SEDEMAC Mechatronics Ltd
NSE: SEDEMAC · BSE: 544723
₹3,469CMP, 1 Oct
~₹15,300 crMkt Cap

SEDEMAC Mechatronics Ltd

NSE: SEDEMAC · BSE: 544723 (one source) · Engine and motor control electronics for two-wheelers and generators, Pune · Listed 11 Mar 2026
₹3,469Last close found, 1 Oct 2026 (one summary)
~₹15,300 crMarket cap, derived on 4.42 cr shares
₹1,413 / 3,494+52-week low / high. A high of ₹3,596 was reported on 29 Sep.
4.42 crShares outstanding, derived

No price after 1 Oct was found. The IPO was priced at ₹1,352, so the stock is up about 157%. The company was valued at about ₹5,900 cr at the IPO. [Fact]

Company overview

OriginSpun out of IIT Bombay, incubated in 2007. Founder Prof. Shashikanth Suryanarayanan.
PromotersSuryanarayanan, Amit Arun Dixit, Manish Sharma and Anaykumar Joshi. About 26.2% together. Venture investors held most of the rest before the IPO.
ProductsEngine control units, starter-generator controllers, motor controllers for electric two-wheelers, and generator-set controllers
PlantsThree in Pune plus a planned plant at Shoolagiri, Tamil Nadu
EmployeesAbout 1,142 at the draft prospectus stage
Index membershipNot Available — not found

SEDEMAC designs the control electronics and software that run engines and motors, and makes them in Pune. About 91% of Q1 FY27 revenue came from mobility, mainly two- and three-wheelers. TVS Motor alone was about 75 to 80% of revenue. FY26 revenue rose 61% to ₹1,058 cr and profit more than doubled. The IPO was entirely a sale by existing holders, so the company raised nothing.

Key figures

₹1,058 crFY26 revenue (+61%)
₹103.6 crFY26 PAT (+120%)
~21%FY26 EBITDA margin, incl. other income
~27%FY26 RoE (26.9 to 28%)
₹310 crQ1 FY27 revenue (+42.5%)
₹59.9 crQ1 FY27 EBITDA, margin 19.35%
₹33.3 crQ1 FY27 PAT (+95%)
~126xTrailing P/E, derived at ₹3,469

Quick verdict

BusinessMedium
ManagementMedium
FinancialMedium to strong
ValuationExpensive
OverallNeutral, cautious
Data freshness. Prepared 14 Oct 2026. Latest results are Q1 FY27, reported 28 Jul 2026. Q2 unit volumes are out and Q2 results are expected on 28 Oct 2026. NSE and BSE filings, the prospectus and transcripts could not be opened, and Quartr and Financial Modeling Prep need paid plans. Figures come from aggregators and may mix consolidated and standalone bases. Gaps are labelled and listed in Tab 14.

Analyst Notes

First-person view, dated 14 Oct 2026, built on the data tabs and their gaps.

What happened. A control-electronics designer from IIT Bombay grew revenue 61% in FY26 to ₹1,058 cr and profit 120% to ₹104 cr. It listed in March at ₹1,535 and has since risen to about ₹3,469. The market cap of about ₹15,300 cr is roughly 2.6 times the IPO valuation. HSBC initiated at Buy with a ₹3,700 target on 31 July, when the stock was ₹2,645. By 1 October it was ₹3,469, about 6% short of that target.

Why growth is strong. The core is an integrated starter-generator controller that lets two-wheelers stop and restart the engine to save fuel. Combined units passed one million in 23 months. Quarterly units rose 37.5% in the September quarter to 1.45 million, and trailing twelve-month units are up 44%. Units were up 31% from the June quarter. If revenue followed units, September revenue would be near ₹400 cr, but price and mix are not known. Results are due 28 October. [Est.]

The concentration is extreme. TVS Motor was about 80% of FY25 revenue and about 75 to 77% in FY26. The top three customers were 91% of nine-month FY26 revenue, and the top ten about 99%. ICRA flags the same dependence on a single customer and a single product. Management says new motorcycle platforms from three top-ten OEMs will broaden the base, with launches in Q1 FY27, Q4 FY27 and later. Until those show up in revenue, a TVS volume or pricing change moves the whole company.

