315.750.288.8135.5
Short-term investments (S&P)47.5131.5188.0221.8192.1
Cash + ST investments57.8147.2238.1310.6327.7
Long-term investments (S&P)20.931.249.4185.4172.5
Trade payables (S&P)0.10.2130.1260.6233.6

Cash flow and PAT reconciliation (S&P, Rs mn)

Rs mnFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
PAT6621,1011,1791,5502,191
Operating cash flow5725161,0141,8361,441
OCF / PAT0.860.470.861.180.66
Capex (incl. intangibles)13151,20111169
Free cash flow559501-1871,8251,272
FCF margin47%*18%*-3.5%21.5%12.2%
Acquisitions---51255
Investing cash flow-469-461-668-1,453+243
Financing cash flow-0.2-1.2-0.1-0.1-1,511 (dividend 1,400; debt repaid 111)
Cash tax paid231354467745741
Net change in cash10354345386467

FY22-FY25 operating, investing and financing flows sum to the net change shown. FY26 does not: 1,441 + 243 - 1,511 = 173 against a reported net change of 467 (cash balance Rs 88.8 cr to Rs 135.5 cr, +Rs 46.7 cr). The Rs 29 cr gap is unreconciled in the S&P data; cash acquired with subsidiaries and FX are possible causes [Est.].

PAT vs operating cash flow (Rs cr)665711052118101155184219144FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26Black: PAT. Gold: OCF. FY25 OCF flattered by payables; FY26 hit by payables unwind and Rs 56.7 cr break-fee cash.

Divergence flags

  1. FY23 OCF/PAT 0.47: PAT contained about Rs 15 cr investment gains and Rs 25 cr other non-operating income; working capital absorbed Rs 18 cr.
  2. FY24: PAT swollen by Rs 103 cr investment gains then cut by the Rs 75 cr exceptional; OCF held at Rs 101 cr only because payables (+Rs 130 cr) funded the receivables build (-Rs 166 cr).
  3. FY25 OCF/PAT 1.18 flattered by payables (+Rs 146 cr) outpacing receivables (-Rs 105 cr) and Rs 42 cr non-cash amortisation: a one-time timing benefit.
  4. FY26 OCF/PAT 0.66: receivables released Rs 42 cr but payables unwound Rs 116 cr (net working-capital outflow Rs 73 cr), plus the Rs 56.7 cr break-fee cash. Screener CFO/operating profit: 111%, 120%, 76% for FY24-FY26 (CFO Rs 114 / 184 / 144 cr).
  5. Cash tax Rs 74 cr is about 25% of PBT: no tax-deferral issue. FY26 non-cash ESOP charge Rs 5.5 cr.
  6. Watch H1 FY27 OCF: if the Q1 net-cash jump (Rs 467 cr to Rs 570 cr in one quarter) was receivables collection rather than payables delay, the reversal comes later.
FCF yield and coverValue
FY26 FCF / market cap Rs 2,549 cr5.0% [Est.] (S&P 4.8% TTM)
FY25 FCF (Rs 182.5 cr) / market cap7.2% [Est.]
TTM P/FCFabout 20.8x
FY25 FCF yield at IPO market cap Rs 4,287 cr4.3%
FY26 dividend (Rs 140 cr) / FY26 FCF110% (partly funded from balance sheet)

Working capital days

DaysFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
Debtor days (Screener)432111611084
Inventory daysnilnilnilnilnil
Payable days on cost of revenue~0~0135154116
Payable days on revenue~0~09011282
Cash conversion cyclen/mn/m-19-44-32
Screener working-capital days-25-10-352348

The business flipped from net pay-later (negative working capital) to +48 working-capital days by FY26 on Screener's measure; Q1 FY27 deck NWC days -29.2. FY26 receivables of Rs 238 cr are 23% of annual revenue; Q4 is the peak billing quarter so March balances are seasonally high.

Ratios

FY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
ROE (computed)n/m~69%~42%~37%~40% (Screener 40.3%; company 37.2%)
ROCE (Screener)123%90%93%49%52% (company 48.6%)
RHP-reported ROE-50.1%34.8%30.4%-
D/E~0000~0.003
Interest coverage (EBIT/interest)n/m>1,000x>1,000x>1,500x~3,700x (EBIT Rs 259 cr / interest Rs 0.07 cr; nil in substance)
Current ratio202x155x1.85x1.62x2.10x
Asset turnover~2.0x~2.0x~1.3x~1.2x~1.2x
Fixed-asset turnover~10x~18x~7x~8x~8.7x

Q1 FY27 quoted ROE/ROCE 28.8% / 40.3% on the call (Q4 FY26 call 37.2% / 48.6%; periods not comparable); Marketsmojo 37.5% / 61.3% is inconsistent. ROCE of 67.7% / ROE 50.7% in FY23 per a secondary note. Aggregator ROCE for the same period ranges 37-61%.

Debt, rating and lenders

ItemFinding
BorrowingsNone of substance. FY22-FY25 debt Rs 0.08-0.1 cr (lease liability only); FY26 Rs 1.84 cr (short term Rs 0.88 cr, long term Rs 0.88 cr) from acquired subsidiaries; Rs 1.5 cr at Jun-26. FY26 debt repaid Rs 11.1 mn was subsidiary level
Lenders, term loans, maturity ladder, covenantsNot Available: none material; RHP and AR texts name no lenders
Credit ratingNot Available: no CRISIL / ICRA / CARE / India Ratings rationale found; Screener documents list shows none. Treated as unrated; no rated debt programme
Contingent liabilitiesNone at 31 Mar 2026 and 31 Mar 2025
LiquidityNet cash Rs 570 cr = 22.4% of market cap; solvency risk minimal. The credit-type risk is counterparty concentration (top-10 universities 60-70% of revenue)

Equity dilution and share count

DateEventShares
FY22-FY23Share capital Rs 10 cr at face value Rs 2~5.0 cr
FY24Capital rose Rs 10 cr to Rs 35 cr (bonus issue, apparently 5 for 2; mechanism not confirmed)17.498 cr
Jul 2025IPO: 100% OFS of 3,51,02,040 shares by Pinky Agarwal (Rs 723 cr) and Manish Agarwal (Rs 137 cr); anchors 1.053 cr shares at Rs 245; no fresh issue17.498 cr
Jul 2025 to Oct 2026No QIP, preferential issue, warrants or buyback17,49,82,500
13 Jun 2025Pre-IPO ESOP grant: 25,90,000 options at Rs 257, vesting 33/33/34% at years 3/4/5potential
3 Aug 2026NRC grant: 35,59,000 options at Rs 200, 3-year minimum vest, 5-year exercise windowpotential
Plan capESOP 2026: 1,22,48,775 shares (7% of 17.5 cr); ESOP 2024 cap was 52,49,475; amendment approved by postal ballot 22 Mar 2026 (98.15%)up to +7%
Granted overhang61.49 lakh options = about 3.5% [Est.] (AR note 46.3: 1,20,000 of the first grant forfeited, 24,70,000 outstanding at 31 Mar 2026, so about 60.3 lakh net); at Rs 145.70 the Rs 200 strike is 37% above spot and the Rs 257 strike 76% above-

Key balance-sheet risks

Management, Promoters & Governance

Promoters and key management

PersonRoleStake / notes
Dr Vikash AgarwalFounder, Managing Director; Chairman until 3 Aug 2026 ("role realignment")Claims 25+ years in higher education (press release 28 Jul 2026); earlier associated with Gateway Abroad Ltd (Planify); doctorate field and institution Not Available. Personal stake about 2.99%
Manish AgarwalWhole-time Director and CFO; chairs Risk Management Committee; terms amended 4 Aug 2026 to be liable to retire by rotationWith company since 2011, about 14+ years; brother of Dr Vikash Agarwal (the AR lists Kiran Jain and Usha Agarwal as sisters of both); wife Pinki Agarwal; DIN 03043680; post-IPO stake 27.37% (pre-IPO 30.56%); IPO seller Rs 137 cr
Pinky AgarwalNon-executive Director until she resigned 3 Aug 2026 (NSE letter: "other professional commitments"; her own letter: "other pre-occupancies and commitments"; left NRC and RMC)Largest holder about 30.06% (pre-IPO 46.93%); IPO seller Rs 723 cr; wife of Dr Vikash Agarwal (AR note 45.1); DIN 03043682 per her resignation letter. The Tofler profile in the earlier files (DIN 01270548, Silver Spring Tours & Travels) does not match this DIN and is not used
Promoter groupAnita Agarwal 9.53%, Pinki Agarwal 3.99%, Kiran Jain 3.00%, Usha Agarwal 3.00%7 holders, 13,98,80,460 shares, 79.94%; Aug-Sep 2026 data
Christopher Flood NagleChairperson (non-executive, non-independent); ex-CEO of Crizac Ltd UKAged 32 (RHP); UK CEO from 21 Mar 2024; stepped down 2 Aug 2026 "family business commitments", keeps UK directorship; 15,00,000 options (58% of the 13 Jun 2025 grant). NSE profile (3 Aug 2026, DIN 11838159): BA European Social and Political Studies, UCL; CELTA; Harrow School and Scotch College, Melbourne; "not related to any Director of the Company" (this does not address Flood 1 Ltd)
Kashish AroraCompany Secretary (30 Sep 2023) and Compliance Officer (14 Feb 2024)50,000 options; no exit
Nikhil JainChief Product and Marketing Officer; ForeignAdmits founder; SMP 3 Aug 2026Deal link per press
Rituparno Sarkar; Dishant KharbandaChief Technology Officer; Chief Innovation Officer (both SMP from 3 Aug 2026)Sarkar: 19+ years in software and product, Director/Principal-level roles in edtech and services firms (employers not named), BTech IT, Sikkim Manipal. Kharbanda: IIM Calcutta alumnus who leads the EduMentor project (Q4 FY26 call). Prior employers Not Available
Eric WijmengaRegional Director, UK and Europe (Inova co-founder)Via Inova
Priya Fulfagar; Zaheer, Roy, DasOption holders (1,00,000; 50,000 each)13 Jun 2025 grant

Board (Oct 2026, after the Aug-Sep 2026 reshuffle)

NameRoleExec / IndependentTenure and notes
Dr Vikash AgarwalManaging DirectorExecutive, promoterGave up chair 3 Aug 2026
Manish AgarwalWTD and CFOExecutive, promoterRMC chair; now retires by rotation
Christopher Flood NagleChairpersonNon-executive, non-independentAdditional director from 3 Aug 2026; appointed NED at 11 Sep 2026 AGM; NRC member. Insider chairs the board
Rakesh Kumar AgrawalIndependent DirectorIndependentNRC chair; appointed 2025 per aggregator; background Not Available
Anuj SaraswatIndependent DirectorIndependentFirst term from 14 Feb 2024; second term 14 Feb 2027 to 13 Feb 2030 (special resolution, 11 Sep 2026 AGM); NRC and RMC member
Payal BafnaIndependent DirectorIndependentFirst term from 21 Mar 2024; reappointed 21 Mar 2027 to 20 Mar 2030; background Not Available
Pinky AgarwalNon-executive promoterResigned 3 Aug 2026Left NRC and RMC; filing says no other material reasons

Shareholding trend

%Sep 2025Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026Sep 2026
Promoters + group79.9479.9479.9479.9479.94
FII2.99 / 3.74*2.482.291.611.17
Other DII (ex-MF)2.99*3.043.012.812.56
Mutual funds1.81*0.440.470.410.35
Institutions totaln/a5.965.774.834.08
Public / retailn/a14.1014.2915.2315.98

*Choice/other aggregator Sep 2025 figures; quarter label not fully verified (FII 3.74% appears in one series). Dhan DII 3.48% in Mar 2026 = Other DII 3.01% + MF 0.47%; Angel One DII 7.04% unreconciled; 2_financials cites DII 7.05% to 2.91% under a different definition. Combined institutions about 10.04% in July 2025 to 4.83% in Jun 2026; insurers 0.72% to 0.00%. Insiders about 80%; top two holders about 61% (Simply Wall St, undated).

