Aamara Capital12 Oct 2026 · For internal use only
PTC Industries Ltd
NSE: PTCIL · BSE: 539006 · Aerospace & Defence Materials
CMP
₹25,339
Mkt Cap
₹40,156 Cr
P/E TTM
~320x

PTC Industries Ltd

NSE: PTCIL · BSE: 539006 · ISIN-listed equity, face value ₹10 · Aerospace & Defence — titanium/superalloy materials, precision castings, forgings, machining · Not to be confused with PTC India Ltd (power trading)
FY26 Revenue from ops
₹602.8 Cr
+95.7% YoY · total income ₹643.3 Cr [Fact]
FY26 PAT
₹101.6 Cr
+66.4% YoY · EPS ₹67.76 [Fact]
FY26 EBITDA margin
22.2%
core ex other income, ₹134 Cr on Screener basis (₹131.8 Cr / 21.9% on company total-income basis: 172.3 − OI 40.5) [Est.]; company-reported 26.8% incl. other income [Fact]
FY26 RoE / RoCE
7.0% / 8.0%
company definitions (placement doc) [Fact]

Market data

ItemValue
CMP (NSE)₹25,339 — Screener.in, 12 Oct 2026, 12:40 pm IST (+3.23% on day) [Fact]
Shares outstanding (post-QIP)1,58,47,249 (pre-QIP 1,49,92,549 + 8,54,700 QIP shares allotted 9 Oct 2026) [Fact]
Market cap (post-QIP)₹40,156 Cr [Est.] (Screener shows ₹37,989 Cr on pre-QIP count)
52-week high / low₹25,498 / ₹14,499 (Screener) [Fact]
TTM P/E~320x on post-QIP shares [Est.] (Screener 302x on pre-QIP count)
P/B~12.0x on post-issue book ₹3,337 Cr [Est.] (Screener 24.5x on Mar-26 book)
EV / TTM core EBITDA~224x [Est.] · EV/TTM sales ~55x [Est.]
DividendNil — no dividend paid in any year shown (FY13–FY26) [Fact]
QIP (Oct 2026)₹1,799.99 Cr at ₹21,060/share (floor ₹22,150; 4.9% discount) [Fact]
ListingBSE (moved listing to BSE in 2015; earlier OTCEI 1994); NSE listing 2023 [Fact]
Index membershipNot verified — not found in sources accessed

Company overview

ItemDetail
Incorporated20 Mar 1963 as Precision Tools & Castings Pvt Ltd; renamed PTC Industries Ltd on 22 Jan 1999 [Fact]
FounderLate Shri Satish Chandra Agarwal (India’s first investment-casting foundry, 1963) [Fact]
HQ / Regd officeAdvanced Manufacturing & Technology Centre (AMTC), NH-25A, Sarai Sahjadi, Bani, Lucknow 226401, UP
Promoter / CMDSachin Agarwal (on Board since 1998; MBA Univ. of Tulsa, MSc Finance Boston College); promoter group 59.72% pre-QIP → 56.46% post-QIP [Fact]
Key subsidiariesAerolloy Technologies Ltd (100%, India) · Trac Holdings Ltd → Trac Precision Solutions Ltd (100%, Crewe, UK) [Fact]
FacilitiesAMTC Lucknow · Mehsana (Gujarat) · SMTC, UP Defence Corridor, Lucknow (Aerolloy) · Crewe, UK (Trac) [Fact]
Employees720 permanent (incl. 145 trainees) at standalone level, 31 Mar 2026; group headcount not disclosed [Fact]
AuditorS. N. Dhawan & Co LLP (appointed at 60th AGM, 2023, for 5 yrs); FY26 report unqualified [Fact]
Credit ratingICRA A (Stable) / A1 — upgraded 27 Mar 2026 [Fact]
SectorAerospace & defence materials and components; legacy industrial castings

What the company does — in plain English

PTC Industries is a 63-year-old Lucknow foundry that is turning itself into India’s only vertically integrated titanium and nickel-superalloy house. The legacy business (standalone PTC, about ₹290 Cr revenue in FY26) makes investment castings — pump casings, valves, impellers, marine and defence parts — mostly for export. The growth business sits in the wholly owned subsidiary Aerolloy Technologies, which since 2025 operates vacuum arc remelting (VAR), vacuum induction melting (VIM) and plasma arc melting (PAM) furnaces and a 4,500/5,100-tonne open-die forging press at the Strategic Materials Technology Complex (SMTC) in the Lucknow node of the UP Defence Industrial Corridor; an electron-beam cold-hearth remelting (EBCHR) furnace and rolling mills are still being commissioned. Aerolloy melts titanium sponge and scrap into aerospace-grade ingots and turns them into castings, forgings and (soon) plates and sheets for Airbus, Safran, Honeywell, Dassault, BAE Systems, Blue Origin, BrahMos, DRDO and ISRO. A December 2024 UK acquisition, Trac Precision Solutions, adds machining of hot-section turbine blades and vanes for Rolls-Royce, Safran, GE and Siemens programmes. [Fact]

Quick verdict scorecard

Business
Strong
Management
Medium
Financial
Weak
Valuation
Expensive
Overall
Neutral
Bottom line
A rare, hard-to-replicate strategic-materials platform with credible global customer validation, priced at ~320x trailing earnings and ~62x the only published FY28 broker estimate (after re-basing for the new shares), with operating cash flow negative in two of the last five years (FY24, FY26) and cumulatively negative (−₹79 Cr) over FY22–FY26. The business is real; the price already assumes the execution. [Analyst View]
Data freshness: price/market data Screener.in 12 Oct 2026 (12:40 pm IST); financials to Q1 FY27 (quarter ended 30 Jun 2026); QIP placement document dated 9 Oct 2026; QIP allotment corrigendum 10 Oct 2026. All ₹ Cr unless stated. Fiscal year ends 31 March.

Analyst Notes

The editorial read before the data. First-person, opinionated, numerate. [Analyst View]

What just happened. FY26 was the year the SMTC stopped being a slide and started being a plant. Consolidated revenue roughly doubled to ₹603 Cr and PAT rose 66% to ₹102 Cr, but look at where it came from: Trac (bought for ₹181 Cr in Dec 2024) contributed about ₹247 Cr of total income (pre inter-company elimination) at only ~6% EBITDA, Aerolloy tripled to ₹190 Cr of total income at a 47% EBITDA margin and ₹68 Cr of PAT, and the legacy standalone business actually shrank its PAT by 6% to ₹33 Cr. Q4 FY26 was spectacular (company-reported EBITDA margin 35.6%, PAT ₹60 Cr); Q1 FY27 normalised (27.5%, PAT ₹29 Cr) as Aerolloy’s total income fell ~25% QoQ from ~₹99 Cr to ₹74 Cr. The inflection is genuine but lumpy — development and first-article orders are being billed in bunches.

What the market is pricing. At ₹25,339 the company is worth ~₹40,150 Cr on the post-QIP share count — about 320x trailing PAT, ~58x trailing revenue and ~12x post-QIP book. The stock trades above the ₹21,060 QIP price fixed on 9 Oct 2026 and above ICICI Securities’ ₹21,500 target (2 Jun 2026; 50x FY28E EPS). Re-basing I-Sec’s FY28E PAT of ₹645 Cr to 1.585 Cr shares gives EPS of ~₹407, so the stock is already at ~62x a two-year-forward estimate that itself assumes revenue more than triples from FY26 to ₹2,187 Cr. The market is paying today for FY29–FY31 earnings from Airbus, Safran LEAP, Honeywell and Blue Origin programmes that are mostly still in qualification.

Why the business deserves a premium. The moat is real: aerospace titanium and superalloy castings need multi-year customer qualification, NADCAP special-process approvals and CEMILAC airworthiness clearances; very few companies outside the US, France, Russia and China can melt aerospace-grade titanium. PTC now holds VAR, VIM, PAM and a large open-die press on one site, has LTAs with Dassault (Rafale/Falcon, Jan 2024), Safran (seven LEAP-1A/1B castings, Mar 2025), Honeywell (2025) and Airbus (A320neo/A330neo/A350, Aug 2026), and is moving into sub-systems (BrahMos airframe system, ARDE titanium cradle). The Q1 FY27 Aerolloy EBITDA margin of 45% shows what qualified product earns. Global titanium supply is concentrated in China and Russia, and Western primes want alternatives — a structural tailwind.

What tempers the enthusiasm (1): cash. Reported profits have not turned into cash. Cumulative PAT FY22–FY26 was ~₹244 Cr; cumulative operating cash flow was negative ~₹79 Cr, and free cash flow was about −₹827 Cr. FY26 CFO was −₹69 Cr as receivables jumped ₹127 Cr and inventory ₹91 Cr; Screener’s cash conversion cycle is ~970 days. Management explains this as qualification-phase WIP (ingots, forgings and castings awaiting first-article approval), which is plausible for a melt-to-part business — but it means the company has funded itself almost entirely with shareholders’ money: about ₹2,910 Cr of equity raised since 2022 against ₹244 Cr of cumulative profit. Other income (mostly interest on QIP cash plus a ₹19 Cr FX gain) was ~30–32% of FY26 PBT (Screener ₹38 Cr vs company ₹40.5 Cr other income); the new ₹1,769 Cr of net proceeds will again inflate reported PAT through treasury income until deployed.

What tempers the enthusiasm (2): capital allocation and timelines. Of the October 2026 QIP’s ₹1,769 Cr net proceeds, ₹621 Cr is earmarked for “unidentified acquisitions” and ₹437 Cr for general corporate purposes — 60% with no named use. The EBCHR furnace was bought in August 2022 (second-hand, 5,000 tpa) and is still “under commissioning” in the October 2026 placement document; the hot rolling mill bought in August 2024 is still being installed; I-Sec had expected EBCHR in Q1 FY27. The original 2022 plan spoke of ~₹125 Cr over two years for Phase 1; actual group capex was ~₹117 Cr (FY24), ₹190 Cr (FY25) and ₹317 Cr (FY26), with another ₹499 Cr for Aerolloy and ₹146 Cr for Trac now planned. ICRA’s March 2026 note described a ~₹500 Cr FY26–28 capex funded by debt and accruals; its April 2026 Aerolloy rationale put the SMTC project at ~₹700 Cr, ~₹400 Cr already spent, ~₹300 Cr left to spend over FY27–28; the project funded partly by ~₹300 Cr of debt and partly by accruals/liquidity. Six months later the QIP earmarks ₹480 Cr (of a ₹499 Cr Aerolloy expansion) — more than the ~₹300 Cr ICRA understood to be outstanding — and shifts the funding from debt to equity. Whether this is the same programme re-funded, an enlarged scope, or both is not disclosed. [Analyst View]

How I would frame it. This is a high-quality, strategically important franchise in the middle of a capital-heavy build, owned by a promoter family that has executed ambitious technical projects but repeatedly chosen dilution at rising prices over balance-sheet discipline. The investment case is binary on qualification conversion: if Airbus/Safran/Honeywell parts move to serial production on schedule and EBCHR delivers cheap recycled titanium, FY29+ earnings could justify much of today’s value; if qualification slips 12–24 months (common in aerospace), the multiple has no support from current cash flows. I would want evidence of (a) positive operating cash flow for two consecutive half-years, (b) EBCHR and rolling-mill commissioning, (c) a disclosed order book, and (d) a named use for the ₹621 Cr acquisition kitty before paying ~62x two-year-forward earnings.