Margins are good but exposed. About 74% of material cost is semiconductors, with printed circuit boards and rare-earth magnets also imported, notably from China. EBITDA margin was 21% in FY26 and slipped to 19.1 to 19.4% in June on chip tightness and commodity inflation. Reported EBITDA includes other income, so margins on operations alone are lower. Management expects margins to hold or improve, with no numbers.

Supply overhang came through. The six-month lock-in on pre-IPO holders ended around 9 to 10 September, freeing about 38% of equity by one count. On 24 September five holders sold about 11% at ₹3,010, roughly ₹1,469 cr. Buyers included Singapore's sovereign fund and several domestic mutual funds, and the stock closed up about 10%. Promoters are locked in until about September 2027. That absorption is a positive sign, though more selling by venture investors remains possible. [Fact]

What the price implies. At ₹3,469 the stock trades near 126 times trailing earnings, 34 times book and about 65 times EBITDA. HSBC's forecast of 49% annual profit growth to FY29 implies about 45 times FY29 earnings. The price needs a long run of growth well above the industry from a very concentrated customer base. [Est.]

My view. The operating story is excellent: 27% RoE, a 19 to 21% margin, upgraded to A by India Ratings (stable) and ICRA (positive outlook), and growing from a small base. The valuation already assumes much of that, and the customer concentration is the biggest unknown. I would want the Q2 results, the FY26 annual report note on customers and evidence that non-TVS revenue is rising before treating this as more than a high-multiple growth holding. [Analyst View]

Limits of this report. No primary filings, prospectus or transcripts could be read. Figures come from IPO sites, aggregators and news. Consolidated and standalone numbers may be mixed.

Business Deep-Dive

Sourcing note. The prospectus, annual report and transcripts were not opened. Capacity numbers, patent counts, R&D spend, industry share data and certifications were Not Available — not found. [Fact]

History and ownership

ItemFinding
OriginsProf. Suryanarayanan joined IIT Bombay in 2004. His students built a two-wheeler fuel-injection controller for TVS Motor. The company was incubated at IIT Bombay in 2007.
Early backersNexus Venture Partners took about 26% for about ₹2 cr (one press account). Iron Pillar also invested. Dates and sizes not found.
StrategyAvoid head-on competition with Bosch and Astemo. Use algorithms that remove sensors, such as a 2013 ignition-timing method TVS accepted.
Pre-IPO holdersA91 Emerging Fund II held about 18.2%. Suryanarayanan held about 16.2%. 360 ONE entities held about 8.7%. Xponentia and HDFC Life were smaller sellers.
IPO, Mar 2026Entirely an offer for sale of 80.4 lakh shares at ₹1,352, worth about ₹1,087 cr. Subscribed 2.68 times, with retail only 0.2 times. Anchors put in ₹325.9 cr. The company received nothing.

Products

Starter-generator (ISG) controllers
  • Flagship product for two- and three-wheelers, enabling idle stop-start.
  • ISG with fuel-injection combined: sales began Oct 2024 and passed 1 million units in Sep 2026.
  • ICRA flags "sizeable operational dependence over a single product".
  • Claimed share of about 35% of the ISG ECU market (unverified).
Fuel-injection ECUs and motor controllers
  • Electronic control units for engines.
  • Motor controllers for electric two-wheelers began ramping in Q3 FY26.
  • Share of electric vehicle revenue: not found.
Generator-set controllers
  • The industrial and power solutions line.
  • Claimed share of about 75 to 77% of Indian genset controllers (unverified).
  • Exports, mostly gensets to the US, were about US$10 mn in FY26.
How it earns
  • Design-led and IP-led. It designs the hardware and algorithms and makes the controllers itself.
  • Semiconductors are about 74% of material cost.
  • A royalty or licence revenue line was not found.