Institutions total holding (%): net exits every quarter5.965.774.834.08Dec 2025Mar 2026Jun 2026Sep 2026FII 2.48 to 1.17; MF 0.44 to 0.35; retail 14.10 to 15.98. Free float about 20%.

Pledge, insider and SAST

ItemFinding
Promoter pledgeNil. Reg. 31(4) SAST disclosure (dated 6 Apr 2026, filed 7 Apr) shows no encumbrance created in FY26; promoter and group held 13,98,80,460 shares (79.94%) unencumbered at 31 Mar 2026. Sep 2026 filing not separately verified
Promoter dealingsNone found. Holding flat at 79.94% since listing; only sellers were the IPO OFS sellers
Trading windowsClosed 1 Jul 2026 until 48 hours after Q1 results (approved 3 Aug); closed again 25 Sep 2026
PIT disclosures by directors and KMP for 2026Not Available: not retrieved; Pinky Agarwal's dealings around her 3 Aug exit unchecked
Bulk/block deals31 bulk-deal records, all 9-16 Jul 2025; no block deals; nothing in 2026 (Trendlyne)

Lock-in and minimum public shareholding

EventDateStatus
IPO bid close / allotment / listing4 Jul 2025 / about 7 Jul 2025 / 9 Jul 2025[Fact]
Anchor lock-ins (50% / balance)6 Aug 2025 / 5 Oct 2025Expired
Pre-IPO non-promoter shares (6 months)Jan 2026Expired
Promoter shares above 20% (6 months)About 7-8 Jan 2026Expired (about 60% of equity, 10.49 cr shares, about Rs 2,885 cr freed per secondary note); promoters did not sell
Minimum promoters' contribution (20% of post-offer capital, about 3.50 cr shares), 18 months from allotmentAbout 7 Jan 2027[Est.] from RHP rule and allotment date
Minimum public shareholding 25%Management: "two more years"; deadline about Jul 2028 if 3 years from listing[Est.]; legal basis not verified. Reaching 75% needs about 5% (about 87 lakh shares, about Rs 127 cr at today's price)

Promoter holding comment (Q4 call): "We still have two more years. So, whenever we find that the market is right, we will look into it. But we are not in a hurry to get it diluted." Float is about 20%; management says SEBI does not allow a buyback at this level and will "talk to our compliance team".

Related-party transactions (RHP and FY26 annual report)

A. Crizac Technologies Pvt Ltd: Rs 103.56 cr software purchase

Software Purchase Agreement dated 19 Dec 2023 bought all rights to the "central application management system" for Rs 1,035.60 mn; valued by registered valuer Mohit Jain (report dated 2 Jan 2024); no royalty beyond that (RHP risk factor 22). Before this Crizac paid it software-service fees of Rs 470.49 mn (FY23) and Rs 206.35 mn (FY24) (RHP note 47.2). Only the valuer's report supports "arm's length". FY24 other expenses fell as licence fees stopped, consistent with capitalisation [Est.].
Crizac Technologies shareholders (9,080,000 shares)%
Anita Agarwal29.38
Pinky Agarwal (promoter)17.29
Crizac Limited itself (15,00,000 shares)16.52
Rajesh Kumar Agarwal9.14
Manish Agarwal (promoter)8.43
Kiran Jain5.71
Pinki Agarwal2.86
Shakuntala Devi2.75
Rajesh Agarwal (HUF)2.73
Others2.20 / 2.11 / 0.88

The counterparty is therefore promoter-family controlled. Crizac carries its own 16.52% stake at FVOCI (Rs 30.99 cr, down from Rs 38.36 cr).

B. Crizac Informatics Ltd UK: GBP 7.15 mn break fee

Commercial agreement dated 1 Jan 2022 covered non-Indian-passport students. Crizac Ltd UK gave notice by phone on 7 Mar 2024; termination agreement 15 Mar 2024. Break fee GBP 7,150,000 ex-VAT = Rs 748.77 mn, payable over 18 months from 1 Apr 2024, with a 10-year non-compete on Informatics; Informatics agreed to transfer university contracts and revenues to Crizac Ltd UK (RHP risk factor 29; AR consolidated note 28). Booked as an exceptional expense of Rs 748.77 mn in FY24 (RHP note 39).
Break-fee itemAmount
Expensed FY24 (exceptional)Rs 748.77 mn (Rs 74.88 cr)
Cash paid FY25Rs 215.41 mn
Balance 31 Mar 2025Rs 567.42 mn
Cash paid FY26 (final instalment)Rs 5,674.25 lakh = Rs 56.74 cr
Balance 31 Mar 2026Nil
Implied total cashabout Rs 78 cr vs Rs 74.9 cr booked; gap about Rs 3.4 cr from GBP/INR [Est.]
Crizac Informatics Ltd UK shareholders (RHP)%
Flood 1 Ltd38.73
Quadrange UK Holdings Ltd38.73
Buchanan Group Ltd22.54

Open question, unverified: Nagle and Flood 1 Ltd [Est.]

UK CEO and now Chairman Christopher Flood Nagle shares the name "Flood" with Flood 1 Ltd (incorporated 21 Sep 2020), which Graphlytic shows at 24 Great Chapel Street, London, the same address as Crizac Ltd UK's London office. Companies House PSC data was not fetched, so beneficial ownership is unconfirmed. If a link existed, the break-fee recipient would be linked to the executive who now chairs the listed company. This is an inference from a name and an address and is not a finding.

Other related-party items (AR FY26, notes 43 and 45)

ItemFY26FY25
Dividends to promoter family (Feb 2026), totalRs 111.9 cr (Manish 38.3, Pinky 42.1, Vikash 4.2, Pinki 5.6, Anita 13.3, Kiran 4.2, Usha 4.2); total dividend Rs 139.99 crn/a
CSR to Gyan Bharti Educational TrustRs 2.60 crRs 3.27 cr
Rent to Altis Projects LLPRs 1.44 crRs 0.60 cr (+ Rs 0.72 cr deposit)
KMP compensationRs 2.70 cr (CMD and WTD salaries Rs 1.20 cr each)CMD/WTD Rs 1.95 cr each
Loan from directorsRs 0.88 cr, interest-free, on demandn/a
Standalone sales of services to Crizac Ltd UKRs 224.59 cr of Rs 266.58 cr revenueRs 170.28 cr of Rs 186.93 cr
Standalone sales to UCOL FZERs 13.21 crn/a
Commission paid to UK by standaloneRs 14.77 crn/a
Standalone receivables from UKRs 56.92 cr (AR p.217)n/a

Auditor, litigation, contingent liabilities

ItemFinding
Statutory auditorSinghi & Co (FRN 302049E), Kolkata; appointed at 12th AGM 30 Sep 2023 for 5 years to 17th AGM (about 2028); unmodified FY26 opinion; FY26 consolidated audit fee Rs 29.5 lakh; no resignation
Key audit mattersConsolidated: revenue recognition (university remuneration, cut-off). Standalone: revenue recognition and transfer pricing on IT-processing fees charged to subsidiaries. Audit trail enabled
Other auditorsBLS Burnells LLP (UK subsidiary), Excel Auditing (Dubai). In the Q1 FY27 review two foreign subsidiaries were reviewed by other auditors; step-down and Indian subsidiaries (Studies Planet, Global Tree) were management-certified and not reviewed ("not material", results para 8)
Internal auditorGhoshal & Co resigned 21 May 2026 (time constraints and preoccupation; some sources say 22 May); Grant Thornton Bharat LLP appointed 25 May 2026
RHP emphasis of matterRestated and pro-forma financial information; no qualification
LitigationRHP: outstanding litigation Nil for the Company, Promoters, Directors and Subsidiaries (criminal, tax, regulatory, material civil); nil SEBI or exchange actions against promoters in five years
SEBI / MCA / taxNone found. DRHP was filed Mar 2024 (up to Rs 1,000 cr), returned by SEBI Jul 2024 without stated reasons, refiled Nov 2024, approved Mar 2025; size cut to Rs 860 cr at launch
HMRC / Home Office / OfS exposureNot Available: not read

Subsidiaries and group structure

EntityStakeDate and priceRole / status
Crizac Ltd (UK), 24 Great Chapel St, London100%20 Nov 2023, bought from Dr Vikash AgarwalMaterial subsidiary; about 97% of revenue; acquiring vehicle for UK deals
UCOL FZE (UAE)100%FY25Small; Rs 13.21 cr standalone sales
StudiesPlanet.com Ltd51%23 Oct 2025, Rs 4.44 crLatAm B2C; too early
Global Tree Careers Pvt Ltd51.04%Jan 2026, Rs 21.10 crIndia B2C; Australian university contracts
Inova Consultancy Ltd100%27-28 Jul 2026, GBP 742,378Netherlands/Mexico; completion unconfirmed
Edument Consultancy Pvt Ltd~36.80% FD15 Jun 2026, revised 17 Sep (107 CCPS withdrawn); Rs 1.2373 crAssociate; 5,337 CCPS; completion pushed to 12 Oct; unconfirmed

Cross-holdings: only the 16.52% holding in Crizac Technologies (a related party) was found. Loss-making units: the foreign subsidiaries and unreviewed small subsidiaries posted a combined Q1 FY27 net loss of about Rs 6.3 cr (4.3 + 1.97). Acquisition track record: everything except the Nov 2023 UK entity was done in the last 12 months; none can be called working. Management: "invested lot of money in Crizac UK and our subsidiaries for which we are expecting the effect to come in Q3."

Governance timeline

DateEvent
20 Nov 2023UK subsidiary acquired from promoter (Dr Vikash Agarwal)
19 Dec 2023Rs 103.56 cr software purchase from Crizac Technologies
21 Mar 2024Nagle appointed UK CEO
15 Mar 2024Break-fee termination agreement with Informatics
Jul 2024 - Mar 2025DRHP returned, refiled, approved
13 Jun 202525.9 lakh options at Rs 257 granted (pre-IPO)
30 Oct 2025Gaurav Agarwal leaves UK board; Nagle in
21-25 May 2026Internal auditor Ghoshal resigns; Grant Thornton appointed
2-4 Aug 2026Nagle leaves UK CEO role, becomes chair; Pinky Agarwal resigns; Vikash gives up chair; SMP changes; 35.59 lakh options at Rs 200
11 Sep 2026AGM: Nagle appointed NED; Saraswat and Bafna reappointed
25 Sep 2026Trading window closed

Governance red flags

  1. Promoter-family counterparty for Rs 103.56 cr software and Crizac's own stake in it, marked down Rs 7.4 cr.
  2. Rs 74.9 cr break fee to an entity whose RHP status (not a related party since 15 Dec 2023) conflicts with the FY26 AR listing; beneficial owners not confirmed.
  3. Board churn in 2026 and an insider, non-independent chair.
  4. Standalone profit depends on intragroup transfer pricing (a KAM); dividend policy is tied to standalone profit.
  5. ESOP grants at Rs 257 and Rs 200 versus market Rs 145.70; Nagle holds 58% of the first grant.
  6. Institutions exiting every quarter; promoter 79.94% with a 25% minimum public holding requirement.
  7. Past filings with factual inaccuracies (RHP); DRHP returned without stated reasons.