Read the rest of the report with these in mind
  • Aerolloy margins (45% EBITDA in Q1 FY27) and its quarterly run-rate (₹74–99 Cr) are the single best leading indicator.
  • Watch receivables + WIP vs revenue; cash conversion is the weakest link.
  • Separate core EBITDA from “EBITDA incl. other income” — the company headline uses the latter.
  • Track the share count: 52.4 lakh (Mar-22) → 158.5 lakh (Oct-26), 3.0x.
  • Raheja Leasing suit (₹94.7 Cr damages claim over the 2022 rights issue) is the only material civil litigation.

Business Deep-Dive

Products, processes, facilities, certifications, customers, IP. Sources: QIP placement document (9 Oct 2026), FY26 annual report, company press releases. [Fact] unless marked.

Product verticals

VerticalKey productsPrincipal processesEnd usesEntity
Industrial castingsPump casings, valves/valve bodies, impellers, flow-control housings in stainless, duplex, super-duplex, NAB and high alloysAir-melt investment casting; RapidCast™, Replicast® (licensed), PrintCast™Oil & gas, LNG, marine, petrochemical, pulp & paper, power, defencePTC standalone (AMTC, Mehsana)
Aerospace castingsTitanium & superalloy precision investment castings; equiaxed, directionally solidified (DS) and single-crystal (SX) airfoils (blades, buckets, vanes)Vacuum investment casting; titanium casting with ceramic shelling; HIP; vacuum heat treatmentAero-engines, airframes, defence, space, industrial gas turbinesAerolloy (SMTC) + AMTC development base
Strategic materials & metal productsTitanium alloy ingots; Ni/Co superalloy ingots; cast sticks; billets, bars, rods, plates, sheetsVAR, PAM, VIM; EBCHR (under commissioning); rolling mills (under installation)Aerospace, defence, space (e.g. VSSC/ISRO Ti-6Al-4V ingots)Aerolloy (SMTC)
ForgingsOpen-die forgings in titanium and superalloys4,500/5,100-tonne Intelligent Open Die Forging System (production from Mar 2026)Aero-engines, defence, space, IGTAerolloy (SMTC)
Precision machining & finishingMachined castings; HP/LP turbine blades, nozzle guide vanes, heat shields, seal segments5-axis machining, 5-/3-axis CNC grinding, EDM, fast/deep-hole drilling, dissimilar-metal TIG welding, airflow/waterflow testingAero-engines, IGT, defenceTrac (Crewe, UK); CNC shops in India
Systems & sub-systems (new)BrahMos strategic metallic airframe system & integration (Jul 2026); ARDE titanium cradle for 105 mm Light Tank (design-led); Gun Factory Kanpur artillery componentsIntegration, joining, fluid-system, control assembliesStrategic missiles, land systemsPTC standalone

How it is made — the “PTC ONE: From Melt to Mission” route

InputsTitanium sponge, Ti scrap, Ni/Co master alloys, ferro-alloys, ceramics
→
MeltVAR (1,500 tpa, bought 2021), PAM (~600 tpa), VIM; EBCHR 5,000 tpa pending
→
FormOpen-die forging 4,500/5,100 t; rolling mills (plates/sheets) pending; investment casting
→
ProcessHIP, vacuum heat-treat, chem-milling, NDT (NADCAP)
→
Finish5-axis machining; Trac UK hot-section finishing
→
CustomerOEM primes, DRDO labs, DPSUs, ISRO, space launch

Investment-casting stages: engineering & simulation → wax/foam/3D-printed patterns → robotic ceramic shell building → de-wax → melting & pouring (titanium under vacuum/inert gas; airfoils with controlled solidification for equiaxed/DS/SX structures) → knockout & fettling → heat treatment/HIP → NDT, metallurgical and mechanical testing → multi-axis CNC machining. Titanium casting operations began in 2015 — the first titanium investment castings made in India (D&B report commissioned by the company).

Facilities

FacilityEntityArea (sq m)ActivitiesKey equipment / status
AMTC, Lucknow (HQ)PTC65,758Medium-to-large high-integrity investment castings (industrial, defence); development base for Ti/superalloy castings; R&D (DSIR-recognised); NABL labRobotic shell-coating, HIP, air-melt furnaces, 3D printing, CNC; 700 kW rooftop solar
Mehsana, GujaratPTC74,588 (17-acre campus)Small-to-medium investment castings & machined parts for oil & gas, LNG, marine, petrochem, pulp & paperRobotic shelling, air melting, CNC; expansion announced FY26 (+50,000 sq ft shop floor, “multiple times” capacity)
SMTC, UP Defence Industrial Corridor, Lucknow node (~50 acres next to BrahMos facility)Aerolloy200,000Ti & superalloy ingots, billets, bars, rods, sheets, plates; cast sticks; aerospace castings; forgings; powder metallurgy (planned)VAR (commissioned; VAR-400 for large castings Sep 2025), VIM (Sep 2025), PAM (installed Jan 2026, ~600 tpa), 4,500/5,100 t open-die press (production Mar 2026); EBCHR under commissioning; rolling/plate mills under installation
Crewe, Cheshire, UKTrac3,716Precision machining & finishing of Ti/superalloy castings, complex airfoils, IGT parts5-/3-axis grinding, Sodick EDM, Makino G7 (2nd unit installed Q4 FY26), Makino deep-hole drilling (ordered), Modula storage
Plant inauguration: Titanium & Superalloy Materials Plant inaugurated 11 May 2025 by Raksha Mantri Rajnath Singh and UP CM Yogi Adityanath; “Lokarpan” (dedication) 18 Oct 2025, when the GTRE single-crystal blade order was announced. First titanium ingot produced in-house without foreign expert supervision during FY26. [Fact]
Second-hand melt shop
Equipment provenance matters for both cost and risk: the VAR (agreement 25 Mar 2021, 1,500 tpa, up to 1 m dia / 12 t ingots) and EBCHR (agreement 6 Jul 2022, 5,000 tpa, ingots/slabs up to 12 t) were purchased as existing plant, with decommissioning, dismantling and re-installation by the original German OEM; the PAM was bought under a separate equipment purchase agreement (30 Jan 2023, origin not stated); the hot rolling mill (Aug 2024) was acquired from the USA. Management claimed in 2022 these were bought at “a fraction of original cost”, enabling a 10–15x revenue/asset multiple at full capacity. [Fact] Re-commissioning used vacuum-melt equipment has taken longer than first guided. [Analyst View]

Capacities (disclosed)

AssetCapacityStatus (Oct 2026)Source
VAR furnace (titanium ingots)1,500 tpaOperating2022 press release; placement doc
EBCHR furnace (Ti scrap recycling)5,000 tpa (claimed >15% of global EB/PAM recycled Ti)Under commissioning (acquired Aug 2022)2022 press release; placement doc
PAM furnace~600 tpaInstalled Jan 2026; “entered production” FY26Jan 2026 press release; AR FY26
Total Ti ingot capacity post-EBCHR~6,500 tpa (I-Sec estimate incl. VAR)—ICICI Securities, 2 Jun 2026 [Est.]
Open-die forging press4,500/5,100 tProduction from Mar 2026Q4 FY26 presentation
RapidCast™ casting sizeup to 6,000 kg per pieceOperatingPlacement doc
Capacity utilisationNot disclosed—Searched placement doc, AR FY26

Certifications & approvals

CertificationScopeIssuerEntity
ISO 9001:2015QMSTÜV NORDPTC, Aerolloy
EN 9100:2018 / AS9100DAs-cast and machined investment castings in air & vacuum melt for steel, Ti, superalloys; multi-site incl. SMTCTÜV NORDAerolloy
NADCAPHeat treating/HIP, NDT, welding (all with merit), chemical processingPRIAerolloy
ISO 14001 / ISO 45001Environment / OH&S (Mehsana certified in FY26)TÜV NORDPTC, Aerolloy
ISO/IEC 27001:2022Information security, LucknowSGSPTC
ISO/IEC 17025:2017Testing lab at AMTCNABLPTC
PED 2014/68/EU; AD 2000-Merkblatt W0Material manufacturer approvalTÜV NORDPTC, Aerolloy
NORSOK M-650Materials manufacturer qualification (oil & gas)TÜV NORDAerolloy
ABS, Lloyd’s Register, Bureau VeritasMarine castings approvalsClass societiesPTC
CEMILAC Letter of Approval (7 May 2025)Military airworthiness — Ti-6Al-4V rear fin root fittings for AMCA (Advanced Medium Combat Aircraft)CEMILAC, DRDOPTC
DSIR R&D recognition; DGAQA registrationIn-house R&D unit; defence QADSIR; DGAQAPTC

USP and moat

Key customers (named in company disclosures)

CustomerProgramme / productDateStatus
AirbusFully machined ready-to-fit Ti castings — A320neo, A330neo, A350Agreement 6 Aug 2026Development → qualification → serial supply (value not disclosed)
Safran Aircraft EnginesSeven cast Ti/superalloy components for CFM LEAP-1A/1BLTA order 28 Mar 2025Serial-production progress cited in AR FY26; earlier MoUs 2021–25 incl. military engines
Honeywell Aerospace TechnologiesTi & superalloy castings incl. aero-engine parts; dedicated capacityLTA FY26 (2025)Value not disclosed
Dassault AviationFull range of Ti cast parts — Rafale & FalconLTPA 17 Jan 2024Supply from 2024
BAE SystemsTi castings for M777 ULH (spade trails, blades; saddle/cradle/lower carriage plan)Agreement Oct 2022; production order 27 Sep 2024Serial production
Blue OriginLarge Ni-superalloy LOX housings/manifolds for BE-4 (New Glenn)Order Jan 2026*Development & supply
BrahMos Aerospace(i) Critical Ti castings ₹110 Cr over 24 months; (ii) strategic metallic airframe system & integration(i) 21 Aug 2025; (ii) 17 Jul 2026(ii) value not disclosed
GTRE (DRDO)Post-cast ops for single-crystal ready-to-fit turbine bladesOct 2025Development
VSSC (ISRO)Conversion of ~40 t Grade-1 sponge into double-VAR Ti-6Al-4V ingotsFY26 (Q3)Order
ARDE (DRDO)Design & development of Ti cradle for 105 mm Indian Light TankFY27 Q1First design-led order
Gun Factory KanpurDevelopment order, two major artillery gun componentsFY27 Q1Development
Israel Aerospace IndustriesTi cast aerospace componentsApproval 2023; order 2024Supply
Elbit, Kongsberg, Westad, Siemens EnergyQualifications / progress to serial production (standalone)FY26 AROngoing
Trac customers: Rolls-Royce, Safran, GE, Siemens; CoolbrookHot-section airfoils; Coolbrook RDH components (27,000 parts/yr at full rate; >£10m p.a. expected)Trac acq. Dec 2024; Coolbrook 2 Oct 2025Production
HAL, MoD, Rolls-Royce Marine (legacy), MIDHANI, BDL, KinecoLegacy defence/marine castings; MoUs (BDL JV for propulsion/guided bombs/aero-engines; Kineco structures)VariousMoUs not binding