Facilities and capex

SiteStatus
MF1, Chakan, PuneMother plant, about 40,000 sq ft
MF2, Wadgaon Budruk, PuneOperating
MF3, Khed, PuneAbout 120,000 sq ft. Limited commercial production began 25 Sep 2026, with more lines to be phased in.
Shoolagiri, Tamil Nadu13 acres bought in the SIPCOT area. Management says it enables up to three times the ECU output.

Cumulative plant capex was about ₹227 cr to March 2025. ICRA raised rated bank limits from ₹113.5 cr to ₹214.95 cr, with term loans up from ₹49.5 cr to ₹111 cr, which points to debt-funded capex. Installed capacity and utilisation: not found. A Nov 2025 report mentions a ₹100 cr Karnataka facility and whether this became Shoolagiri is not found. ISO or IATF certifications: not found.

Moat

The moat is algorithm and calibration know-how, the OEM validation cycle and a long relationship with TVS. It is narrow because one customer and one product dominate. [Analyst View]

Segment Analysis

Coverage. Two segments are reported: Mobility and Industrial (power solutions). Segment profit and the full FY23 to FY25 split were Not Available — not found. The FY26 split is read off an investor presentation chart and is provisional. [Fact]
Segment (₹ crore)Q1 FY26Q1 FY27GrowthShare Q1 FY27
Mobility183.3281.0+53%91%
Industrial and power34.128.7−16%9%
Total217.4309.8+42.5%100%

FY26 was about ₹912 cr mobility and ₹146 cr industrial, an 86 to 14 split, and FY25 was about 85 to 86% mobility. A business summary describing mobility as 85% of Q1 FY27 conflicts with the reported figures and is not used.

Quarterly revenue (₹ crore)

180Q4 FY25217Q1 FY26288Q4 FY26310Q1 FY27

Only four quarters were disclosed in the sources. Q4 FY25 is derived from the reported 60% growth. Q2 and Q3 of FY26 were not found, though nine-month FY26 revenue was ₹770.7 cr.

Volumes

PeriodControl-intensive ECU unitsGrowth
FY2524.39 lakhNA
FY2639.01 lakh+60%
Q1 FY2711.08 lakh+37.1%
Q2 FY2714.53 lakh+37.5%
Trailing twelve months45.97 lakh+44.2%

Revenue growth of 42.5% against unit growth of 37.1% in Q1 suggests supportive price or mix. That is my inference.

What is moving [Analyst View]

Mobility is the engine
  • ISG launches on variants of three top-ten motorcycle models, two in Q1 FY27 and one in Q4 FY27.
  • Electric two-wheeler motor controllers ramping since Q3 FY26.
  • Export three-wheeler ISG production started in Q4 FY26.
Industrial is shrinking
  • Revenue fell 16% in Q1 FY27.
  • Exports are mostly gensets and depend on US demand, including hurricane seasons.
  • The El Nino weather pattern was flagged as a risk for US home-standby generators.

Financials: Profit & Loss

Data basis. FY23 to FY25 are restated figures from IPO sites and StockAnalysis. FY26 comes from the investor presentation, ScanX and Inc42. One source calls the FY26 audited results standalone, so I cannot confirm every year is consolidated. EBITDA includes other income. Gross profit and exceptional items were not found. [Fact]

Annual (₹ crore)

MetricFY23FY24FY25FY26
Revenue from operations423.0530.7658.41,058.4
GrowthNA+25%+24%+61%
Other income6.85.34.25.3
EBITDA (incl. other income)54.283.1125.1~222
EBITDA margin on revenue [Est.]12.8%15.7%19.0%21.0%
Depreciation26.331.745.363.5
Finance cost~20.0~42.612.08.5
PBT8.08.867.7150.2
Tax−0.62.920.7~46.6
PAT8.65.947.1103.6
Basic EPS (₹)NANA10.9323.91

The FY24 profit dip is attributed to a one-time interest cost on compulsory convertible preference shares. Finance cost and tax for FY23, FY24 and FY26 are derived. FY26 tax implies a 31% rate, well above recent quarters, and is unexplained. Other sources show different FY23 and FY24 profits, such as ₹11.1 cr and ₹27.8 cr, and I used the restated figures. FY25 PAT of ₹47 cr rose about eightfold from FY24.