IPO, anchors and notable holders (6_heard)

ItemDetail
IPO2-4 Jul 2025, Rs 860 cr, 100% OFS, band Rs 233-245, priced Rs 245, lot 61, subscribed 59.82x (QIB 134.35x); anchors Rs 258 cr from 19 allottees at Rs 245 (1.05 cr shares); implied market cap Rs 4,287 cr
Named anchors (lists differ by outlet)ICICI Prudential MF (Flexicap), Motilal Oswal MF, Bandhan MF, 360 ONE Asset, Axis Max Life Insurance, Kotak Mahindra Life Insurance, Societe Generale, PineBridge Investments, Carnelian Capital, Allianz Global Investors, Shamyak Investment (Enam), Aryabhata India Fund
Abakkus Asset Manager (Sunil Singhania)Bought 36,72,914 shares (about 2.1%) at Rs 298.33 on 9 Jul 2025, about Rs 109.6 cr; current status unknown
Other 9 Jul 2025 buyersRajesh Chamanlal Sanghavi (20.6 lakh at Rs 306.25), Mansi Share & Stock Broking (20.2 lakh NSE + 9.7 lakh BSE), Yuga Stocks (18.2 lakh at Rs 303), Aakraya Research (14.3 lakh), Share India Securities (14.0 lakh), Elixir Wealth (11.6 lakh), Graviton Research, Anant Wealth, L7 Hitech
Prop/HFT 10-16 Jul 2025NK Securities Research, Aakraya, Jump Trading (bought 16.5 lakh at Rs 353.49, sold 14.2 lakh at Rs 352.24 on 16 Jul): liquidity providers, not conviction money
Named holders above 1%Not Available: BSE/NSE shareholding XBRL not retrieved; scheme-level MF holdings not found
Q1 FY27 call participantsSapphire Capital, Trinetra AM, Counter Cyclical, Aequitas/Equitas Capital, Monarch PMS, 9 Rays Equiresearch, Nineways, Stylus Holdings; none confirmed as holders

Supply Chain

Value-chain map

StudentCounselling agentCrizac platformUniversityEnrolled seatIndia 49 / Asia 35 / Africa 16%17,400 registered; non-exclusivescreen, route, track, paypays commission on enrolmentUK visa via UKVI

Value share: the university keeps tuition; Crizac captures commission less the agent share (cost of services 67.5% of FY26 revenue); the ancillary layer (loans, visa, accommodation, forex) is being built. Pricing power sits with the universities (they set commission rates, slabs, bonuses and panel caps) and with the UK government (visa rules). Agents have moderate leverage (non-exclusive). Crizac's leverage is scale (about 13% of Indian students to UK HE; 6% of all UK study visas) and processing efficiency. [Analyst View]

Upstream: what Crizac depends on

InputDetail
Raw materials, importsNone. Not a manufacturer; no import dependence. FX: GBP/USD receipts vs INR costs; FY26 average GBP/INR 116 vs 105
Agents / counselling partners (the real "supply" of students)10,362 registered, 3,948 active (39+ countries) in FY25; 5,389 active FY26; 4,032 in Q1 FY27; 17,400 registered. India about half of flow; Africa and South Asia growing
Agent concentrationTop-10 agents Rs 84.38 cr = 9.93% of FY25 revenue (RHP via aggregator); the Q1 deck states about 0.5% of revenue / 24.5% of cost of services (inconsistent definitions, flagged)
Agent loyaltyNon-exclusive; may deal directly with universities or with IDP, ApplyBoard, Leap Scholar (RHP risk). Retention levers: technology, payout speed, university breadth
Agent payout"67% to 70% of our expenses... we pay directly to the agent in pounds" (Q4 FY26 call p18). Exact per-agent %: Not Available
Technology and vendorsCloud/hosting; platform bought from Crizac Technologies (related party); AI partners ForeignAdmits, EduMentor, ETS India. No named hardware suppliers
Input-cost pass-throughAgent commission is a share of university fees, so it flexes with revenue; fixed costs are staff and technology (employee cost +84% YoY in Q1 FY27)
Gating regulatorsUK Home Office/UKVI (visa), UK Agent Quality Framework, CAS agent recording from 7 Apr 2026
Single-source riskUniversity-side concentration and UK policy

Downstream: who depends on Crizac

ItemDetail
CustomersUK universities (mid-tier post-92 and Russell Group; mainly postgraduate Indian, South Asian and African cohorts), plus Irish and a few Canadian/ANZ institutions. End-product: enrolled degree seats
Contract tenorMulti-year but terminable/renewable, non-exclusive, no minimum volume; non-renewal is an RHP risk. 20+ partners associated more than 5 years; top-30 average more than 5 years (secondary)
StickinessModerate: universities can cut commission rates, cap recruiting partners or go direct (30-35% of applications already direct, per a secondary note)
Payment termsUniversities pay in 15-90 days (market note); consolidated receivable terms 90-180 days (AR)
Bonuses and slabsCommission is slab- and bonus-linked; Q1 FY27 missed "couple of bonuses and couple of slabs"
University concentration (% of revenue)FY23FY24FY25FY26Q1 FY27
Top-10 universities72.9070.7160.28 (Rs 5,120.57 mn)~66 (Q4 call)68.7 (Rs 1,383 mn)
Top-5n/an/a~60 (aggregator; not reconcilable with RHP top-10 of 60.28%, so unreliable)n/a51
Top-3n/an/a~53 (aggregator; same caveat)n/a41
Top-10 universities, % of revenue (RHP / calls)72.970.760.3~6668.7FY23FY24FY25FY26Q1 FY27Aggregator notes quoting 70.56% for FY25 conflict with the RHP 60.28% and are not used.

Competitive Position

There is no listed pure-play Indian peer. The RHP benchmarks against IndiaMART (weak comparison: asset-light platform) and IDP Education (best operating comparable but B2C-counselling-led, IELTS-heavy). Unlisted peers disclose little. Do not read the table as a clean relative valuation.

CompanyRevenueGrowthEBITDA% / EBIT%PAT%RoEPEEV/EBITDAMoat
Crizac (INR)FY26 Rs 1,042 cr+22.7% FY26; Q1 FY27 -4.0%; FY27 flat27.1% FY26; 29.8% Q1; 25-27% FY2721.0% (ops basis)37.2% FY26 / 28.8% Q1 ann.12.07x (NSE)~7.1x TTM [Est.]Agent network, 450+ universities, compliance, net cash
IDP Education (ASX: IEL)FY26 A$795.4mabout -9% (company) vs -11% (Motley Fool); placement volumes -27%, yield +11%Adj EBIT A$122.9m = 15.5%Adj NPAT A$57.1m = 7.2%; statutory A$13.3m = 1.7%Not retrieved~19-28x adj NPAT (undated prices, unverified)Not retrievedGlobal counselling brand, IELTS co-owner; ~55% share fall in 12m; FY27 EBIT guided A$95-115m on market volumes -20-30%
IndiaMART IntermeshFY26 Rs 1,569 cr+11%Standalone EBITDA 36% (Rs 520 cr)Rs 475 cr = 30.3%~26-27% (stale)~20-25x (23.8x on 3 Jul 2026)Not computedProxy only; network effect, subscriptions
Leverage Edu (unlisted)FY25 Rs 173-180 cr (sources conflict)~2x YoY (Rs 90 cr FY24)Loss-makingNet loss Rs 106-108 cr (~-60%)n/an/an/aB2C plus agent hybrid, VC-funded
Leap Scholar (unlisted)FY24 Rs 202.6 cr (alt Rs 175.3 cr)n/aLossLoss Rs 21.6 cr (~-10.7%)n/an/an/aB2C counselling, loans, forex; FY25 Not Available
ApplyBoard (Canada)Not Availablen/an/an/an/an/an/aTech-led B2B recruiter; Canada-heavy so hurt by caps
SI-UK, KC Overseas, CanamNot Availablen/an/an/an/an/an/aNamed in RHP; SI-UK closest UK-corridor rival
Keystone Education GroupNot retrievedn/an/an/an/an/an/aEurope-focused agency consolidator (Blueberry, SONOR, Asia Exchange)

RHP-era multiples (July 2025, stale): Crizac P/E 28x vs IndiaMART ~27-29x vs IDP ~8-11x; RoNW Crizac 30.4%, IndiaMART 25.2%, IDP 25.5%. IPO notes also cited TBO Tek (~62x). Crizac has de-rated from about 28x to 12.07x, in line with IDP's de-rating. Trade Brains (12 Sep 2026): P/E 14.8 vs industry 19.7.

Strengths and weaknesses vs each peer

VersusCrizac strongerCrizac weaker
IDP EducationMargins (27% EBITDA vs 15.5% EBIT), RoE, net cash Rs 570 cr, UK-corridor share gains while IDP placements fell 27%, no B2C marketing burdenIDP is multi-destination with IELTS annuity and direct student data; Crizac is 97-99% UK and agents can leave
IndiaMART (proxy)Higher historical growth (FY23-26 revenue CAGR 30.1%)IndiaMART has millions of listings and subscription visibility; Crizac has about 110 institutional revenue customers
Leverage Edu, Leap ScholarProfitable and cash generative; cheaper B2B agent acquisition; 95 of top 100 UK universitiesThey hold direct student relationships and ancillaries (loans, forex, accommodation) Crizac only started building; more destination-diversified
ApplyBoard, SI-UK, KC OverseasScale in UK corridorApplyBoard has bigger North American footprint and technology spend; local consultancies hold student relationships

Industry size and growth (company deck / consultants; pre-date 2024-26 tightening)

MetricValue
Global education marketabout US$6tn (2024) to US$7.4tn by 2030, 3.5% CAGR; global higher education US$1.9tn to 2.4tn, 3.9% CAGR
Overseas education spendingabout US$420bn by 2030, 7.0% CAGR
International student mobility4.8m (2015) to 8.0m (2030) forecast
India outbound students1.48m (2023) to 2.5m (2030), 7.8% CAGR (DSIJ); outbound market about US$28bn (about Rs 2.39 lakh cr) in 2023 (IPOCentral, not verified against F&S)
Indian outbound stock by destination (deck)Canada 427k, USA 255k, UK 173k, Australia 139k; Indian higher-ed students projected 92m by 2035
B2B agent channel shareAbout 70% of market (low-confidence aggregator claim)
Reality checkUK visas -12% FY24 to FY26; -16% in year to Aug 2026 (provisional, about 360,700 main-applicant applications; dependants -22% to about 17k); IDP guides to market volumes -20-30% in FY27, a third year of decline