*Blue Origin press release is dated “January 09, 2025” but is filed under 2026, references the Sep-2025 VIM commissioning and is reported in Q3 FY26 results — we treat the date as 9 Jan 2026 (typo in release). Rolls-Royce: relationship is via Trac’s hot-section work and the legacy Rolls-Royce Marine castings business (Total Cost Leadership Award) — no Aerolloy aero-engine contract with Rolls-Royce has been announced. [Analyst View]

Distribution, exports, IP

Segment Analysis

The group reports a single Ind AS 108 segment (“manufacturing and selling of metal components for critical and super-critical applications”). Management describes three operating groups — Castings, Metals, Machining — but discloses numbers only by legal entity. We therefore use an entity bridge. [Fact]

Management’s three groups (qualitative)

GroupWhat it isCustomersEntity
Castings GroupAir-melt industrial/defence castings; Ti & superalloy aerospace castings; equiaxed/DS/SX airfoilsGlobal OEMs, oil & gas, marine, defencePTC standalone + Aerolloy
Metals GroupTi & superalloy ingots/billets via VAR, PAM, (EBCHR); extending to open-die forging and rollingAerospace, defence, space (ISRO), internal feedstockAerolloy
Machining GroupPrecision machining & finishing; ready-to-fit components; hot-section airfoilsAero-engine and IGT OEMsTrac (UK) + India CNC

Entity bridge — FY26 (₹ Cr)

EntityTotal incomeYoYEBITDA (incl. OI)EBITDA %PATComment
PTC standalone (legacy)326.9+18.0%67.620.7%33.0 (−6.0%)Revenue from ops ₹289.8 Cr (+19.4%); margins compressed by qualification costs
Aerolloy Technologies190.4+219.8%89.547.0%68.0 (+194.6%)Revenue >₹175 Cr (+~210%); profit engine
Trac Precision (UK)247.0first full year15.56.3%~0.6 [Est.]PAT not disclosed; residual after elimination
Sum of entities764.3172.6
Inter-company eliminations / consolidation adj.~(121.0) [Est.]~(0.3) [Est.]Aerolloy supplies material/castings to PTC and vice versa
Consolidated643.3+88.0%172.326.8%101.6 (+66.4%)Core EBITDA ex-OI ₹134 Cr (22.2% of revenue)

Entity bridge — Q1 FY27 vs Q1 FY26 (₹ Cr)

EntityQ1 FY27 incomeQ1 FY26 incomeYoYQ1 FY27 EBITDAEBITDA %Q1 FY27 PAT
Aerolloy74.313.1+466%33.445.0%22.1 (+323%)
Trac (UK)71.4n/d—6.18.5%n/d
Standalone + eliminations (residual)~51.4 [Est.]~94.6 (incl. Trac) [Est.]—~14.7 [Est.]~29% [Est.]~7.1 [Est.]
Consolidated197.1107.7+83.0%54.227.5%29.2 (+466%)

Residual = consolidated minus disclosed subsidiary figures; includes inter-company eliminations, so it understates true standalone revenue. Q1 FY26 Trac figures were not separately disclosed. [Est.]

Aerolloy — quarterly trajectory (₹ Cr, derived from cumulative disclosures)

Aerolloy total income by quarter (₹ Cr) with EBITDA margin13.1Q1FY2629.0Q2FY2649.2Q3FY2699.1Q4FY2674.3Q1FY2762%47%29%54%45%EBITDA margin

Q2 = H1 (42.1) − Q1 (13.1); Q3 = 9M (91.3) − H1; Q4 = FY (190.4) − 9M. EBITDA: Q1 8.07, Q2 13.5, Q3 14.3, Q4 53.6, Q1FY27 33.4. Derived from company press releases. [Est.]

Trac Precision — trajectory

PeriodTotal income (₹ Cr)EBITDA (₹ Cr)MarginNote
Pre-acquisition FY (UK)£24.8m revenuen/d—Per Dec-2024 acquisition release
FY25 (Dec-24 to Mar-25, ~4 months)n/dn/d—Consolidated from Dec 2024
9M FY26167.2n/d—Q3 FY26 press release
Q4 FY26~79.8 [Est.]n/d—I-Sec: “TARC losses receded”
FY26247.015.56.3%Q4 FY26 presentation
Q1 FY2771.46.18.5%Q1 FY27 presentation

Revenue mix by geography (sale of products, ₹ Cr)

RegionFY24FY25FY26Q1 FY26Q1 FY27
India40.2 (16.0%)43.7 (14.4%)108.7 (18.2%)11.3 (11.6%)63.3 (33.0%)
European Union97.1 (37.8%)95.0 (30.8%)180.8 (30.0%)37.2 (38.3%)36.5 (19.0%)
United Kingdom8.3 (3.2%)27.8 (9.0%)100.1 (16.6%)9.6 (9.9%)34.8 (18.2%)
United States32.7 (12.7%)34.4 (11.2%)67.1 (11.1%)2.3 (2.4%)7.4 (3.8%)
Norway48.3 (18.8%)71.5 (23.2%)42.5 (7.1%)10.9 (11.3%)5.6 (2.9%)
UAE2.4 (0.9%)4.0 (1.3%)1.1 (0.2%)0.3 (0.3%)0.6 (0.3%)
Rest of world22.6 (8.8%)26.9 (8.7%)98.0 (16.3%)25.6 (26.3%)43.7 (22.8%)
Exports (outside India)211.4 (84.0%)259.7 (85.6%)489.6 (81.8%)85.9 (88.4%)128.5 (67.0%)

% = share of revenue from operations as presented in placement document (table re-assembled from PDF; % basis per document). Note: regional % columns are on a mixed basis (some on revenue from operations, India/export totals on sale of products), so FY24/FY26 regional %s do not sum exactly. FY26 export total corrected in review to the sum of regions (₹489.6 Cr; = 81.8% of ₹598.3 Cr sale of products). [Fact]

Fastest grower and segment under pressure

Fastest grower
Aerolloy — FY26 total income +220%, Q1 FY27 +466% YoY, EBITDA margin 45–47%. Drivers: first full year of primary metals (VAR/VIM/PAM), Ti castings ramp for Dassault/Safran/BAE/IAI, development billings (BrahMos, GTRE, Blue Origin), domestic defence and ISRO. Management focus: SMTC commissioning (EBCHR, rolling), qualifications for Airbus/Honeywell/Safran, PLI 1.2. [Fact]
Under pressure
PTC standalone — FY26 EBITDA −6.9%, PAT −6.0% despite revenue +19.4%; operating margin fell from 22.8% to 16.9%, RoE 3.5%. Cause (per AR): material cost +40.9% and employee cost +24.3% from qualifying/stabilising new programmes. Trac — ~6% EBITDA on ₹247 Cr; capital-hungry (₹146 Cr expansion planned, ₹71 Cr from QIP). [Fact]

Financials: Profit & Loss

Consolidated, ₹ Cr. Annual and quarterly lines from Screener.in (consolidated) cross-checked to company filings and the QIP placement document. “Operating profit” = revenue less operating expenses, i.e. excluding other income; the company’s headline “EBITDA” includes other income. [Fact]

Five-year P&L

₹ CrFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26TTM (Jun-26)
Revenue from operations179219257308603697
YoY growth9.8%22.3%17.4%19.9%95.7%~95% (TTM)
Gross margin (net material cost basis)n/dn/dn/d82.7%82.4%—
Operating expenses137161184233468526
Core EBITDA (ex other income)42597375134172
  Core EBITDA margin23.5%26.9%28.4%24.4%22.2%24.7%
Other income5713333835
Company-reported EBITDA (incl. OI)n/dn/d86.0109.4172.3207.1 [Est.]
  margin on total income——31.8%32.0%26.8%~28%
Depreciation151717213742
EBIT (PBT + interest)32506987136166
  EBIT margin17.9%22.8%26.8%28.2%22.6%23.8%
Interest1516159911
PBT17345478127155
  PBT margin9.5%15.5%21.0%25.3%21.1%22.2%
Tax rate25%23%22%22%20%—
PAT13264261102126
  PAT margin7.3%11.9%16.3%19.8%16.9%18.1%
EPS (₹, as reported)9.7819.2929.2440.7267.7483.78
Other income as % of PBT29%21%24%42%30%23%

FY21 for reference: revenue ₹163 Cr, PAT ₹4 Cr. 5-yr revenue CAGR 30%, 3-yr 40%; 5-yr PAT CAGR 102% (Screener). Margins computed on revenue from operations. TTM company-basis EBITDA = FY26 172.3 − Q1FY26 19.4 + Q1FY27 54.2. [Est.]

Revenue (₹ Cr, bars) and core EBITDA margin (line)179FY22219FY23257FY24308FY25603FY26697TTM24%27%28%24%22%25%Core EBITDA %

Quarterly P&L — last nine quarters

₹ CrJun-24Sep-24Dec-24Mar-25Jun-25Sep-25Dec-25Mar-26Jun-26
Revenue47726712297125156225192
YoY−35%+24%+22%+69%+106%+74%+133%+84%+98%
QoQ−35%+53%−7%+82%−20%+29%+25%+44%−15%
Core EBITDA10211529926257349
Core EBITDA %21%29%23%24%9%21%16%32%25%
Other income48101111810125
Company EBITDA (incl. OI)n/dn/dn/d40.619.433.9 [Est.]34.6 [Est.]84.454.2
Interest331122324
Depreciation44589991014
PBT6221931923237237
Tax %23%21%24%21%43%21%18%17%21%
PAT5171425518186029
PAT YoY———+67%+2%+6%+29%+144%+466%
EPS (₹)3.3911.569.5016.403.4412.1112.2439.9619.47

Jun-24 YoY vs Jun-23 revenue ₹72 Cr. Q2/Q3 FY26 company EBITDA derived: H1 53.3 − Q1 19.4; 9M 87.9 − H1 53.3. I-Sec reports Q4 FY26 core EBITDA ₹72.6 Cr (32.2%) vs company 35.6% incl. OI — same gap. [Est.]