Quarters disclosed (₹ crore)

QuarterRevenueYoYEBITDAMarginPAT
Q4 FY25 (Mar-25)~180NANA16.1%8.6
Q1 FY26 (Jun-25)217.4NA45.7~20 to 21%17.1
Q4 FY26 (Mar-26)287.7+60%~6121.3%32.1
Q1 FY27 (Jun-26)309.8+42.5%59.919.35%33.3

Nine-month FY26 revenue was ₹770.7 cr and PAT ₹71.5 cr, so Q4 PAT of ₹32.1 cr brings FY26 to ₹103.6 cr. Q2 and Q3 FY26 were not found directly. Q1 FY27 margin is 19.10% excluding other income, and fell 193 basis points from the previous quarter on chip tightness and commodity inflation. The Q1 FY27 tax rate was 19.4% against 23.5% in Q4, and PAT includes a ₹2.98 cr reversal of excess tax provisions. Without it PAT is about ₹30.3 cr, up about 77% year on year and down about 6% on the quarter. [Est.]

Margins, growth and quality

Earnings quality. Reasonable but not clean. FY26 operating cash flow was about 1.2 times PAT, while working capital absorbed about ₹72 cr. Free cash flow was about zero in FY26 even as profit doubled. [Est.]

Financials: Balance Sheet, Cash Flow & Ratios

Coverage gap. Fixed assets, goodwill and payables were Not Available — not found. Working-capital lines come from StockAnalysis and Sharpely, not from the filing. [Fact]

Balance sheet (₹ crore)

ItemMar-23Mar-24Mar-25Dec-25Mar-26
Net worth115.2124.4303.9411.2449.2
Total borrowings109.6150.649.646.9LT 45.9
Total assetsNANA491.2NA813.7
InventoryNANA~135NA~188
ReceivablesNANA~44NA~134
CashNANA~2.5NA~64

Net worth jumped from ₹124 cr to ₹304 cr in FY25, consistent with conversion of the preference shares, which I infer and could not date. Short-term debt at March 2026 is not found. Receivables tripled in FY26 while revenue grew 61%.

Cash flow (₹ crore)

ItemFY25FY26
Operating cash flow90.9 (79.3 in another source)128.0 (119.7)
Capex, plant and intangibles56.9 + 28.7138.6 + 36.9
Investing cash flow−104.8−148.3
Free cash flow+34.0−10.5
CFO to PAT [Est.]1.9x1.2x

FY26 working capital absorbed ₹71.5 cr: receivables −₹90.2 cr, inventory −₹55.4 cr, payables +₹89.5 cr. FY23 and FY24 cash flow not found.

Ratios

RatioValueNote
RoEFY25 22%, FY26 27 to 28%Value Research, Screener
RoCEFY26 35 to 37%HSBC quotes 24%, definitions differ. A ScanX headline cites 42% for Q1 FY27, unverified.
Debt to equity [Est.]FY25 0.16, FY26 about 0.10Sources quoting 1.16 to 1.37 do not reconcile with the borrowing figures
Interest cover [Est.]FY25 6.6x, FY26 18.6xFY23 to FY24 about 1.2 to 1.4x
Debtor days29.7 in FY25 to 46.1 in FY26Screener
Payable days, cash conversion cycleNot Available

Equity, IPO and lock-ins

ItemDetail
Pre-issue shares4,37,37,000, promoters 26.43%. Now about 4.42 cr. The extra four lakh shares are probably option exercises under the 2014 plan, an inference.
IPOOffer for sale only: 80,43,300 shares. Promoters sold 45,000 and 67,500 (promoter group). Investors sold 79.3 lakh.
Pre-IPO investors' lock-inExpired about 9 to 10 Sep 2026. About 38% of equity unlocked by one count. HSBC puts pre-IPO investor holdings near 55%, so the sources conflict.
Promoter lock-inMinimum 20% locked to about Sep 2027
Block deal, 24 Sep 202648.8 lakh shares (11.05%) at ₹3,010, about ₹1,469 cr. A91 sold 16.1 lakh, Xponentia 16.85 lakh, HDFC Life 4.04 lakh, plus NRJN Family Trust and Mace. Buyers included Singapore's sovereign fund, SBI, Invesco, Franklin, Axis, ICICI Prudential and T. Rowe Price.