Policy and regulation by country

CountryDevelopmentCrizac impact
UK (97-99% of revenue)Graduate Route cut from 24 to 18 months for applications from 1 Jan 2027 (Statement of Changes 14 Oct 2025; PhD stays 36 months); dependants ban for most taught students since Jan 2024 (dependants applications -22% to about 17k); BCA thresholds 95% enrolment, 90% completion, max 5% visa refusals (phasing timetable not verified; refusal rate "far below" per management); international student levy GBP 925 per student a year from 1 Aug 2028 after first 220 enrolments, inflation-linked, DfE response 15 Jul 2026, OfS to administer, subject to Parliament; AQF (Dec 2023 pledge, BUILA/UUKi/UKCISA/British Council); CAS to record agent from 7 Apr 2026; higher maintenance thresholds; English tightening; about 180 job roles removed from skilled-visa list (analyst cited); May 2025 immigration white paperIndian master's enrolments Q1 2026 fell to 11,453 from 15,149 (-24%), bachelor's to 1,676 from 2,073; Africa share 22.3% exposed to BCA; levy is a cost on Crizac's paying customers, so watch the 2027-28 commission cycle; compliance consolidation helps large aggregators but could link refusals to agent sanctions; political risk asymmetric to the downside
Canada2026 study-permit target 408,000 (155,000 new + 253,000 extensions): -7% vs 2025 (437,000), -16% vs 2024 (485,000); PAL/TAL not required for master's/PhD at public DLIs from 1 Jan 2026No direct revenue. Indian new students ~278k (2023) to ~94k (2025); H1 2026 only 28,350; refusal ~74% in Aug 2025 vs 32% Aug 2023; Indian share of new permits 51.6% to 8.1%; displaced demand goes to Ireland, Germany, NZ and some UK
Australia2026 National Planning Level 295,000 new commencements (+25,000 vs 2025; originally 270,000), a prioritisation not a hard cap; visa fee A$2,000 (Jul 2025) and onshore transfer limits (unverified); has said it will review agent useFirst contracts in pipeline; management: more meaningful in 3-6 months from May 2026
United StatesF-1 issuance to Indians fell ~62% (22,149 vs 58,694) May-Aug 2025; active Indian students 352,644 (Feb 2026) vs 378,787; DHS final rule ending duration of status with four-year cap published 17 Jul 2026 (effective 15 Sep 2026 per one consultancy, unverified; court challenge by NAFSA et al.); 363,019 Indian students 2024-25, 143,740 on OPTDirect exposure near zero; US expansion stalled and could revive
Ireland, NZ, Germany, Netherlands, UAESmall today (Ireland 0.9-2.0%, Dubai 0.4%); Crizac says it represents all NZ institutions (unverified); Inova brings NetherlandsDestinations receiving diverted flows may tighten too
IndiaNo licensing for counselling agents; DPDP Act 2023 (data privacy, consent); RBI/FEMA/LRS rules for forex/loan services; no PLI relevanceCompliance cost as ancillaries scale

UK source-country series differ: India 87,461 (12m to Mar 2026, deck) became the largest source in March 2026; 98,014 (YE Jun 2025) vs ~99,919 China; 95,231 (CY2025, 23% of main-applicant study visas); CSR Journal 82,523 for YE Jun 2026 (single source, unverified). Direction is down.

Industry trends

Porter's Five Forces, barriers and moat

ForceLevelEvidence
Buyer power (universities)HighAbout 110 revenue-generating universities; top-3 41% (Q1) and top-10 60-69%; slabs and bonuses unilateral
Supplier power (agents)Moderate5,389 active agents; non-exclusive
New entrantsModerateNo licence; but panel inclusion, compliance record and network density matter
SubstitutesModerate-HighDirect university recruitment, AI application tools, B2C platforms, destination substitution, TNE
RivalryModerate-HighFragmented: IDP, Leverage Edu, Leap, SI-UK, KC Overseas, Canam, ApplyBoard; loss-making start-ups limit staying power

Barriers: real ones are university contracts and panels, agent network density (17.4k partners), historical conversion data, compliance infrastructure and working capital. Moat: narrow and policy-contingent. For: 13.9% share of Indian UK visas rising amid contraction; ROCE 40-49%; EBITDA margins 25-27% sustained. Against: customer concentration, commissions set by customers, non-exclusive agents, 97-99% single corridor, whole sector falling. Pricing power limited: fragmented supply facing consolidated demand. [Analyst View]

Market-position narrative

Rank: Crizac says it represents more than 95 of about 100 UK commercial universities and 6% of all UK study visas. Share gain is real but occurs in a shrinking pool (UK visas 446,029 to 391,572). Management attributes it to universities consolidating around fewer compliant agent partners. Absolute enrolments rose 13.8% in FY26 but Q1 FY27 applications fell 6.2%.

Risks & Red Flags

#RiskCategorySeverityExplanationMitigant
1Single-corridor concentration (UK 97.0% FY26, 98.7% Q1 FY27, ~95% FY25)Business / RegulatoryHighAny UK visa, levy or BCA change hits the whole P&L; concentration is risingTarget below 60% (timeline slipped from 2 to 3 years); Ireland, NZ, Australia, Germany, Netherlands entries; non-UK still 1-3%
2UK policy tightening (Graduate Route 18 months from 1 Jan 2027, BCA thresholds, dependants ban, maintenance thresholds)RegulatoryHighUK visas -12% FY24 to FY26 and -16% in year to Aug 2026; Indian master's enrolments -24% in Q1 2026; FY27 guided flatShare gains; UK most structured destination; compliance consolidation
3International student levy GBP 925 a student from Aug 2028RegulatoryMediumCost lands on Crizac's payers; pressure on commissions in 2027-28 contractsSubject to Parliament; about 2 years of runway
4University concentration (top-3 41% Q1; top-10 60.28% FY25, 66% FY26, 68.7% Q1)BusinessHighOne top-3 contract loss or re-pricing could cut 15-20%+ of revenue; Q1 mix shift cost slabs and bonuses110 revenue universities; 95 of top 100 UK
5Commission compressionBusinessHighFragmented supply vs consolidated buyers in deficit; revenue per enrolment Rs 4.2 lakh includes slabs/bonusesShare gain; ancillaries; no cuts so far per management
6Agent defection / disintermediationBusinessMediumNon-exclusive agents; universities can go direct (30-35% already apply directly, secondary)Low agent concentration; incentives and technology
7Guidance credibilityGovernanceHighFY26 guide ~30% vs 22.7% actual; 25 May "15% to 17%" then "we have not given any guidance"; UK target 2 yrs to 3 yrs; acquisitions "EBITDA-accretive only" then "never to add revenue or EBITDA"Flat guide now conservative; verify Q2/Q3
8Related-party dealings (Rs 103.56 cr software; GBP 7.15 mn break fee; Rs 30.99 cr FVOCI stake; Altis rent; CSR trust)GovernanceHighPromoter-family vendor; break-fee recipient status inconsistent between RHP and AR; beneficial owners unconfirmedValuer report; unmodified audit opinion; fee fully paid, non-recurring
9Nagle / Flood 1 Ltd name-and-address link (unverified)GovernanceMedium (unknown)[Est.] Open question only; Companies House PSC not fetchedOne filing check resolves it
10Leadership and board churnGovernance / ExecutionMediumUK CEO to non-independent chair 2-4 Aug 2026; Pinky Agarwal (Rs 723 cr seller) resigned 3 Aug; Vikash gave up chair; internal auditor change May 2026; 3 SMPs de-classified"No major operational change"; promoter MD and CFO remain
11Promoter overhang: lock-in expiry about 7 Jan 2027 and 25% MPSFinancial / GovernanceMedium[Est.] 79.94% promoter holding; about 5% (87 lakh shares, Rs 127 cr) must be sold by about Jul 2028; free float only 20%No pledge; "not in a hurry"; payout floor
12Institutional exit / thin sponsorshipFinancialMediumFII 2.48% to 1.17%, MF 0.35%, 2 analysts; magnifies moves on a 20% floatNet cash 22% of cap; yield 5.5%
13Cash conversion and receivablesFinancialMediumOCF/PAT 0.66 FY26 (about 76% of EBITDA ex break fee); receivables Rs 238.5 cr, nil ECL, 90-180 day termsNet cash Rs 570 cr; Q1 OCF 152% of EBITDA
14Consolidation and transfer-pricing complexityGovernanceMediumStandalone revenue 84-85% intercompany; standalone PBT +27.4% vs consolidated +4.3%; KAM on transfer pricing; unreviewed small subsidiariesAuditor review; Singhi unmodified
15ESOP overhang and underwater optionsFinancial / GovernanceMedium61.49 lakh options granted (3.5%); strikes Rs 257 and Rs 200 vs Rs 145.70; plan cap 7%; larger FY27 charge; repricing risk3-5 year vesting
16Currency and macro (GBP/INR; travel disruption)MacroMediumRevenue in GBP; FX added 1-1.5% to margin and is reversible; Feb-Jun 2026 flight cancellations; rupee volatilityNatural GBP revenue; hedging; no debt
17Rates / commoditiesMacroLowNo debt or commodities; education-loan rates matter indirectlyNet cash
18Inorganic execution (StudiesPlanet, Global Tree, Inova, Edument, EduMentor, Medway, ETS)ExecutionMediumSmall tickets, integration and UK compliance; acquired revenue about Rs 6 cr; Edument and Inova completions unconfirmed; Global Tree earn-out unrecordedEach under Rs 10 cr; capital-light
19New-market conversionExecutionMediumIncumbents in new markets; Australia early; US stalled; ancillaries only 1-1.5% of revenueManagement patience; NZ claim
20Margin pressureFinancialMediumQ1 EBITDA -7.6% on deliberate cost step-up (employee cost +84%); FY27 25-27% vs 27.1%; Q4 FY26 24.0%; D&A tailwind exhaustedVariable agent cost; Q3-Q4 volume
21Technology obsolescence / AIBusinessMediumDirect-apply tools reduce need for agents; Crizac pivoting to "AI-native mobility platform"AI matching investment; data set
22ESG: agent misconduct, fraud, student welfare, DPDP data privacyESGMediumLarge agent network; BCA refusals; large personal-data holdingsAQF compliance, screening; agent-audit disclosure Not Available
23Geopolitics and travel (Iran / Middle East flight disruption; India-UK/Canada relations)MacroMediumHit April-June intake; India-Canada dispute shows corridor closure riskDiversification
24UK university solvency / bad debtsFinancialLow-MedMany universities in deficit (OfS data not retrieved); zero ECL provisionShort terms; top-tier concentration
25Litigation, tax, IPRegulatoryLowRHP litigation Nil; no contingent liabilities FY25-26; CRIZAC word-mark objections reported (secondary)Clean disclosure
26Key-personGovernanceMediumFounder-MD and promoter-CFO; headcount only 356 (down from 368); chair is ex-UK CEOIndependent directors; second-line team
27Dividend sustainabilityFinancialMediumPolicy is 40% of standalone profit (about Rs 80 cr, Rs 4.5 a share) for FY26-FY28; FY26 payout exceeded FY26 FCF (110%)Net cash Rs 570 cr

Red-flag checklist

CheckResult
Rising debtNone. Borrowings Rs 1.5-1.8 cr; net cash Rs 570 cr
Margin deteriorationMild: Q1 FY27 EBITDA margin 29.8% (-116 bps YoY), EBITDA -7.6%; FY27 guided 25-27%
Auditor concernsNone on statutory (Singhi, unmodified). Internal auditor resigned May 2026, replaced by Grant Thornton; reason Not Available
Related-party abuseNot proven; material RPTs exist and need ownership verification (Tab 7)
Promoter sellingOnly via IPO OFS (Rs 860 cr); holding flat 79.94%; further sell-down expected as lock-in and MPS lapse [Est.]
DilutionNone yet; ESOP overhang 3.5% granted, 7% cap
Customer lossNot reported; Q1 shows mix fragility
Litigation / taxNil per RHP; contingent liabilities none
Currency / rateGBP/INR translation and student affordability
Technology obsolescenceMedium-term AI / direct-apply
Key-personFounder-led; UK CEO transition
Guidance walk-backYes: 30% to 20-25% to 15-17% to flat

Concall Highlights & Guidance

Quotes below come from the primary transcripts filed on NSE (Q1 FY26 to Q1 FY27) where marked; earlier summaries (Arthneeti, Multibagg, ScanX, Investing.com) are secondary. Call dates: Q1 FY26 5 Aug 2025; Q2 FY26 about 16-17 Oct 2025; Q3 FY26 28 Jan 2026 (transcript filed 31 Jan); Q4 FY26 25-26 May 2026; Q1 FY27 4 Aug 2026 (host Anand Rathi).