Quarterly revenue (₹ Cr) with core EBITDA margin47J2472S2467D24122M2597J25125S25156D25225M26192J2621%29%23%24%9%21%16%32%25%Core EBITDA %

Growth decomposition

DriverFY26 evidenceType
Trac acquisition (Dec 2024)~₹247 Cr total income in FY26 (first full year) vs ~4 months in FY25 (not separately disclosed)Inorganic
Aerolloy rampTotal income ₹59.5 Cr (FY25) → ₹190.4 Cr (FY26); first full year of primary metals; Ti castingsOrganic — volume + new products
StandaloneRevenue +19.4% to ₹289.8 Cr; new qualifications (Siemens Energy, Elbit, Kongsberg, Westad, Safran, Honeywell)Organic
Price vs volumeNot disclosed. Contracts allow raw-material pass-through/indexation where feasible—
Organic vs inorganic
Roughly 40% of FY26 consolidated revenue came from the Trac acquisition (~₹247 Cr of total income vs ₹603 Cr revenue), so “revenue doubled” overstates organic growth. Organic growth (Aerolloy + standalone) is still strong, but closer to ~45–55% [Est.]. Q1 FY27 vs Q1 FY26 is like-for-like on perimeter (Trac consolidated in both), so the +98% YoY is largely organic — Aerolloy alone added ~₹61 Cr of income. [Analyst View]

One-time and non-core items

Earnings quality — are profits backed by cash?

₹ CrFY22FY23FY24FY25FY265-yr totalQ1 FY27
PAT1326426110224429
Cash from operations (CFO)2547−9614−69−7944
CFO / PAT1.9x1.8x−2.3x0.2x−0.7x−0.3x1.5x
CFO / core EBITDA60%80%−132%19%−51%—90%
Divergence flag
Over FY22–FY26 the group reported ₹244 Cr of PAT and negative ₹79 Cr of operating cash flow. FY26 alone: operating profit before WC changes ₹137.2 Cr, then receivables +₹127.2 Cr, inventory +₹90.8 Cr, other assets +₹19.9 Cr → CFO −₹68.7 Cr. FY24 CFO (−₹96.3 Cr) was driven by a ₹106.3 Cr increase in other financial assets. Q1 FY27 turned positive (+₹44.2 Cr) on a ₹32 Cr fall in receivables. Management calls FY27 reversal “a priority”. Two consecutive positive half-years would be the first real proof that WIP is converting. [Fact]

Financials: Balance Sheet, Cash Flow & Ratios

Consolidated, ₹ Cr. Screener (aligned to FY22–FY26), FY26 annual report, QIP placement document (30 Jun 2026 and post-issue). [Fact]

Balance sheet summary

₹ CrFY22FY23FY24FY25FY2630-Jun-26Post-QIP (pro forma)
Share capital51314151515.015.8
Reserves1632936311,3721,4921,522.43,321.6 [Est.]
Net worth1683066451,3871,5071,537.43,337.4
Borrowings19617718261261274.0~195 after ₹79 Cr repayment [Est.]
Other liabilities617068136188n/d—
Total assets4265538961,5841,956n/d—
Net fixed assets (incl. intangibles, goodwill)237228233449644n/d—
  of which goodwill (Trac)———63.163.163.1—
Capital WIP2367159185311n/d—
Inventoryn/dn/dn/d208.2299.0~239 (WIP+FG only) [Est.]—
  of which WIPn/dn/d36.1125.4222.2235.8—
Trade receivablesn/dn/dn/d143.8273.9~242 [Est.]—
Cash & bank balancesn/dn/dn/d381.8136.6~181 [Est.]~1,950 [Est.]
Debt / equity (company)——0.280.040.170.180.08

FY24 WIP from FY25 opening (₹36.1 Cr). 30-Jun-26 receivables estimated from FY26 + Q1 decrease of ₹32 Cr; cash estimated from FY26 + Q1 net cash change and other-bank-balance movement. Post-QIP net worth from placement-document capitalisation statement (gross of issue expenses ~₹31 Cr). [Est.]

Cash flow (five years)

₹ CrFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26Q1 FY26Q1 FY27
CFO2547−9614−69−3544
Capex (PPE incl. capital advances)~28 [Est.]~96 [Est.]116.5190.0317.381.487.6
Free cash flow (CFO − capex)−3−49−213−176−386−116−43
CFI (total)−28−116−60−502−271−85−47
CFF3742845441853810
  of which equity raised (net)n/dn/d295.6676.40.30.00.0
Net change in cash−1612755−155−817
FCF yield on current mkt cap————−1.0%——

FY25 CFI includes ₹170.1 Cr “investments made” (Trac acquisition; standalone cost ₹181.2 Cr) and ₹168.8 Cr placed in bank deposits. Cumulative FY22–FY26 FCF ≈ −₹827 Cr, funded by ~₹1,110 Cr of equity raised FY23–FY25 and net debt. [Fact]/[Est.]

Free cash flow (₹ Cr)-3FY22-49FY23-213FY24-176FY25-386FY26-43Q1FY27

Working capital

DaysFY22FY23FY24FY25FY26
Debtor days125109158170166
Inventory days (on COGS, Screener)5415214401,4231,030
Payable days15614191333225
Cash conversion cycle5104905071,261970
Working-capital days (on sales)2472163381302

Company’s own Aerolloy working-capital assumptions (placement doc): FY26 inventory 238 days, receivables 132 days, other current assets 305 days (mostly unutilised input tax credit on imported plant and materials), payables only 28 days (sponge and master alloys imported against advance/LC). ICRA: working-capital intensity 75.6% (FY24) and 117.1% (FY25). Standalone debtor turnover 2.44x, inventory turnover 2.85x (FY26). [Fact]

Capex: history, plan and funding

ItemAmountSource / status
2022 plan (VAR + EBCHR Phase 1)~₹125 Cr over 2 yearsAug 2022 press release; to be funded by accruals, equity, debt incl. rights issue
Actual group capex FY24 / FY25 / FY26₹116.5 / ₹190.0 / ₹317.3 CrPlacement doc cash flows
Capex Q1 FY27₹87.6 CrPlacement doc
ICRA view of programme~₹500 Cr FY26–FY28, debt + accruals + liquidityICRA, 27 Mar 2026
ICRA view — Aerolloy SMTC project~₹700 Cr total; ~₹400 Cr already incurred; balance over FY27–FY28; ~₹300 Cr debt-funded, rest accruals/liquidityICRA Aerolloy rationale, 24 Apr 2026
Capital commitments (unexecuted contracts)₹147.4 Cr30 Jun 2026
QIP-funded: Aerolloy expansion (Lucknow)₹499.3 Cr total (P&M ₹408.8 Cr; pre-op ₹40.9 Cr; contingency ₹49.6 Cr); ₹480 Cr from QIPChartered engineer certificate 9 Oct 2026; not appraised
QIP-funded: Trac expansion (UK)₹146.3 Cr total (P&M ₹134.2 Cr); ₹71 Cr from QIPSame
Asset turnover (sales / net fixed assets + CWIP)FY24 0.66x · FY25 0.48x · FY26 0.63x [Est.]Low — capacity built ahead of revenue
Maintenance vs growth capexNot disclosed; overwhelmingly growth capex [Analyst View]—
Capex credibility check
The capex story has been under-scoped and late: a ~₹125 Cr two-year plan in 2022 became ~₹624 Cr of capex in FY24–FY26 alone, plus another ~₹645 Cr now planned. The EBCHR (acquired Aug 2022) and rolling mill (acquired Aug 2024) were still not commissioned in Oct 2026. ICRA (Mar 2026) understood a ~₹500 Cr FY26–28 programme funded by debt and accruals; ICRA’s Aerolloy rationale (24 Apr 2026) described a ~₹700 Cr project with ~₹400 Cr already incurred and ~₹300 Cr of debt funding. The QIP now earmarks ₹551 Cr of equity for subsidiary capex (₹480 Cr Aerolloy, ₹71 Cr Trac); the Aerolloy portion alone exceeds the ~₹300 Cr ICRA saw as remaining. Investors should ask how much is re-funding of the existing programme versus new scope. [Analyst View]

Debt structure, coverage and rating

ItemDetail
Total borrowings 30-Jun-26₹274.0 Cr: current secured ₹71.7 Cr; current unsecured (bill discounting, lease) ₹14.5 Cr; non-current secured ₹184.5 Cr; non-current unsecured ₹3.4 Cr [Fact]
Standalone borrowings 16-Sep-26₹80.5 Cr; ₹79.0 Cr to be repaid from QIP in FY27 [Fact]
Interest coverage (EBIT / interest, company)FY24 5.2x · FY25 13.5x · FY26 39.0x · Q1 FY27 13.6x (company definition, placement doc) [Fact]. Caution: these do not reconcile with this report’s P&L (EBIT/interest ≈ 4.6x FY24, ~9.7x FY25, ~15x FY26) or with ICRA’s calculation (4.8x FY24, 8.6x FY25, 9.5x 9M FY26). Treat 39.0x as unverified. [Est.]
Finance cost trendQ1 FY27 ₹3.6 Cr vs ₹1.7 Cr (term-loan interest ₹1.5 Cr vs ₹0.1 Cr as capex loans capitalise) [Fact]
Lenders (PTC standalone)ICRA-rated facilities ₹355 Cr (LT term loan ₹10 Cr, LT fund-based ₹130 Cr, ST non-fund-based ₹215 Cr). Lender-wise (ICRA, as of 19 Mar 2026): State Bank of India — term loan ₹10 Cr, cash credit ₹40 Cr, non-fund ₹47.5 Cr; HDFC Bank — CC ₹30 Cr; YES Bank — CC ₹25 Cr, non-fund ₹23 Cr; Axis Bank — CC ₹25 Cr, non-fund ₹25 Cr; Punjab National Bank — CC ₹5 Cr, non-fund ₹17.5 Cr; ICICI Bank — overdraft ₹5 Cr, standby LC ₹70.6 Cr; proposed ₹31.4 Cr (total ₹355 Cr). Term loan coupon 8.45%, maturity Sep 2033 [Fact]
Aerolloy facilities (ICRA, 24 Apr 2026)[ICRA]A (Stable)/A1 on ₹492 Cr: term loans ₹330 Cr (TL1 ₹60 Cr @ 8.10% and TL2 ₹80 Cr @ 8.00%, both Sep 2025–Mar 2035; TL3 ₹40 Cr @ 8.20%, Jul 2022–Mar 2032; ₹150 Cr proposed), cash credit ₹50 Cr, ST non-fund ₹112 Cr. Aerolloy’s individual lenders not named in sources accessed. ICRA takes a consolidated PTC + Aerolloy view [Fact]
Borrowing limitRaised from ₹350 Cr to ₹600 Cr (s.180) by special resolution, EGM 1 Aug 2026; s.186 loans/investments/guarantees limit raised to ₹2,000 Cr (₹1,198.82 Cr outstanding at 31 Mar 2026, mostly to wholly owned subsidiaries) [Fact]
ContingentBank guarantees ₹87.5 Cr; disputed GST ₹0.17 Cr; corporate guarantees for subsidiaries’ loans [Fact]
RatingsICRA A (Stable)/A1, upgraded 27 Mar 2026 from A−(Stable)/A2+; Aerolloy ICRA A (Stable)/A1 assigned 24 Apr 2026; earlier CARE BBB+ (Stable)/A2 and Infomerics IVR BBB+ (Stable)/A2 (both since withdrawn at the company’s request — Infomerics Sep 2024, CARE May 2025). Downgrade trigger: DSCR <2.0x sustained [Fact]
Covenant breaches / restructuringNone disclosed [Fact]

Equity dilution & share-count history

DateEventShares issuedPrice (₹)₹ Cr raisedShares after
Dec 1994OTCEI listing5,50,000502.835,50,000
Dec 1998Amalgamation of Sunika Alloys Pvt Ltd & Ashman Tools Engineers Pvt Ltd6,41,250——41,91,250
Apr / Nov 2014Conversion of 4,00,000 CCDs10,47,813381.7540.052,39,063
23 Aug 2022Rights issue 3:278,58,594107.91,30,97,657
7 Dec 2022Preferential issue2,84,6002,34966.91,33,82,257
19 Jul 2023Preferential issue1,80,0002,50045.01,35,62,257
15 Dec 2023ESOP 201913,0314020.51,35,75,288
4 Jan 2024Warrant conversion (warrants issued 7 Dec 2022)6,30,1702,349148.01,42,05,458
15 Feb 2024Preferential issue2,35,4156,000141.21,44,40,873
3 Sep 2024QIP5,30,31513,199.70700.01,49,71,188
23 Nov 2024ESOP 201912,9384020.51,49,84,126
13 Nov 2025ESOP 20198,4234020.31,49,92,549
9 Oct 2026QIP8,54,70021,0601,800.01,58,47,249
Since Aug 20221,06,08,186~2,9103.02x share count vs Mar-22
Shares outstanding (lakh)52.4Mar-22133.8Mar-23144.4Mar-24149.8Mar-25149.9Mar-26158.5Oct-26

ESOP overhang: 59,377 options outstanding under PTC-ESOS 2019 at ₹402 (0.37% of post-QIP equity); 4,701 vested-unexercised. No warrants, preference shares or convertibles outstanding. A new ESOP grant was approved by the NRC in Q4 FY26. Money raised since 2022 (~₹2,910 Cr) is ~12x cumulative FY22–FY26 PAT (₹244 Cr). Note the Aug-2022 rights issue at ₹10 (3:2) is the subject of the Raheja Leasing suit (Governance tab). [Fact]/[Est.]

Key balance-sheet risks

Management, Promoters & Governance

Placement document (Oct 2026), FY26 annual report, shareholding filings, Screener. [Fact] unless marked.

Promoter & key management

NameRoleBackground
Sachin Agarwal (b. 1972)Chairman & MD since 1998 Board entry; also CMD of Aerolloy and Chairman of Trac Precision; re-appointed 5 yrs from 1 Oct 2025MBA (Operations), University of Tulsa; MSc Finance, Boston College. 28 yrs with company. Member, CII National Council; past Chairman SIDM UP chapter; Chairman SIDM Aerospace Committee. Holds 19.05% directly (plus Sachin Agarwal HUF). Belongs to the founding Agarwal family (founder: late Satish Chandra Agarwal); exact relationship not stated in filings reviewed
Smita Agarwal (b. 1976)Whole-time Director & CFO (Board since Jun 2019; with company since 2014)Chartered Accountant; ex-PwC, Coopers & Lybrand London; DISA (ICAI). Spouse of Sachin Agarwal. Leads finance, IR, IT, HR
Priya Ranjan Agarwal (b. 1958)Whole-time Director (Marketing), Board since 1992Mechanical engineer; 33 yrs; domestic defence relationships (DRDO labs, DPSUs, BrahMos). Holds 6.59%
Alok Agarwal (b. 1962)Whole-time Director (Technical & Quality), Board since 1994B.Tech, IIT Kanpur; 32 yrs; production, quality, NADCAP/AS9100. Holds 3.64%
James Michael CollinsChief Technology Officer (senior management)9+ yrs with company; patents in investment casting & vacuum melting; holds 5,153 shares
Frederic OudeletSVP Castings Engineering (joined 2024)Joined Aerolloy in 2024 as VP Engineering (Castings); now SVP; >2 yrs
Stephane BransHead of International Sales>3 yrs with company
Baljinder Singh KouraVP Operations, Aerospace Castings, Aerolloy (appointed FY26)Aerospace operations
Liam BevingtonManaging Director, Trac Precision Solutions (UK)Trac leadership retained post-acquisition
Pragati Gupta AgrawalCompany Secretary & Compliance Officer5 yrs

Board of directors (8: 1 MD, 3 WTDs, 4 independent)

DirectorCategoryAppointedOther directorshipsNote
Sachin AgarwalPromoter, CMD18 Jun 199811Chairs Banking, Project Monitoring & Environment, and Listing committees
Priya Ranjan AgarwalPromoter group, WTD28 Dec 19923
Alok AgarwalPromoter group, WTD27 Jul 19942Risk Management Committee member
Smita AgarwalPromoter group, WTD & CFO1 Jun 20196Spouse of CMD
Vishal MehrotraIndependent10 Aug 2019 (5-yr term from 9 Aug 2024)NilChairs NRC
Prashuka JainIndependent (woman)5 Sep 2022NilChairs a board committee (per AR)
Kamesh GuptaIndependent (Bengaluru)1 Oct 20241
Rakesh ShuklaIndependent; retired senior banker20 Feb 2025Nil

Remuneration

₹ lakhFY24FY25FY26Apr–Aug 2026Note
Sachin Agarwal (CMD)n/d333.0492.5 (+47.9%)214.0Incl. 3% commission on consolidated profits; 188.7x median employee pay; 14.9% of standalone PAT
Priya Ranjan Agarwaln/d78.4107.3n/dIncl. 0.6% commission on domestic defence sales realised
Alok Agarwaln/dn/d46.4n/d
Smita Agarwaln/d41.146.3n/d
Total KMP compensation (standalone)n/d557.7705.2—
Independent directors’ sitting feestiny~8~11~6₹1.4–3.5 lakh each per year

Shareholding pattern

%Jun-25Sep-25Dec-25Mar-26Jun-26Post-QIP (Oct-26)
Promoter & group59.7559.7559.7259.7259.7256.46
FIIs3.393.413.863.953.95n/d
DIIs7.738.518.459.219.35n/d
  Institutions total11.1211.9212.3113.1613.3018.43
Public & others29.1428.3227.9827.1226.9825.11
No. of shareholders22,70722,55423,82623,58126,540—
Shareholding trend (%) — *Oct-26 promoter post-QIP0%20%40%60%80%Sep23Mar24Sep24Mar25Sep25Mar26Jun26Oct26*Promoter 56.5%DII 9.3%FII 4.0%
HolderShares% pre-QIPType
Sachin Agarwal28,55,49119.05Promoter
Mapple Commerce Pvt Ltd15,99,98510.67Promoter group co.
Nirala Merchants Pvt Ltd11,77,8187.86Promoter group co.
Priya Ranjan Agarwal9,87,9146.59Promoter group
Satish Chandra Agarwal HUF6,70,2974.47Promoter group
Alok Agarwal5,45,7993.64Promoter group
Viven Advisory Services Pvt Ltd4,33,3252.89Promoter group co.
Smita Agarwal3,35,2762.24Promoter group
Anshoo Agarwal1,85,0411.23Promoter group
Motilal Oswal (MF schemes)5,74,3383.83DII
Vikas … (name truncated in filing extract)3,85,3462.57Public >1%
Mona Russell3,48,9832.33Public >1%
HSBC Mutual Fund1,62,9341.09DII
Pankaj Prasoon1,62,0001.08Public >1%
Mukul Mahavir (Agrawal)1,60,0001.07Public >1%

Largest Oct-2026 QIP allottees (% of post-issue capital): SmallCap World Fund (Capital Group) 1.04%, HSBC Small Cap Fund 0.76%, Fidelity Blue Chip Growth 0.62%, Fidelity India Focus 0.40%, plus Fidelity EM funds, BNP Paribas ODI, ADIA (Monsoon), Tata AIA, Motilal Oswal, ITI, HDFC Defence/Manufacturing, Trust MF, Union, Bandhan, Susquehanna and others (>40 allottees). Promoters did not participate. [Fact]

Pledge, insider and SAST activity

Related-party transactions (standalone, FY26)

CounterpartyNatureFY26 (₹ lakh)FY25 (₹ lakh)
Aerolloy TechnologiesEquity investment via rights (21,69,500 sh @ ₹1,000; 2,67,107 sh @ ₹2,490)28,34621,990 (investment made, as disclosed)
Trac HoldingsUnsecured loan GBP 0.6m @ 6.5%725—
KMPManagerial remuneration725 (comp. 705)424–558
Relatives of KMPRent paid; salaries~9 rent; ~48 salary~9; ~50
Investment at cost in Aerolloy (cumulative)—69,20640,857

RPT table in AR is poorly formatted in the PDF; amounts shown are as best reconstructed. All RPTs stated to be at arm’s length. Corporate guarantees given for subsidiaries’ loans. [Fact]/[Est.]

Subsidiaries & group structure

EntityHoldingBusinessContributionStatus
Aerolloy Technologies Ltd (inc. 17 Feb 2020)100% directTi & superalloy materials, aerospace castings, forgings — SMTC LucknowFY26 income ₹190.4 Cr, PAT ₹68.0 Cr (~67% of group PAT)Core growth engine; ICRA A/A1
Trac Holdings Ltd (UK)100% direct (acquired Dec 2024 for ₹181.2 Cr; UK NSIA clearance)Holding company, no operations—Goodwill ₹63.1 Cr consolidated
Trac Group Ltd; BROOMCO (4266) Ltd (UK)Step-downDormant intermediate holding cos.—No business activity
Trac Precision Solutions Ltd (Crewe, UK)Step-down 100%Precision machining of hot-section turbine partsFY26 income ₹247 Cr, EBITDA ₹15.5 CrLow margin; expanding (₹146 Cr plan)
Advanced Materials (Defence) Testing FoundationAssociate / JV, 20% (27,320 sh, ₹2.73 Cr; equity-accounted per ICRA)MoD DTIS SPV for materials testing, Lucknow node—Government-led SPV
Acquisitions
Acquisition track record: (1) Trac (Dec 2024, ₹181 Cr for a £24.8m-revenue business ≈ 0.7x sales) — strategically coherent (casting-to-finished-part), financially still marginal (~6–8.5% EBITDA). (2) Used VAR (2021), EBCHR (2022) and PAM (2023) furnaces and a US hot rolling mill (2024) — cheap entry, slow commissioning. (3) 1998 amalgamation of Sunika Alloys and Ashman Tools Engineers. No “Alloy Cast” acquisition was found in the placement document’s acquisition table, AR or press releases; a 2023 MoU with Nasmyth (UK) is a supply-chain MoU, not an acquisition. ₹621 Cr of QIP money is reserved for unidentified acquisitions. [Fact]

Auditor, litigation, regulatory

ItemDetail
Statutory auditorS. N. Dhawan & Co LLP (FRN 000050N/N500045), appointed at 60th AGM (2023) for 5 years to 65th AGM. No qualification, reservation or adverse remark in FY26 or prior five years (per placement doc). Cost auditor: Aman Malviya & Associates
Raheja Leasing & Investment Pvt Ltd v. PTC & directors (Bombay HC)Alleges non-receipt of notice of the 2022 rights issue; seeks transfer of 64,800 shares at par or damages of ~₹94.7 Cr against the company and present/former directors. PTC has applied for rejection of plaint and challenged jurisdiction; pending. Aggregate litigation against company ₹97.5 Cr (incl. tax)
Stamp duty demand₹13.1 lakh + interest (Lucknow, lease deed); restoration application filed
Tax4 tax proceedings against company (amounts within the ₹97.5 Cr aggregate); disputed GST ₹16.6 lakh
Historic filingsRoC returns of allotment for 1963–1998 not traceable; reliance on PCS search report (risk factor). Placement doc also flags possible delayed/erroneous ROC filings
SEBI / MCA actions, wilful default, fugitive statusNone disclosed

Governance red flags & mitigants

Supply Chain

Upstream dependencies and downstream customers. Placement document (Oct 2026), FY26 AR, ICRA (Mar 2026), press releases. [Fact] unless marked.