CallResultsManagement statementsTone
Q1 FY26 (5 Aug 2025; Vikash, Manish, Nagle)Revenue ~Rs 209.5 cr; EBITDA ~Rs 64.9 cr (~31%); PAT ~Rs 45.8 cr"Around 30%" annual revenue growth if conditions persist; applications 110,000 vs 65,000 (+69%), called the leading indicator with conversion to revenue 6-9 months later; EBITDA ~25%; cost of services ~70% of revenue; no capex; tech/AI for productivity; Raj Consultants (US); no debt or equity raise; UK tightening expected "stable or growing"Confident, bullish
Q2 FY26 (~16-17 Oct 2025)Revenue Rs 162.2 cr (+24.9%); EBITDA ~Rs 63.3 cr (~39% vs 24.9%); PAT Rs 48.3 cr (+139%); stock 10% upper circuitMargin jump from "operational efficiency" and higher-margin partner mix; ~100,000 applications (vs ~68,000), ~2,000 new agents, 82 institutions added; plans for forex, loans, accommodation; aim to double processing efficiency; "strong double-digit growth", no numeric guide; accommodation facility launched; 24 Oct StudiesPlanet; 31 Oct UK board changesConfident
Q3 FY26 (28 Jan 2026)Revenue Rs 278.6 cr (+28%); PAT ~Rs 50.5 cr; EBITDA 23.2%; ~1.02 lakh applications (~90% UK); acceptance ~10%; >14,000 agents; India ~50% of applications; cash ~Rs 450 crLong-term 20-25% p.a. for 3-5 years ("conservative", secondary); normalised EBITDA 23-25% (Q3 inflated by one-off professional fees); UK ~90% to ~50% over five years; accommodation fee Rs 10-30k; loans 0.8-2%; Global Tree "only EBITDA-accretive deals"; refusal rate "far below" new 5% BCA threshold; market share under 1% of global mobility; first Rs 8 interim dividendConfident but moderating
Q4 FY26 (25-26 May 2026)Q4 revenue Rs 391.7 cr (+15.0%; +40.6% QoQ record); EBITDA Rs 93.9 cr (24.0%); PAT Rs 75.0 cr (+50.3%); FY26 revenue Rs 1,042 cr, PAT Rs 219 cr, ROE 37.2%, ROCE 48.6%; stock +10% to about Rs 224-237"Full year, we expect to grow by 15% to 17%." Asked for firm guidance: "we are going to issue the guidance in next quarter... we believe we should grow in line with the same percentage what we have been growing year-on-year basis." EBITDA: "for the current year, we can see 25%-27% will be the number." Gross margin 28-30% (FX flattered). UK below 60% "next two years". Australia more meaningful in 3-6 months. NCOA 56% of EBITDA "moderated by one of termination fees payment of around INR 55 crores". Free cash Rs 469.3 cr, borrowings Rs 1.8 cr. EduMentor USD 2.5 mn; Medway teamUpbeat print, cautious on visibility
Q1 FY27 (4 Aug 2026)Revenue Rs 201.2 cr (-4.0%); EBITDA Rs 60.0 cr (-7.6%; 29.8%); PAT Rs 47.1 cr to owners (+2.9%; total PAT Rs 46.2 cr, +0.8%); EPS Rs 2.69; net cash Rs 569.5 crCFO: "international travel disruption and widespread flight cancellations between February and June are expected to impact our Q2 performance. However, as mobility normalizes and based on our current application flow, we anticipate a recovery across Quarter 3 and Quarter 4... our full-year performance for FY27 is expected to remain broadly in line with FY26 levels." Vikash: "we have not given any guidance because we were not sure how the geopolitical things will play... even incorporating the pent-up demand, we feel we will end up in the similar line as last year." EBITDA margin "will be in the same range" (25-27%)Cautious, mildly defensive

The "20-25% minimum" line seen in some sources is garbled in the Q4 transcript and attributed to the IR advisor's side of the exchange; it is not cited as management guidance. The Q3 FY26 long-term 20-25% is a separate, secondary-sourced item.

Guidance vs actual: credibility ledger

DateGuidanceOutcomeVerdict
Aug 2025FY26 revenue ~30% growth; EBITDA ~25%Revenue +22.7%; EBITDA 27.1%Growth missed ~7 pts; margin beat
Jan 2026LT 20-25% p.a.; EBITDA 23-25% normalised; UK to 50% in 5 yrsQ4 EBITDA 24.0% in band; FY26 growth 22.7% in bandConsistent, but a cut vs Aug 2025
25 May 2026"15% to 17%" FY27 growth; when an analyst cited an earlier "15% to 20%", Dr Vikash replied "We believe that we should achieve that one subjected to if the geopolitical things get settled soon" and said firm guidance would come the next quarter (T-Q4FY26 pp12, 18-19); EBITDA 25-27%; UK below 60% in 2 yrs; Australia in 3-6 monthsAug 2026: FY27 flat; UK still 97-98.7%Growth indication withdrawn within about 10 weeks; timeline slipped (2 to 3 yrs)
Aug 2026FY27 flat, H2 recovery, EBITDA 25-27%Pending Q2/Q3H2 was about 64% of FY26 revenue; H1 at -4% needs only about +2% in H2 for a flat year (about +4-6% if Q2 falls 10-20%) [Est.]. The earlier "+10%" in the source files did not recompute

Other Q&A (primary transcripts)

TopicManagement answer
Why Q1 FY27 revenue fell"in constant currency terms, we have had a de-growth of about 4%, which is more because our volume has gone up by 15%, but the university mix has changed. As a result, we have missed couple of bonuses and couple of slabs for our top-ranked universities, which has resulted in a lower revenue per student." Plus "the war which is happening in Iran and Middle East between February and June, lot of flights got canceled. There was a very heavy fluctuation in rupee movement"
Standalone vs consolidated PBT gapSee Tab 5; recovery "in Q3"
UK concentration"within next 3 years, we should be able to reduce our UK concentration to less than 60%" (Q1 FY27 p12); Q4 said two years; currently about 97%
Acquisitions"Both the acquisition was less than INR 10 crores. And the rationale for acquisition was never to add on any benefit on revenue or EBITDA"; acquired revenue "around INR 6 crores"; Inova "a very small acquisition of less than INR 7 crores"
Ancillary"the EBITDA would go up between 2% to 5%" and "1% to 1.5% of revenue" (p13); the two are hard to reconcile
BuybackFloat about 20%; "SEBI does not allow us to do a buyback at this level... we'll talk to our compliance team"; Q4: "we would be looking at all the pros and cons"
Conversion"10% of all the unique applicants" convert; about 47,000 unique applicants in Q1
Top universitiesQ4: "top 10 university partners account for 66% of our revenue"; Q1: analyst said three universities were 41% of Q1 revenue; management: seasonal, 10-15 universities have a Q1 intake
Seasonality and visibility"Q3 is around 30% and Q4 is around 35% of the total revenue in general"; visibility "roughly between 6 to 9 months"
Cash conversion"net cash flow from operating activity as proportion to EBITDA stood at 56% for FY26, moderated by one of termination fees payment of around INR 55 crores. If we exclude this outflow, our cash conversion would have been much higher."
Promoter dilution"We still have two more years. So, whenever we find that the market is right, we will look into it. But we are not in a hurry to get it diluted"
Agent coverageCrizac represents more than 95 of about 100 UK commercial universities (Q1 FY27 p14)
Ratios quotedQ4 ROE/ROCE 37.2% / 48.6%; Q1 28.8% / 40.3% (not comparable periods)
Dividend"minimum of 40% of PAT of that year... for at least minimum of 3 years. 1 year is already done" (CFO)

Analysts who asked questions

CallParticipants and areas probed
Q1 FY27 (moderator Anand Rathi)Sapphire Capital (revenue mix, Q2, Inova, margin); Trinetra AM (applications vs enrolments, organic vs acquired); Counter Cyclical (Madhur Rathi: guidance change, PBT gap, revenue per student, buyback, concentration); Aequitas / Equitas Capital (UK concentration, VAS, acquisitions, dividends); Monarch PMS (student motivation, acquisition cost, conversion); Nineways / 9 Rays Equiresearch (post-study work visa); Stylus Holdings (declines by region, FY27 growth)
Q4 FY26Equirus, Eyesight Fintrade, NV Alpha Fund, Abbackus, YES Securities, Anand Rathi, Viansh Ventures, Sapphire, Groww MF, SS Family Office, Countercyclical, Sanctum Wealth, RSPN Ventures
Recurring themes (secondary)Contract pipeline in Australia/Canada/NZ (management: the biggest blocker); policy visibility; UK dependence; disintermediation (30-35% apply direct); agent payout creep; DSO about 110 days vs negative NWC days; FX flattering gross margin

Contradictions and tone trajectory

Post-Q1 events

Growth, Outlook & Valuation

Order book and revenue visibility

No order book is disclosed (commission per enrolled student; no backlog). Book-to-bill is not applicable. Contracts with universities have no minimum volume. Management visibility is 6-9 months. The metrics to watch are Q2/Q3 FY27 application growth and first meaningful Australia, NZ and Netherlands revenue.
ProxyValue
Applications FY26 (Q1 / Q2 / Q3 / Q4 implied)3.94 lakh (+43%); ~110k / ~100k / ~102k / ~82k
Applications Q1 FY271.04 lakh (-6.2%); 47,488 unique
EnrolmentsFY26 24,697 (+13.8%); Q1 FY27 4,751 (+15%); conversion about 8-10%
Revenue per enrolment~Rs 4.2 lakh
Partner base450+ universities, 12 destinations, 85+ source countries; 14,000-17,400 registered agents (Partner Growth Program, Sep 2026)
SeasonalityH2 = 60-65% of annual revenue; new-market ramp 1-3 years (secondary)