Value chain map

Ore & spongeIlmenite/rutile → titanium sponge (Japan, Kazakhstan, Russia, China, US; Saudi AMIC-TOHO). India has 3rd-largest Ti ore reserves but no aerospace-grade sponge
→
Alloying inputsNi & Co master alloys, superalloy feedstock, ferro-alloys; Ti scrap (recycling via PAM/EBCHR)
→
PTC / Aerolloy melt & formVAR/VIM/PAM ingots → forgings, castings, (plates/sheets)
→
FinishMachining, HIP, NDT, Trac hot-section finishing
→
Tier-1 / OEMSafran (LEAP), Honeywell, Airbus, Dassault, BAE, Blue Origin, BrahMos, DRDO labs, ISRO, Siemens Energy
→
End userAirlines (IndiGo, Air India), Indian Armed Forces, space launch, power utilities, oil & gas

↑ Upstream — what PTC Industries depends on

InputUseSource / dependenceRisk
Titanium sponge (incl. Grade 1)Feedstock for VAR/PAM ingots, Ti castingsLargely imported against advance payment or LCs; global aerospace-grade sponge made only in a handful of countries (US, Russia, Kazakhstan, Japan per company); MoU with AMIC TOHO Titanium Metal Co. (Saudi Arabia); proposed Odisha sponge plant (MoU 30 Jan 2025)High — geopolitical, export controls; payable days only ~28
Titanium scrap / revertEBCHR / PAM recycling (GreenTitanium™)Internal returns + purchased scrap; EBCHR still commissioningMedium — scrap quality/traceability
Nickel & cobalt master alloys, superalloy feedstockVIM superalloy ingots, airfoil castingsImported; LME-linked prices; cobalt concentration (DRC/China)Medium–High
Stainless, duplex, NAB, ferro-alloys, steel scrapIndustrial air-melt castingsDomestic + imports; dynamic pricing pass-through (ICRA)Low–Medium
Ceramic slurries, refractory sand, waxInvestment-casting shells and patternsSpecialist suppliers (not named)Low
Capital equipmentExisting VAR/EBCHR plant re-installed by German OEM; PAM (purchase agreement 2023); US hot rolling mill; Makino, Sodick (Japan) machine tools at TracSingle-OEM dependence for re-commissioning and sparesMedium — commissioning delays observed
Power, fuel, waterVacuum melting is energy-intensiveGrid + 700 kW rooftop solar + 0.75 MW wind (Kutch); 20 MW solar plannedMedium — Q1 FY27 power & fuel ₹10.3 Cr (+60% YoY)
Licensed technologyReplicast® process licensed from third partyLicence dependenceLow
Supplier concentrationFY24FY25FY26Q1 FY26Q1 FY27
Top-5 suppliers, % of revenue12.6%18.5%12.4%18.8%11.9%
Top-10 suppliers, % of revenue17.1%25.1%16.2%23.0%15.9%
Cost of materials consumed, % of revenue22.1%28.9%56.8%42.1%39.6%
Net material cost (after inventory change), % revenuen/d17.3%17.6%n/d~14% [Est.]

~38 raw-material suppliers (30 Jun 2026). Gross material consumption quadrupled in FY26 as Aerolloy began melting sponge into ingots, but most of it sat in WIP (₹236.7 Cr inventory build), so net material cost stayed ~17.6% of revenue. Pass-through: contracts provide indexation/pass-through “where feasible”; ICRA notes a “dynamic pricing strategy”. Mitigants: multi-vendor sourcing, contingency stock, backward integration (VAR/PAM/EBCHR), sponge MoUs. [Fact]

↓ Downstream — who depends on PTC Industries

Customer concentrationFY24FY25FY26Q1 FY26Q1 FY27
Top-5 customer groups, % of revenue67.6%60.4%57.7%69.4%63.3%
Top-10 customer groups, % of revenue85.1%82.9%85.2%89.0%83.6%
Exports, % of sale of products84.0%85.6%81.8%88.4%67.0%
End marketCustomers (named)End products containing PTC outputStickiness / tenor
Commercial aero-enginesSafran Aircraft Engines (CFM LEAP-1A/1B), Honeywell; via Trac: Rolls-Royce, Safran, GELEAP engines on A320neo/737 MAX; turbine blades, vanes, framesLTAs; multi-year qualification → very sticky once qualified
Commercial airframesAirbus (A320neo/A330neo/A350), Dassault FalconTi structural castings, ready-to-fitDevelopment → qualification → serial; contract value n/d
Military aircraftDassault (Rafale), IAI, HAL, ADA/AMCA (CEMILAC approval), GTRE (Kaveri-class engine blades)Airframe fittings, engine parts, SX bladesProgramme-life
Land & strategic defenceBAE Systems (M777), BrahMos Aerospace, ARDE, Gun Factory Kanpur, Elbit, Kongsberg, BDL (MoU)Howitzer structures, missile airframe system, tank cradle, artilleryProgramme-life; development orders first
SpaceBlue Origin (BE-4/New Glenn), ISRO-VSSCLOX housings/manifolds; Ti-6Al-4V ingotsDevelopment & supply
Energy & industrialSiemens Energy, Westad, oil & gas/LNG/marine OEMs (Norway, EU), Coolbrook (via Trac)IGT airfoils, valves, pumps, propellers, RDH heatersPOs + LTAs; Coolbrook >£10m p.a. at full rate

Design-win dynamics: new business starts with an RFQ or development order → part/process/material qualification (“a few months to several years”) → low-rate initial production → serial supply; once a process is qualified, additional parts qualify incrementally. Single-source positions on qualified parts are hard to displace, but customers can dual-source or in-source. [Fact]

Where pricing power sits

Upstream: sponge producers hold pricing power (few qualified sources, geopolitics); PTC is a small buyer paying in advance. Downstream: the primes (Airbus, Safran, Honeywell, Rolls-Royce) hold it during qualification and at contract award; after qualification the balance shifts towards the qualified supplier because re-qualifying an alternative takes years. PTC’s 45% Aerolloy EBITDA margin suggests it is earning a scarcity premium on niche Ti/superalloy parts today; long-term agreements usually carry annual price-down clauses (not disclosed for PTC). Backward integration (EBCHR recycling, Odisha sponge) is the lever to protect margin from sponge price shocks. [Analyst View]

Competitive Position

Peer data: Screener.in consolidated pages fetched 12 Oct 2026 (FY26 annual, price-based ratios at that date). EV/EBITDA for peers not retrieved — shown as NA rather than estimated.

Market position

In India, PTC/Aerolloy is the only private company combining aerospace-grade titanium melting (VAR/PAM, EBCHR pending), superalloy VIM, large titanium and superalloy investment castings, open-die forging and an overseas hot-section machining arm. The state-owned MIDHANI (Mishra Dhatu Nigam) is the closest materials peer (titanium, superalloys, special steels) but is a mill-products producer, not a precision caster. Component makers such as Azad Engineering (aero/energy turbine airfoils), MTAR (precision assemblies for space/nuclear/clean energy), Paras Defence (optics/electronics) and Bharat Forge (forgings, artillery, aero-structures via Kalyani Strategic Systems) overlap at parts of the chain. Globally, PTC competes with PCC (Precision Castparts, Berkshire Hathaway), Howmet Aerospace, Consolidated Precision Products, Doncasters, ATI, Carpenter and VSMPO-AVISMA — incumbents with decades of qualifications and far larger scale. No market-share data is published. [Fact]/[Analyst View]

Peer comparison

CompanyMkt cap (₹ Cr)FY26 revenue3-yr sales CAGROPM FY26PAT marginRoEP/E (TTM)EV/EBITDAMcap / salesMoat
PTC Industries40,156*60340%22%16.9%7.2%~320x*~224x [Est.]66.6xIntegrated Ti/superalloy melt-to-part; qualifications
Azad Engineering19,47560334%37%22.2%9.1%140xNA32.3xTurbine airfoils / energy & aero components [Analyst View]
MTAR Technologies23,85487615%20%10.7%12.4%175xNA27.2xPrecision assemblies (space, nuclear, clean energy) [Analyst View]
Mishra Dhatu Nigam (MIDHANI)8,2151,20912%20%10.8%8.9%61xNA6.8xPSU superalloys/Ti mill products; captive defence
Paras Defence & Space10,48247729%26%18.7%12.4%113xNA22.0xDefence optics & electronics
Bharat Forge88,85216,8129%17%6.5%12.0%88xNA5.3xForging scale; defence & aero via KSSL
Data PatternsNANANANANANANANANADefence electronics (data not retrieved)

*PTC on post-QIP share count at ₹25,339 (Screener shows ₹37,989 Cr / 302x on pre-QIP count). Peer prices as fetched 12 Oct 2026. Mcap/sales computed on FY26 revenue. [Est.]

Strengths and weaknesses vs each peer

PeerPTC stronger onPTC weaker on
Azad EngineeringOwns melting (material security), castings and titanium; space/defence breadthAzad has higher margins (37%), better RoE, cleaner cash conversion, larger qualified aero-engine order book with disclosed values
MTARMaterials know-how; aerospace primes as customersMTAR has larger revenue base, higher RoE, established nuclear/space franchises
MIDHANIPrecision casting, forging and machining downstream; private-sector agility; export customersMIDHANI has decades of defence qualifications, larger melt capacity, lower valuation (6.8x sales)
ParasHard-metal and materials depthDifferent niche; Paras more cash-generative relative to size
Bharat ForgeTitanium/superalloy materials and investment castingMassive scale, balance sheet, defence order book, cheaper valuation
Global incumbents (PCC, Howmet, CPP, Doncasters)India cost base; “China+1/Russia-free” titanium; government supportScale, decades of part numbers, single-crystal production heritage, pricing power

Industry structure, barriers and Porter’s Five Forces

ForceAssessmentRating
Threat of new entrantsVery low: multi-year qualifications, NADCAP/AS9100/CEMILAC, vacuum-melt capex, metallurgical know-how, customer auditsLow
Supplier powerHigh for sponge and Ni/Co (concentrated, geopolitical); mitigated by recycling and MoUsHigh
Buyer powerHigh pre-qualification (few large primes, price-downs); falls after qualificationMedium–High
Threat of substitutesForgings/additive manufacturing/composites can substitute castings on some parts; PTC hedges with forging, powder metallurgyMedium
RivalryGlobal oligopoly in aero castings/airfoils; supply-constrained post-COVID, especially for large structural Ti and SX airfoilsMedium
Moat durability is high once parts are qualified, but PTC’s moat today is mostly prospective: most of the headline programmes (Airbus, Honeywell, Blue Origin, GTRE) are in development or qualification. The industry is consolidated globally and supply-short in large Ti structural castings and hot-section airfoils, which gives a new, credible entrant room to win share — the key question is how fast. [Analyst View]

Risks & Red Flags

Comprehensive register. Severity is our assessment. [Analyst View]
RiskCategorySeverityExplanationMitigant
Valuation de-ratingFinancial / MarketHigh~320x TTM P/E, ~12x P/B, ~62x re-based FY28E broker EPS; CMP above QIP price and only published target. Any qualification delay or quarterly miss could compress the multiple sharplyStrong institutional demand in QIP (Capital Group, Fidelity, HSBC, ADIA); scarcity of listed Ti plays
Negative / weak operating cash flowFinancialHighCFO negative in FY24 and FY26; 5-yr cumulative CFO −₹79 Cr vs PAT ₹244 Cr; CCC ~970 days (Screener)Q1 FY27 CFO +₹44 Cr; management targeting WC reversal in FY27
Qualification & programme timingExecutionHighAirbus, Honeywell, Blue Origin, GTRE are development/qualification stage; aerospace qualifications often slip 12–24 months; revenue lumpy (Aerolloy −25% QoQ in Q1 FY27)Multiple programmes across civil, defence, space diversify timing
Commissioning delays (EBCHR, rolling mills)ExecutionHighEBCHR bought Aug 2022, still commissioning Oct 2026; rolling mill bought Aug 2024 still installing; EBCHR is re-installed existing plantOEM support; VAR/VIM/PAM/forge already running
Equity dilution / capital allocationGovernanceHighShare count 3.0x since Mar-22; ₹621 Cr of QIP for unidentified acquisitions, ₹437 Cr GCPCRISIL monitoring agency; 25% GCP cap
Customer concentrationBusinessMediumTop-10 customer groups 83–89% of revenue; top-5 57–69%Long-term agreements; growing roster of primes
Raw-material supply (Ti sponge, Ni/Co)Business / MacroMediumImported, geopolitically concentrated; paid in advance/LCEBCHR recycling, AMIC-TOHO MoU, Odisha sponge MoU, pass-through clauses
Trac integration & low marginExecutionMedium~6–8.5% EBITDA; UK wage inflation; ₹146 Cr capex planned; goodwill ₹63 CrCoolbrook contract; Rolls/Safran/GE/Siemens base
Standalone margin erosionBusinessMediumStandalone PAT −6% in FY26; RoE 3.5%; operating margin 22.8% → 16.9%Management says it is qualification-phase cost; Aerolloy material to replace imports
Inventory obsolescence / write-downsFinancialMedium₹236 Cr WIP tied to programmes in qualification; specialised parts not redeployableCustomer advances, milestone billing
Other-income dependenceFinancialMediumOther income 30–42% of PBT in FY25–FY26 (interest on QIP cash, FX gains); will recur on new QIP cashFalls as cash is deployed
Export / FX / trade policyMacroMedium~82% exports in FY26; INR/EUR/GBP/USD exposure; US tariffs; export controls on defence itemsForward contracts; diversification to India (33% in Q1 FY27)
Defence budget / procurement timingRegulatory / MacroMediumDomestic orders (BrahMos, DRDO, ISRO) depend on budgets and DAP processesRecord capital budget FY27; 75% domestic reservation
Litigation — Raheja LeasingGovernance / LegalLow₹94.7 Cr damages claim (or 64,800 shares at par) re 2022 rights issue, against company and directorsCompany seeks rejection of plaint; jurisdiction challenged
Key-person dependenceGovernanceMediumStrategy, customer relationships and capital raising centred on Sachin AgarwalProfessional CTO/engineering hires (Collins, Oudelet, Koura); Trac MD
Family-controlled board / related partiesGovernanceLow4 of 8 directors promoter group; CMD’s spouse is CFO; CMD commission 3% of consolidated profit4 independents; unqualified audits; minimal pledge
Historic corporate recordsGovernance / RegulatoryLowAllotment filings 1963–1998 untraceable; possible delayed ROC filingsPCS search report
Workplace safety / environmentESGMediumMolten metal, vacuum furnaces, hazardous chemicals; energy-intensiveISO 14001/45001; ZLD; renewables; 20 MW solar planned
Technology obsolescence / substitutionBusinessLowAdditive manufacturing or forgings substituting castingsInvestments in powder metallurgy, forging, PrintCast
Talent scarcityExecutionMediumAerospace metallurgy skills scarce; employee cost 25% of revenue in FY26STrIDE Academy, GET programme, foreign hires
Credit / counterpartyFinancialLowReceivables ₹274 Cr; ECL only ₹0.23 CrBlue-chip primes, DPSUs, export credit insurance
Corporate guarantees to subsidiariesFinancialLowParent guarantees for subsidiaries’ loansNet cash post-QIP
Red-flag summary
  • Profits not converting to cash (5-yr CFO negative).
  • Serial equity issuance; 60% of new QIP without a named use.
  • Capex plans repeatedly upsized and delayed.
  • Headline “EBITDA” includes other income; “landmark” orders without values; no order-book disclosure.
  • CMP above the QIP price set days earlier and above the sole published target.

Concall Highlights & Guidance

Earnings calls/analyst meets were held (Screener lists transcripts for Aug 2025, Nov 2025, Feb 2026, Jun 2026 and Aug 2026), but the transcript files were behind a login and not retrievable in this session; the exchange API was blocked and the web-search budget was exhausted. This tab is therefore built from the company’s results presentations, press releases, the FY26 annual report’s MD&A, ICRA’s March 2026 rationale (which reflects management discussions) and ICICI Securities’ 2 Jun 2026 post-call note. Treat quotes as from written releases unless stated. QC re-check (12 Oct 2026): the company’s investor-relations compliance page hosts no call transcripts or audio (only analyst-meet intimations), and Screener exposes a transcript link only for the Jun-2023 call; no FY26–FY27 transcript could be obtained, so no call commentary has been added.

Quarter by quarter

Quarter (date)Key numbersHighlights / management wordsTone
Q1 FY26 (Aug 2025)Total income ₹107.7 Cr (+>100%); EBITDA ₹19.4 Cr (18.0%); PAT ₹5.2 Cr; Aerolloy EBITDA ₹8.1 Cr (from ₹2.8 Cr)“We remain on track to achieve our budgeted revenue and EBITDA margin targets for the year.” Safran MoU on military engines; SMTC inaugurated 11 May 2025Confident
Q2 FY26 (Nov 2025)H1 total income ₹240.5 Cr (+83%); EBITDA ₹53.3 Cr (+23%); Aerolloy H1 ₹42.1 Cr, 51.3% EBITDA“EBITDA margins were temporarily impacted by the consolidation of Trac … we see this as a short-term effect.” BrahMos ₹110 Cr order (24 months); GTRE SX blades; Coolbrook; VIM & VAR-400 commissioned; Lokarpan 18 Oct 2025Confident, defensive on margin
Q3 FY26 (Feb 2026)9M total income ₹406.0 Cr; EBITDA ₹87.9 Cr (+27.7%); Aerolloy 9M ₹91.3 Cr (39.3%); Trac 9M ₹167.2 CrBlue Origin BE-4 order; Honeywell LTA; VSSC double-VAR ingots; PLI 1.2 MoUs; PAM installed. Positioned as “uniquely placed” for mission-critical materialsPromotional
Q4 FY26 (2–3 Jun 2026)Q4 total income ₹237.3 Cr (+77%); EBITDA ₹84.4 Cr (35.6%); PAT ₹59.9 Cr (+144%). FY26 PAT ₹101.6 Cr“FY26 has been a defining year … we moved from capability creation to scaled execution.” Forging press trials done; second Makino G7 at Trac; TITANIUM Europe 2026; ICRA upgrade. I-Sec post-call: EBCHR to commission in Q1 FY27; approval/order-building phase for ~2 years, “exponential” execution from FY29Very confident
Q1 FY27 (14 Aug 2026; analyst meet 31 Aug 2026)Total income ₹197.1 Cr (+83%); EBITDA ₹54.2 Cr (27.5%); PAT ₹29.2 Cr (+466%); Aerolloy ₹74.3 Cr (45%); Trac ₹71.4 Cr“As these capabilities mature and programmes progress through qualification, industrialisation and scale-up, our focus remains on disciplined execution and sustainable growth.” Airbus agreement; BrahMos sub-system; ARDE; Gun Factory Kanpur; MoD visitConfident but more measured
Pre-QIP investor meetings (Q2 FY27)—One-on-ones disclosed with Capital Group, Fidelity Management & Research, HSBC, SBI MF, ICICI Prudential, Union MF, Aditya Birla Sun Life, Axis AMC — several became QIP allottees—

Guidance vs outcome — credibility check

Guidance / expectationGivenOutcomeVerdict
VAR + EBCHR Phase-1: ~₹125 Cr over 2 years; world’s largest single-site Ti recyclingAug 2022Group capex ~₹624 Cr FY24–26; EBCHR still “under commissioning” Oct 2026Missed (cost and time)
Dassault: Aerolloy to produce full range of Rafale/Falcon Ti castings “from 2024 onwards”Jan 2024Supply ongoing; volumes not disclosedUnverifiable
“On track for budgeted revenue and EBITDA margin targets”Aug 2025Revenue +96%; company EBITDA margin 26.8% vs 32.0% in FY25 (core 22.2% vs 24.4%)Mixed (budget never disclosed)
Trac margin dilution “short-term”Nov 2025Trac EBITDA 6.3% FY26, 8.5% Q1 FY27Partially delivered
Revenue to more than double over FY26–27 from ₹308 Cr; OPM 20–22% by FY27 (ICRA, based on management inputs)Mar 2026FY26 revenue ₹603 Cr; Q1 FY27 core OPM 25%Ahead
EBCHR commissioning Q1 FY27; EBCHR + rolling mill in H1 FY27 (I-Sec)Jun 2026Still commissioning/installing per 9 Oct 2026 placement documentSlipping
Working-capital reversal “a priority for FY27”AR FY26 (Jul 2026)Q1 FY27 CFO +₹44 Cr (receivables −₹32 Cr)Early positive

Recurring themes, analyst concerns and contradictions

Growth, Outlook & Valuation

Order visibility, expansion, catalysts, estimates and valuation. Valuation on post-QIP share count (1,58,47,249) at ₹25,339 unless stated.