Guidance, catalysts and drivers

ItemDetail
FY27 revenueFlat vs FY26 (broadly in line); Q2 weak; Q3-Q4 recovery on pent-up demand
FY27 EBITDA margin25-27%
Gross margin28-30%
Ancillaries1-1.5% of revenue; 2-5% of EBITDA over time
UK shareBelow 60% in about 3 years; about 40% of revenue from newer markets in 3 years
12-month catalystsQ2 FY27 print (deadline 14 Nov 2026 [Est.]); Q3 intake data; Edument and Inova completion; Australia / NZ / Netherlands first revenue; lock-in expiry about 7 Jan 2027 [Est.]; Graduate Route cut 1 Jan 2027; Saraswat / Bafna second terms (Feb-Mar 2027); BCA phasing; any promoter OFS
Long-term driversShare gain from agent consolidation; ancillary monetisation; diversification beyond UK; India outbound 1.48m to 2.5m by 2030 (forecast); dividend policy 40% floor
Tailwinds / headwindsNo PLI. Tailwinds: AQF compliance favouring scale. Headwinds: levy from Aug 2028, Graduate Route 18 months, shrinking UK visa pool

Acquisition and partnership log (24 months)

DateDealTerms
2025Raj Consultants (US)Cited on Q1 FY26 call
23-24 Oct 2025StudiesPlanet.com51%, Rs 4.44 cr cash
6-7 Jan 2026Global Tree Careers51.04%, Rs 21.10 cr standalone (secondary: Rs 211 mn; board approval Rs 100.02 mn primary component)
Mar 2026EduMentorUSD 2.5 mn over five years
Apr 2026Medway Educational Consultants team (NZ)Team onboarded
15-16 Jun 2026ForeignAdmits / EdumentCCPS/CCD for Rs 1.2477 cr, revised to Rs 1.2373 cr on 17 Sep; ~36.80%
Jun 2026ForeignAdmits stake ~37%PIE News; not re-verified in primary filings
13 Jul 2026ETS IndiaTOEFL/GRE test-prep for agent network
27-28 Jul 2026Inova Consultancy100% for GBP 742,378; completion expected 15 Oct 2026; unconfirmed
14 Oct 2026Partner Growth ProgramPress release

Price path

Closing price, 24 Sep to 21 Oct 2026 (Rs)190175160145186.10169.08159.97156.27151.39145.70*24 Sep29 Sep8 Oct14 Oct19 Oct

*21 Oct is the 15:17 IST intraday print, not the close. 20 Oct was an exchange holiday. The 24 Sep close was +5.4% on 11 lakh shares with no filing to explain it. Down about 22% from 24 Sep in four weeks [Est.].

Price landmarks since IPO (Rs)245281333173237~170186145.7IPOList 9 Jul52w high30 Mar 2626 May20 Aug24 Sep21 Oct*Bars in time order, drawn to scale. Post-listing peak near Rs 388 (Sep 2025, secondary) is outside the 52-week window and not shown.
MarkerLevel (Rs)Source
IPO price245Business Standard
Listing~280-281BS / Business Today
Post-listing peak (about 8 Sep 2025)~388 (387.95 intraday)Kalkine, Tradebrains (secondary; outside current 52-week window)
52-week high (NSE)333 on 27 Oct 2025NSE
30 Mar 2026 low173.35Kalkine
26 May 2026237 (upper circuit Rs 246 intraday)Kalkine
3 Aug 2026~177-192 (about 195.8 in one series)Investing.com / Sahi
20 Aug 2026169-171 (then all-time low)MarketsMojo
12 Sep 2026~187Tradebrains
9 Oct 2026 / 14 Oct 2026163 / 156.55 lowUnivest / Fyers
21 Oct 2026 (15:17 IST)145.70 intraday; low 145.00NSE

1-year return about -53% vs Sensex -12% (MarketsMojo 21 Oct, secondary); stock below its 5/20/50/100/200-DMA. Zeebiz headline "Why are Crizac, Jaro, Veranda Learning and other e-learning stocks down today" was seen but is paywalled and undated, so it is not used as an explanation. Univest attributes earlier falls to FII selling, estimate cuts and liquidity (promotional, low weight).

Valuation

MetricNow (Rs 145.70)At Rs 195.8 (Aug 2026)At IPO (Rs 245)
Market capRs 2,549 crRs 3,426 cr (195.8 x 17.498 cr shares; MarketsMojo showed Rs 3,487 cr)Rs 4,287 cr
P/E12.07x (NSE); ~11.6x on TTM PAT Rs 220.4 cr [Est.]15.5x~27.7x FY25; ~24x FY26E
P/B (BV Rs 33.4)~4.4x [Est.]5.8x~8.5x FY25 (BV Rs 28.8)
EV (mcap less net cash Rs 570 cr)~Rs 1,979 cr [Est.]--
EV / TTM EBITDA (Rs 277.5 cr)~7.1x (S&P basis ~8.7x)~10.3x [Est.] (3,426 less Rs 570 cr, over Rs 277.5 cr; the 11.4x in the source files does not recompute)~17x
EV/Sales~1.9x~2.8x [Est.] (source files: 3.1x)-
P/FCF~20x (FY26 FCF)--
Dividend yield~5.5% (Rs 8)4.1%-
BuybackNone; "SEBI does not allow" at 20% float--

Street coverage (6_heard)

Analyst / houseRatingTarget (Rs)Date and note
Equirus Securities (also IPO BRLM)Buy (initiation)34531 Dec 2025; then close Rs 275.85 (+25%); note body paywalled
Aggregator "Analyst 2"BuyHigh Rs 338Undated; unnamed
Aggregator low-end analystBuy255 (now) vs 325 (earlier)Inferred cut of about 22% after August guidance reset [Est.]
Single-analyst regional page1 Buy / 1 Hold393Stale, unverified
Consensus (Investing.com / MarketScreener, 21 Oct 2026)2 Buy / 0 Hold / 0 Sell, "Strong Buy"Mean 296.50, high 338, low 255Implied upside about +95-105%; earlier snapshots (July 2026, price about Rs 199) mean 331.50, range 325-338
Others (low reliability)-AlphaSpread ~378 (348-416, stale); Bitget "Hold, 61 analysts" generic widget; Univest 260 (Jun 2026 at Rs 218.57) and 217-243 (Jul 2026); Simply Wall St "84% overvalued" at Rs 301 (stale)MarketsMojo quant: Sell grade (8 Aug 2026); "Downgraded to Average Quality" headline 19 Oct 2026 (body not retrieved); Mojo Score 70 (Buy, Oct 2025) to 54 (Hold, May 2026) to 44 (Sell, Aug 2026), fair value Rs 165-175

Weak signal: two analysts, stale targets, stock about -47% since the Equirus initiation (Rs 145.70 vs the Rs 275.85 close). Not found: Nuvama, ICICI Securities, Axis, Ambit, Systematix, Kotak notes; analyst consensus for FY27/FY28 EPS: Not Available. IPO-time calls (Jul 2025): Geojit Subscribe; Choice Subscribe (P/E 28x, EV/Sales 4.8x); SBI Securities Subscribe (170+ global HEIs); Deven Choksey Neutral (28x vs global peer median 23.4x); Arihant Neutral (top-10 institutions above 70% of FY25 revenue).

Sentiment, flows and media

VoiceStanceCore argument
Trade Brains (Abhishek Adhikary, 7 Aug 2026)NeutralFlat guide justifies part of de-rating; depends on Q3-Q4 recovery and Mexico/Netherlands
Trade Brains (12 Sep 2026)BalancedBull: 49% off high, P/E 14.8 vs industry 19.7; bear: 97% UK, tiny acquisitions, 3-year target
Sahi.com (Aug 2026)NeutralFlat FY27, H2 recovery, M&A vs visa shifts
MarketsMojo (Aug-Oct 2026)Bearish (quant)Sell grade, financial-trend score 22 to -4 in 3 months, bearish technicals
Kalkine (26 May 2026)DescriptiveUpper circuit; delivery 33.6% suggests speculative trading
ValuePickr, Reddit, X, Telegram, StockTwits, CNBC-TV18 / ET NowNot AvailableSearched; no indexed Crizac threads or interviews with Dr Vikash Agarwal

Sentiment arc: Apr-May bounce from Rs 173 to Rs 237-246 on FY26 results; Jun-Jul slide to Rs 195-218 (risk-off, FII selling); 3 Aug guidance reset and chair change; Aug-Oct grind to all-time lows. IPO GMP was about 8-9% vs actual listing +14-15%.

Final Verdict

Business QualityMediumasset-light, ROCE 48.6%, 97-99% UK
Management QualityMediumclean audit, no pledge; walk-backs, RPTs
Financial QualityStrongnet cash Rs 570 cr, no debt
ValuationAttractive12.07x P/E, 7.1x EV/EBITDA, 5.5% yield
Overall ViewNeutralcheap, but catalysts negative near term; verdict TRACK

Bull case

  1. Net cash of Rs 570 cr is 22% of the Rs 2,549 cr market cap; with 12.07x P/E and a 5.5% yield the stock pays for waiting, under a 40% standalone payout floor to FY28.
  2. Share gains: Crizac's UK study-visa share rose 3.5% to 6.0% (Indian students 9% to 13.9%), and enrolments grew 15% in Q1 FY27 while applications fell; compliance rules favour large aggregators.
  3. H2-weighted year with pent-up demand, 25-27% margins, ancillaries and non-UK markets as free options; ROCE 40-49%.

Bear case

  1. One-country, one-policy exposure that is rising (98.7% UK in Q1), in a UK visa pool down 12% in two years and 16% in the latest year, with the Graduate Route cut (Jan 2027) and the GBP 925 levy (Aug 2028) ahead.
  2. Management credibility and related parties: growth guide walked back from about 30% to 15-17% to flat, a Rs 74.9 cr break fee and Rs 103.56 cr software deal with promoter-linked or unverified counterparties, an insider chair and board churn.
  3. Technical overhang and no sponsorship: institutions down to 4.08%, 20% float, lock-in expiry about 7 Jan 2027 [Est.], 25% MPS, underwater ESOP strikes, and a weak Q2 already pre-flagged.

Base case (12-18 months)

Most likely [Analyst View]: FY27 revenue flat to slightly down at about Rs 1,040 cr, with Q2 down and H2 recovering only partly; EBITDA margin 25-27% (about Rs 260-280 cr); PAT about Rs 205-220 cr; EPS about Rs 12. FY28 growth low-to-mid single digit as the Graduate Route cut bites. The stock stays in a 12-15x P/E band (about Rs 145-185) supported by a 4.5-5.5% yield; downside to about 9-10x (about Rs 110-120) if Q2/Q3 show enrolment declines or a top-3 university re-prices. Upside to Rs 200+ needs evidence that diversification revenue is real and UK volumes stabilise. These are scenario ranges, not forecasts.

Five things to remember

  1. Price Rs 145.70 is a 15:17 IST intraday print on 21 Oct 2026 and a new 52-week low; the cause of the fall is unexplained.
  2. Q2 FY27 is not out, no board date is announced (deadline 14 Nov 2026 [Est.]), and management has pre-flagged it as weak.
  3. The Rs 56.74 cr FY26 payment was the last instalment of the GBP 7.15 mn break fee expensed in FY24; only cash flow, not FY26 profit, was affected.
  4. Standalone PBT +27.4% / PAT +28.8% is intragroup transfer pricing; consolidated PAT to owners grew 2.9% (total PAT +0.8%) and revenue fell 4.0%.
  5. Net cash Rs 570 cr, ROCE 48.6% and a 5.5% yield sit against 97-99% UK concentration and a 79.94% promoter holding with a lock-in expiry about 7 Jan 2027 [Est.].