Order book & revenue visibility

Data gap
No order-book figure is disclosed in the FY26 annual report, results presentations, ICRA rationale or the QIP placement document (searched). ICRA refers to a “healthy order book, including some key long-term contracts”; I-Sec says the next two years are an “order build-up phase”. Book-to-bill and % contracted revenue: not available. [Fact]
Order / agreementCustomerDateValueTenor / stage
Critical titanium castingsBrahMos Aerospace21 Aug 2025₹110 Cr (“100+ crore”)24 months
Strategic metallic airframe system & integrationBrahMos Aerospace17 Jul 2026Not disclosedDevelopment, integration, supply
Ti castings A320neo/A330neo/A350Airbus6 Aug 2026Not disclosedDevelopment → qualification → serial
LEAP-1A/1B cast components (7 parts)Safran Aircraft Engines28 Mar 2025Not disclosedLong-term PO
Ti & superalloy castings LTAHoneywell Aerospace2025 (FY26)Not disclosedLong-term; dedicated capacity
BE-4 LOX housings/manifoldsBlue OriginJan 2026Not disclosedDevelopment & supply
SX ready-to-fit blades post-cast opsGTRE (DRDO)Oct 2025Not disclosedDevelopment
Double-VAR Ti-6Al-4V ingots (~40 t sponge conversion)VSSC (ISRO)FY26 Q3Not disclosedOrder
M777 Ti castings production orderBAE Systems27 Sep 2024Not disclosedSerial
Rafale/Falcon Ti castings LTPADassault Aviation17 Jan 2024Not disclosedMulti-year
RDH components (27,000 parts/yr at full rate)Coolbrook (via Trac)2 Oct 2025>£10m p.a. expected at full productionPhase 2 pending
Ti cradle (105 mm light tank); artillery componentsARDE; Gun Factory KanpurJul–Aug 2026Not disclosedDesign & development

Expansion plans

ProjectSpendTimelineStatus
EBCHR 5,000 tpa Ti recycling (GreenTitanium™)Within SMTC programmeWas Q1 FY27 (I-Sec)Under commissioning
Rolling / plate mills (plates, sheets, rods, bars)Within SMTC programmeH1 FY27 (I-Sec)Under installation
Aerolloy facility expansion (P&M)₹499.3 Cr (₹480 Cr from QIP)FY27–FY28Quotations only; not appraised
Trac UK expansion (EDM, grinding, brazing, coating, inspection)₹146.3 Cr (₹71 Cr from QIP)FY27–FY28In progress
Mehsana expansion (+50,000 sq ft, robotics, automated fettling)Not disclosed“Next few years”Commenced FY26
Titanium sponge plant, OdishaNot disclosedMoU 30 Jan 2025Intent only
Powder metallurgy / additive manufacturing at SMTCNot disclosed—Planned
BDL JV (propulsion, guided bombs, aero-engines)Not disclosedMoUSubject to approvals
20 MW solar plantNot disclosed—Planned

Catalysts

Next 12 months

  • EBCHR and rolling-mill commissioning announcements
  • Q2/Q3 FY27 results: Aerolloy run-rate vs Q4 FY26 peak; CFO sign
  • Deployment of ₹621 Cr acquisition kitty (target identity, price)
  • Airbus first-article / qualification milestones; Safran LEAP rate
  • PLI 1.2 incentive accrual on incremental Ti/superalloy sales
  • Further BrahMos, DRDO, ISRO orders; AMCA programme progress
  • Index inclusion potential given ~₹40,000 Cr market cap (not verified)

3–5 year drivers

  • Global titanium supply realignment away from Russia/China
  • Indian airline backlog (IndiGo ~1,000 undelivered aircraft; Air India 737 MAX book), >2,000 LEAP engines on order by Indian airlines
  • Defence capital budget growth; 75% domestic procurement reservation; Positive Indigenisation Lists
  • Space launch cadence (Blue Origin, ISRO); IGT demand from AI data-centre power
  • Integration to ready-to-fit parts and sub-systems (higher value per kg)

Estimates — the only published broker model

ICICI Securities (2 Jun 2026; BUY, TP ₹21,500)FY25AFY26AFY27EFY28E
Revenue (₹ Cr)3086031,0542,187
EBITDA (₹ Cr, core)75132347841
EBITDA margin24.4%21.9%32.9%38.4%
PAT (₹ Cr)61102260645
EPS as published (1.499 Cr shares)40.767.8173.6430.5
EPS re-based to 1.585 Cr shares [Est.]—64.1164.2407.0
P/E at ₹25,339 on re-based EPS [Est.]—395x154x62x

Management gives no numeric revenue/margin guidance. Consensus (multiple brokers) not available in sources accessed. I-Sec TP = 50x FY28E EPS; CMP is 18% above it. Re-basing ignores interest income on the new QIP cash, which would add to FY27–28 PAT. [Fact]/[Est.]

Valuation vs history and peers

MetricCurrentFY26 (avg price)FY25 (avg price)FY24 (avg price)3-yr avg
P/E (on that year’s EPS)~320x TTM (post-QIP)236x303x203x~247x [Est.]
P/B~12.0x (post-QIP book)~15.9xn/dn/d—
EV / core EBITDA (TTM)~224x————
EV / sales (TTM)~55x————
Dividend yield0%0%0%0%—

Average NSE closing prices: FY24 ₹5,941, FY25 ₹12,337, FY26 ₹15,972 (placement document). EV ≈ mcap ₹40,156 Cr + debt ₹274 Cr − cash ~₹1,950 Cr (incl. net QIP proceeds) ≈ ₹38,480 Cr. Peer P/E range 61–175x (MIDHANI to MTAR); PTC trades at ~2x the most expensive peer. No buybacks ever. [Est.]

Scenario framework (12–18 months) — our view

ScenarioAssumptionFY28E PATMultipleImplied equity valuePer share
BullQualifications on time; EBCHR live; I-Sec FY28E achieved₹645 Cr70x + net cash ~₹1,500 Cr~₹46,650 Cr~₹29,400
Base~1-year slip in programme ramp; Aerolloy margins hold ~40%₹450 Cr60x + net cash~₹28,500 Cr~₹18,000
BearMulti-year qualification delays; WC stays heavy; de-rating₹250 Cr45x + net cash~₹12,750 Cr~₹8,050

Illustrative, not a recommendation. Net cash assumes most QIP cash still on balance sheet in 2027–28 less capex. Probability-weighted (25/50/25) ≈ ₹18,400/share, ~27% below CMP. [Analyst View]

Final Verdict

Scores consistent with the Snapshot tab. [Analyst View]
Business Quality
Strong
Management Quality
Medium
Financial Quality
Weak
Valuation
Expensive
Overall View
Neutral
DimensionWhy
Business — StrongOnly integrated Ti/superalloy melt-cast-forge-machine platform in India; LTAs with Safran, Honeywell, Dassault, Airbus; NADCAP/AS9100/CEMILAC; Aerolloy 45–47% EBITDA
Management — MediumVisionary and technically capable; delivered SMTC and global customer wins. But repeated dilution, upsized/late capex, 60% of QIP without named use, promotional disclosures, family-dominated board
Financial — WeakRoE 7%, RoCE 8%; CFO negative in 2 of last 3 years; CCC ~970 days; other income 30–42% of PBT; standalone profits falling
Valuation — Expensive~320x TTM, ~154x/62x re-based FY27E/FY28E; ~12x book; above QIP price and sole target
Overall — NeutralOwn-the-business, not-at-this-price: positive on franchise, negative on entry point; revisit on cash-flow proof or a 30–40% lower price

Bull case

  1. Airbus, Safran LEAP, Honeywell and Blue Origin move to serial production in FY28–29; Aerolloy becomes a ₹1,500 Cr+ revenue, 40% margin business.
  2. EBCHR recycling gives a structural cost advantage in Ti ingots and plates; PLI 1.2 incentives add to margins.
  3. Defence sub-systems (BrahMos, ARDE, artillery) lift value per order; Indian strategic scarcity sustains a premium multiple.

Bear case

  1. Qualification slips 1–2 years; WIP and receivables keep CFO negative; EPS growth disappoints vs ~62x FY28E.
  2. Acquisition kitty deployed into a low-return asset (Trac-like margins); further dilution.
  3. Commissioning problems with the re-installed EBCHR and the rolling mills; Ti sponge supply shock squeezes margins.

Base case (12–18 m)

Revenue grows 50–70% in FY27 on Aerolloy and Trac, but quarterly lumpiness persists; EBCHR commissions late FY27; QIP interest income props PAT; CFO turns modestly positive. Earnings rise but the multiple compresses toward 150–200x FY27 EPS — implying flat-to-lower stock returns from ₹25,339. [Analyst View]

Five things to remember

  1. Aerolloy is the profit engine (~67% of FY26 PAT); the legacy standalone business is shrinking in profit.
  2. ~40% of FY26 revenue came from the Trac acquisition, a ~6% EBITDA business.
  3. Five-year cumulative CFO is negative (−₹79 Cr) against ₹244 Cr of PAT; FCF ≈ −₹827 Cr.
  4. Share count has tripled since 2022; ~₹2,910 Cr raised, ₹621 Cr of the latest QIP is for unidentified acquisitions.
  5. At ₹25,339 the stock trades ~320x TTM, above its own QIP price (₹21,060) and the only published target (₹21,500).

Five questions to ask before investing

  1. What is the contracted order book and expected revenue from Airbus, Safran, Honeywell and Blue Origin by year, and when does each part reach serial production?
  2. When exactly will EBCHR and the rolling mills be commissioned, and what were the cumulative costs vs the 2022 plan?
  3. What is the ₹621 Cr acquisition kitty for — sector, geography, size, return hurdle — and why is SMTC capex that ICRA (Mar/Apr 2026) expected to be partly debt-funded (~₹300 Cr of debt), with ~₹300 Cr left to spend, now allotted ₹480 Cr of QIP equity?
  4. How much of the ₹236 Cr WIP is tied to parts not yet qualified, and what is the write-down policy?
  5. What are Trac’s standalone PAT and margin path, and is the ₹63 Cr goodwill at risk?
PTC Industries is building something genuinely scarce — an Indian titanium and superalloy champion with real customer validation. But reported profits are not yet cash, the company keeps raising equity, and at ~320x trailing earnings the market has already paid for FY29-30. We are Neutral: accumulate only on proof of cash conversion and commissioning, or a materially lower price.

Sources

All URLs accessed 12 Oct 2026. Primary documents downloaded and text-extracted locally. Links open externally; the report itself makes no network requests.

Filings, offer documents, annual reports

Investor presentations & press releases

Ratings, broker research

Financial databases

News & secondary

Searched but not available (data gaps)