Five questions before investing

  1. Who ultimately owns Flood 1 Ltd, Quadrange UK Holdings and Buchanan Group, and is any of them linked to Christopher Flood Nagle? (Companies House PSC).
  2. What do the Q2 FY27 applications, enrolments, university-mix and slab disclosures show, and does the 25-27% margin hold?
  3. What is the revenue share of the top-3 universities by name, and are any contracts up for renewal in the 2027-28 cycle?
  4. How will the promoters comply with the 25% minimum public holding, and will the stock absorb a block or OFS of about 87 lakh shares?
  5. Is Rs 103.56 cr of software from a promoter-family vendor, still 16.52% owned by Crizac itself, fairly valued and used at arm's length?

Opinion [Analyst View]. Crizac is a cash-rich, high-return business priced at 12.07x earnings with a 5.5% yield, but the earnings base is exposed to one country's visa policy, management has walked its own guidance back, related-party dealings and an insider chair are unresolved, institutions are exiting, and the weak Q2 print and promoter lock-in expiry (about 7 Jan 2027 [Est.]) are both close. Valuation limits the downside; evidence does not yet support putting capital to work. Keep it on the watch list with explicit triggers: a Companies House answer on Flood 1 Ltd, a Q2 print showing enrolment and margin resilience, and clarity on the promoter sell-down path.

TRACK

Sources

All sources accessed 21 Oct 2026 unless a date is shown. Short keys used in the primary-document passages: AR = FY26 annual report; RHP = Red Herring Prospectus; T-Q1FY27 etc. = concall transcripts; RES-Q1 = Q1 FY27 results filing; PR-Q1 = Q1 FY27 press release. Extracted filing text is stored in the Aamara research scratchpad.

Primary filings and company documents

  • AR FY26 (covering annual report and notice, 18 Aug 2026): https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/CRIZAC0301_18082026204356_Covering_Annual_report_and_notice.pdf
  • AR FY26 (NSE annual reports path): https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/annual_reports/AR_30418_CRIZAC_2025_2026_A_13937479_18082026210012.pdf
  • RHP: https://www.crizac.com/investors_file/prospectus/RHP.pdf
  • RHP (Equirus Wealth copy): https://cdn.equiruswealth.com/ecpl/uploads/2025/06/Crizac-Limited-RHP.pdf
  • Q1 FY27 transcript (7 Aug 2026): https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/CRIZAC0301_07082026183303_Submission_of_Transcript_of_Earning_Call.pdf
  • Q4 FY26 transcript (27 May 2026): https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/CRIZAC0301_27052026141731_Submission_of_Transcript_of_Earning_Call.pdf
  • Q3 FY26 transcript (31 Jan 2026): https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/CRIZAC0301_31012026133040_Submission_of_Transcript_of_Earning_Call.pdf
  • Q2 FY26 transcript: NSE corporate archive, file stamp CRIZAC0301_21102025161235; Q1 FY26 transcript: NSE corporate archive, file stamp CRIZAC0301_08082025183406 (full file names not recorded in the research files, so no URL is given; browse https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/ with the stamp)
  • Outcome of board meeting, Q1 FY27 results (3 Aug 2026): https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/CRIZAC0301_03082026133505_Outcome_of_Board_Meeting_final.pdf
  • Q1 FY27 press release: https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/CRIZAC0301_03082026184509_Press_Release.pdf
  • Q1 FY27 investor presentation (4 Aug 2026; not mined in detail): https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/CRIZAC0301_04082026120504_Investor_Presentation.pdf
  • FY26 investor presentation (27 May 2026): https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/CRIZAC0301_27052026181109_Investor_Presentation_PPT.pdf
  • ESOP grant (3 Aug 2026): https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/CRIZAC0301_03082026171412_Regulation_30_Grant_of_Employee_Stock_Options.pdf
  • Nagle resignation / UK CEO change (3 Aug 2026): https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/CRIZAC0301_03082026141329_Regulation_30_christopher_Resignation.pdf
  • Investor call intimation (29 Jul 2026): https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/CRIZAC0301_29072026172532_Investor_Call_Intimation_final.pdf
  • Dividend record-date intimation (28 Jan 2026): https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/CRIZAC0301_28012026124406_Intimation_of_Record_Date.pdf
  • Trading window closure (25 Sep 2026): https://nsearchives.nseindia.com/corporate/CRIZAC0301_25092026125440_Closure_for_Trading_Window.pdf
  • SAST 31(4) promoter holding filing: team_bbodade_13052026162714_CRIZAC.pdf (NSE file; the stamp reads 13 May 2026 while ScanX describes an April 2026 disclosure, so these may be two filings; full NSE path not recorded in the research files); see also https://scanx.trade/stock-market-news/companies/crizac-ltd-promoter-holds-13-99-crore-shares-in-fy26/43789043
  • NSE corporate announcements feed: https://www.nseindia.com/api/corporate-announcements?index=equities&symbol=CRIZAC
  • NSE board meetings feed: https://www.nseindia.com/api/corporate-board-meetings?index=equities&symbol=CRIZAC
  • NSE live quote (21 Oct 2026, 15:17 IST): https://www.nseindia.com/api/NextApi/apiClient/GetQuoteApi?functionName=getSymbolData&marketType=N&series=EQ&symbol=CRIZAC
  • Yahoo Finance daily closes: https://query1.finance.yahoo.com/v8/finance/chart/CRIZAC.NS

Financial data, shareholding and valuation

  • Screener consolidated: https://www.screener.in/company/CRIZAC/consolidated/
  • StockAnalysis income statement: https://stockanalysis.com/quote/nse/CRIZAC/financials/income-statement/
  • StockAnalysis balance sheet: https://stockanalysis.com/quote/nse/CRIZAC/financials/balance-sheet/
  • StockAnalysis cash flow: https://stockanalysis.com/quote/nse/CRIZAC/financials/cash-flow-statement/
  • StockAnalysis statistics: https://stockanalysis.com/quote/nse/CRIZAC/statistics/
  • Marketsmojo Q1 FY27: https://www.marketsmojo.com/news/result-analysis/crizac-ltd-q1-fy27-profit-growth-masks-revenue-decline-amid-margin-volatility-4134221
  • Marketsmojo Q4 FY26: https://www.marketsmojo.com/news/result-analysis/crizac-q4-fy26-strong-profit-surge-masks-valuation-concerns-as-stock-rallies-10-4012156
  • Marketsmojo 52-week low: https://www.marketsmojo.com/news/stocks-in-action/crizac-ltd-stock-falls-to-52-week-low-of-rs14895-amidst-continued-downtrend-4232180
  • Marketsmojo weekly decline: https://www.marketsmojo.com/news/stocks-in-action/crizac-ltd-falls-377-four-key-factors-driving-the-weekly-decline-4142642
  • Marketsmojo prolonged downtrend: https://www.marketsmojo.com/news/stocks-in-action/crizac-ltd-declines-352-5-key-factors-behind-the-prolonged-downtrend-4164672
  • Upstox shareholding: https://upstox.com/stocks/crizac-limited-shareholding/
  • Choice shareholding: https://choiceindia.com/stocks/crizac-ltd-shareholding-pattern
  • Dhan: https://dhan.co/stocks/crizac-ltd-fundamental-analysis/
  • Angel One shareholding: https://www.angelone.in/stocks/crizac-ltd/shareholding
  • Trendlyne bulk/block deals: https://trendlyne.com/equity/bulk-block-deals/CRIZAC/3156545/crizac-ltd/
  • Kotak Neo Q3/Q4 FY26: https://www.kotakneo.com/financial-results/crizac-share-price-q3fy2025-26-results
  • Fyers: https://fyers.in/stocks/crizac-ltd
  • Bajaj Finserv: https://www.bajajfinserv.in/app-v1/investments/crizac-share-price
  • Univest 52-week low: https://univest.in/blogs/why-crizac-limited-share-price-52-week-low-2026-08-31
  • Univest falling: https://univest.in/blogs/why-is-crizac-share-price-falling
  • Value Research IndiaMART: https://www.valueresearchonline.com/stocks/254399/indiamart-intermesh-ltd/
  • Companies House PSC for Flood 1 Ltd: Not Available (not fetched); Graphlytic page for Flood 1 Ltd used via search

Concall summaries and transcripts (secondary)

  • Quartr Q1 FY27: https://quartr.com/events/crizac-limited-crizac-q1-26-27_F1RnTfw5
  • AlphaStreet Q1 FY27 transcript: https://alphastreet.com/india/crizac-ltd-crizac-q1-2027-earnings-call-transcript/
  • AlphaStreet Q2 FY26: https://alphastreet.com/india/crizac-q2-fy26-earnings-results
  • Investing.com Q1 FY27 transcript: https://www.investing.com/news/transcripts/earnings-call-transcript-kreizac-q1-2027-revenue-slips-as-stock-falls-21-93CH-4834237
  • Investing.com Q1 FY27 slides (enrolment): https://www.investing.com/news/company-news/crizac-q1-fy27-slides-enrollment-growth-offsets-revenue-dip-93CH-4834309
  • Investing.com Q1 FY27 slides (UK concentration): https://ca.investing.com/news/company-news/crizac-q1-fy27-slides-revenue-dips-4-as-uk-concentration-persists-93CH-4774093
  • Arthneeti Q1 FY27: https://arthneeti.com/insights/crizac-ltd-q1-fy27-earnings
  • Arthneeti Q1 FY26: https://www.arthneeti.com/insights/crizac-ltd-q1-fy26-earnings
  • Arthneeti Q3 FY26: https://www.arthneeti.com/stocks/crizac-ltd/concall/q3-fy26-earnings-call-analysis
  • Arthneeti Q4 FY26: https://www.arthneeti.com/stocks/crizac-ltd/concall/q4-fy26-earnings-call-analysis
  • Multibagg FY26: https://www.multibagg.ai/market-pulse/articles/crizac-fy26-growth-94830
  • Multibagg Q1 FY27: https://www.multibagg.ai/market-pulse/articles/crizac-q1-fy27-97088
  • Multibagg Q1 FY27 margin: https://www.multibagg.ai/market-pulse/articles/crizac-q1-fy27-profit-margin-cmsd0vm1700he0zqwqczb7q5i
  • EquityEdge: https://equityedgeresearch.substack.com/p/crizac-ltd
  • Sahi FY27 guidance: https://www.sahi.com/news/crizac-expects-flattish-fy27-performance-with-recovery-anticipated-in-q3-and-q4-3689792-PE1_
  • Sahi ETS India: https://www.sahi.com/news/crizac-wins-ets-india-partnership-boosting-global-test-access-for-1-lakh-students-3689792-PE1_

News and company coverage

  • PIE News FY26 results: https://thepienews.com/crizac-profit-jumps-41-as-revenue-rises-23/
  • PIE News ForeignAdmits: https://thepienews.com/crizac-takes-37-stake-in-foreignadmits/
  • ThePrint ForeignAdmits PR: https://theprint.in/ani-press-releases/crizac-accelerates-vision-for-end-to-end-student-mobility-with-foreignadmits-partnership/2961264/
  • ScanX Q1 results: https://scanx.trade/stock-market-news/companies/crizac-q1-results-net-profit-rises-to-471m-yoy-ebitda-margin-expands-to-30-40/47290547
  • ScanX Q4 call schedule: https://scanx.trade/stock-market-news/companies/crizac-limited-schedules-q4fy26-earnings-call-on-may-25/40838426
  • ScanX FY26 board: https://scanx.trade/stock-market-news/companies/crizac-board-to-meet-on-may-25-to-consider-fy26-results/40814998
  • ScanX Inova: https://scanx.trade/stock-market-news/companies/crizac-acquires-inova-consultancy-for-742-378-to-expand-into-netherlands/46688337
  • ScanX Nagle: https://scanx.trade/stock-market-news/companies/crizac-uk-ceo-nagle-resigns-joins-parent-board-as-chairman/47293054
  • ScanX Edument: https://scanx.trade/stock-market-news/companies/crizac-ltd-reduces-edument-stake-36-80-revised-deal/51185043
  • ScanX ESOP: https://scanx.trade/stock-market-news/companies/crizac-approves-35-59-000-esops-under-2026-plan/47364068
  • ScanX internal auditor: https://scanx.trade/stock-market-news/companies/crizac-internal-auditor-ghoshal-co-resigns/40904018
  • ScanX Q3: https://scanx.trade/stock-market-news/earnings/crizac-reports-strong-q3-performance-with-net-profit-rising-to-500-million-rupees/31127537
  • ScanX Q2: https://scanx.trade/stock-market-news/earnings/crizac-reports-robust-q2-fy26-performance-with-139-jump-in-net-profit/22206999
  • ScanX stock page: https://scanx.trade/stock-news/crizac-ltd
  • HDFC Sky StudiesPlanet: https://hdfcsky.com/news/crizac-expands-internationally-with-studiesplanet-com-acquisition
  • Business Standard Q2 FY26 circuit: https://www.business-standard.com/markets/news/crizac-shares-hit-10-percent-upper-circuit-on-posting-q2-results-quick-overview-125101700304_1.html
  • Trade Brains 52% fall: https://tradebrains.in/crizac-stock-falls-52-from-52-week-high-amid-uk-headwinds-is-a-recovery-around-the-corner/
  • Trade Brains UK dependence: https://tradebrains.in/indian-markets/will-97-uk-dependence-become-a-threat-for-this-student-recruitment-company-12514225
  • Kalkine: https://www.kalkine.co.in/article/technology/crizac-stock-jumps-6-whats-fueling-investor-interest
  • Equitybulls: https://equitybulls.com/category.php?id=371210
  • Blinkx board: https://blinkx.in/insights/bod/crizac-ltd-board-of-directors
  • Planify: https://www.planify.in/article/crizac-limited-ipo-review-a-deep-dive-into-the-international-education-recruitment-opportunity/
  • Tofler (a different "Pinky Agarwal", DIN 01270548; does not match the DIN 03043682 in the NSE resignation letter, so not used for Crizac): https://tofler.in/pinky-agarwal/director/01270548
  • Torus Digital: https://www.torusdigital.com/toruscope/?p=10644
  • Zeebiz e-learning stocks (paywalled, headline only; not used as cause): https://www.zeebiz.com/market-news/news-why-are-crizac-jaro-veranda-learning-and-other-e-learning-stocks-down-today-explained-400608
  • ValuePickr search (no results): https://forum.valuepickr.com/search?q=crizac
  • Simply Wall St: https://simplywall.st/community/narratives/in/consumer-services/nse-crizac/crizac-shares
  • Yespress: https://yespress.io/crizac-ltd (via search summary)

IPO documents and reviews

  • Business Standard IPO structure: https://www.business-standard.com/amp/markets/ipo/crizac-to-launch-860-cr-ipo-on-july-2-with-reduced-ofs-component-125062600701_1.html
  • Business Standard subscription: https://www.business-standard.com/markets/ipo/crizac-s-860-crore-ipo-subscribed-59-82-times-on-final-bidding-day-125070401015_1.html
  • Business Standard listing: https://www.business-standard.com/amp/markets/news/crizac-shares-list-at-14-premium-on-bourse-miss-ipo-gmp-forecast-125070900197_1.html
  • Business Standard Abakkus: https://www.business-standard.com/markets/news/crizac-gains-34-percent-in-two-days-of-listing-abakkus-asset-buys-2-1-percent-equity-125071000354_1.html
  • Business Standard anchors: https://www.business-standard.com/markets/mutual-fund/sundaram-mf-to-launch-multi-factor-fund-crizac-raises-nearly-258-crore-125070101614_1.html
  • The Week anchors: https://www.theweek.in/wire-updates/business/2025/07/01/dcm137-biz-crizac-anchor.html
  • The Week IPO: https://www.theweek.in/wire-updates/business/2025/06/26/dcm44-biz-ipo-crizac.html
  • DSIJ: https://insights.dsij.in/dsijarticledetail/crizacs-rs-860-crore-ipo-to-open-on-july-2-should-you-subscribe-to-this-b2b-education-platform-50350
  • SP Tulsian: https://www.sptulsian.com/f/ipo-analysis/crizac
  • Tradejini: https://www.tradejini.com/blogs/crizac-limited-ipo-a-comprehensive-analysis-of-the-education-platforms-public-offering
  • Liquide: https://blog.liquide.life/crizac-ipo-review-analysis-2025/
  • Zerodha: http://zerodha.com/ipo/418640/crizac-limited/
  • Rupeezy: https://rupeezy.in/ipo/crizac-ipo
  • IPO Central: https://ipocentral.in/crizac-ipo-review-tapping-%e2%82%b92-4-lakh-cr-market/
  • Outlook Money: https://www.outlookmoney.com/invest/crizac-ipo-5-key-things-to-know-about-educational-services-providers-public-issue-today
  • Equentis: https://www.equentis.com/ipos/crizac-ipo_92959
  • Sharekhan: https://www.sharekhan.com/ipo/crizac-ltd
  • Angel One DRHP delay: https://www.angelone.in/news/ipos/sebi-delays-crizac-rs-1000-cr-ipo
  • Arihant Capital: https://www.arihantcapital.com/News/News-Details/1615353/investor-attention

Brokerage and consensus

  • Investing.com consensus: https://www.investing.com/equities/crizac-ltd-consensus-estimates
  • MarketScreener, Equirus initiation: https://www.marketscreener.com/news/equirus-securities-starts-crizac-at-buy-with-inr345-price-target-ce7e59d8dc8ef025
  • Sharpely: https://sharpely.in/stocks/crizac/forecast
  • AlphaSpread: https://www.alphaspread.com/security/nse/crizac/analyst-estimates
  • Bitget: https://www.bitget.com/stock/nse-crizac/forecast
  • Univest target: https://univest.in/blogs/crizac-share-price-target-2026
  • Univest 2027: https://univest.in/blogs/crizac-share-price-prediction-2027

Industry, policy and peers

  • UK Graduate Route (PIE News): https://thepienews.com/shorter-graduate-route-from-january-2027-uk-govt-confirms/
  • UK immigration white paper (UUK): https://www.universitiesuk.ac.uk/topics/international/uk-government-immigration-white-paper
  • BCA phasing (PIE News): https://thepienews.com/phased-implementation-of-new-uk-bca-thresholds-confirmed/
  • UK levy (ICEF): https://monitor.icef.com/2025/11/uk-confirms-international-fee-levy-of-925-per-student-starting-august-2028
  • UK levy consultation response (LexisNexis): https://www.lexisnexis.co.uk/legal/news/dfe-publishes-consultation-response-draft-legislation-for-international-student-levy
  • Wonkhe levy: https://wonkhe.com/wonk-corner/international-fee-levy-confirmed
  • UK AQF (HEPI): https://www.hepi.ac.uk/2026/05/17/weekend-reading-the-agent-quality-framework-and-the-optics-of-compliance/
  • UK study visas (Deccan Chronicle): https://www.deccanchronicle.com/southern-states/telangana/uk-sees-indian-students-seeking-study-visas-dropping-1974437
  • UK visas Indian (Business Today): https://www.businesstoday.in/amp/nri/study/story/indians-top-uk-visas-in-2025-with-over-95000-study-permits-leading-graduate-and-worker-routes-519709-2026-03-09
  • Canada 2026 cap (CIC News): https://www.cicnews.com/2025/11/canada-announces-2026-study-permit-cap-1162628.html
  • Canada Indian share (Business Standard): https://www.business-standard.com/immigration/canada-sees-indian-student-share-fall-below-10-in-2025-what-led-to-drop-126040100687_1.html
  • Canada Indian numbers (Deccan Chronicle): https://www.deccanchronicle.com/southern-states/telangana/telangana-indian-students-opting-for-canadian-colleges-decline-1973667
  • Australia NPL (IEAA): https://ieaa.org.au/IEAA/News/2025/Australian-Government-2026-National-Planning-Level.aspx
  • US F-1 decline (Business Today): https://www.businesstoday.in/nri/visa/story/us-visa-rules-tighten-indian-students-hit-hardest-face-62-drop-in-f-1-approvals-new-stay-curbs-547805-2026-08-07
  • US visa issuance (ICEF): https://monitor.icef.com/2026/08/us-department-of-state-issued-23-fewer-study-visas-to-international-students-in-2025/
  • IDP FY26 (company): https://careers.idp.com/news/fy26research
  • IDP FY26 (Motley Fool AU): https://www.fool.com.au/2026/08/20/idp-education-posts-steep-fy26-profit-drop-but-stays-on-transformation-track/
  • IDP share data (eToro): https://www.etoro.com/markets/iel.asx
  • IndiaMART FY26 (FilingReader): https://filingreader.com/news-wire/mumbai/2026-05-04/indiamart-revenue-hits-inr-1569-crore-with-total-rs-60-dividend
  • Leverage Edu (Entrackr): https://entrackr.com/fintrackr/leverage-edu-crosses-rs-180-cr-revenue-in-fy25-8912069
  • Leap Scholar (Inc42): https://inc42.com/company/leap/financials/
  • Keystone Education Group AR 2025: https://www.keg.com/hubfs/Keystone%20Education%20Group%20Annual%20Report%202025.pdf

Not Available (searched, not found)

ItemWhere searched
Credit ratingCRISIL, ICRA, CARE, India Ratings searches; Screener documents list
ISO / SOC certificationsRHP, AR text, company website
Beneficial owners of Flood 1 Ltd, Quadrange UK, Buchanan GroupRHP; Graphlytic; Companies House PSC not fetched
Cause of 21 Oct 2026 fallNSE filings feed, web search
Named sell-side beyond Equirus; FY27/FY28 consensus EPSInvesting.com, MarketScreener, Sharpely, AlphaSpread
Per-agent commission, per-university revenueRHP, AR, five transcripts, Q1 FY27 deck (university table not mined)
Index membership; named >1% holders; scheme-level MF holdingsNSE quote, Upstox, Trendlyne; BSE XBRL not retrieved
Forums and social (ValuePickr, Reddit, X, StockTwits)Searched; no Crizac content indexed

Report depth note

Crizac is a mainboard stock but a thin-disclosure name: 15 months of listing history, no rating, no debt, about 20% float, two sell-side analysts, and no social-forum footprint. Multi-year sections (dilution, credit, history) are short for that reason, not because of omission.