Credit rating

Upgraded twice in 2026. India Ratings raised bank facilities to IND A (Stable) from A- on 17 Aug 2026. ICRA raised them to [ICRA]A (Positive) from A- on 15 Sep 2026 and lifted limits to ₹214.95 cr. Lenders are not named in sources. [Fact]

Key balance-sheet risks

Management, Promoters & Governance

Sourcing note. The prospectus and annual report were not read. Board independence ratios, remuneration, related-party amounts and subsidiaries were Not Available — not found. [Fact]

Promoters and management

PersonRoleNote
Shashikanth SuryanarayananFounder and promoterManaging director in 2025 per one tracker. Holds about 16%. Did not sell in the IPO.
Amit Arun DixitJoint Managing DirectorIIT Bombay M.Tech and PhD. An NSE correction in March 2026 clarified that he is Joint MD, not MD.
Manish SharmaWhole-time director and COOSold 45,000 shares in the IPO.
Anaykumar JoshiPromoterRole not found
Rajesh Madhukar ShethCFO
Prasad Rajendra ChavanCompany secretary
Who chairs the board is unclear. Trackers list Poyni Bhatt as chairperson, one profile calls the founder chairman, and Inc42 lists Bhatt as an independent director. Other non-executives are N S Parthasarathy (independent) and Udo Edgar Wolz. Verify in the annual report. [Fact]

Shareholding

HolderPre-IPOPost-IPOMar 2026Jun 2026
Promoters26.43%26.18%26.24%~26.2%
FIINANA2.52%4.27%
DIINANA43.9%39.8%
PublicNANANA9.3% to 29.7%

The public share conflicts across aggregators and the categories do not sum to 100%. One source shows a negative FII figure, which I discarded. Pledge: not found. A promoter declaration of no encumbrance for FY26 exists. The September 2026 shareholding pattern would show the block buyers. Kalyani, Tata and Sundaram holdings from my brief were not found.

ESOPs, auditors and related parties

Litigation and regulatory

MatterDetail
Income taxPenalty of about ₹74.9 lakh from the faceless assessment centre, disclosed 25 Mar 2026. The company will appeal.
GST noticesTamil Nadu demand of ₹2.35 cr for FY23 and FY24. The company expects no material impact.
GST searchMaharashtra inspection at the registered office and plants began 8 Sep 2026 and was closed by 12 Sep. The company says operations and financials were unaffected.
Contingent liabilities and prospectus litigation tableNot Available
Governance view [Analyst View] Nothing alarming surfaced. Items to check: the proxy advisor's ESOP concerns, the chairperson question, related-party amounts and key-person risk, since the founder-led technical team holds the intellectual property.

Supply Chain

Thin disclosure. Pass-through terms with OEMs, named suppliers and contract tenors were Not Available — not found. [Fact]

Value chain

Chips, PCBs,magnets (China) SEDEMAC designand Pune assembly Two-wheeler andgenset makers Riders, powerusers, exports
Where pricing power sits. Buyers hold most of it: one OEM is about 75 to 80% of revenue. SEDEMAC holds some through design lock-in, since a controller is validated for a specific engine. Chip suppliers hold the cost side. [Analyst View]

↑ Upstream: what SEDEMAC depends on

ItemFinding
SemiconductorsAbout 74% of material cost. Grade and availability constraints cause gross margin swings.
Printed circuit boardsImported, notably from China
Rare-earth magnetsFlagged as a dependency for motor controllers
Supplier concentrationTop ten suppliers were 64% of procurement in FY25 and nine-month FY26
Recent pressureTightening chip supply and commodity inflation cut Q1 FY27 margin by about 1.9 points from the prior quarter
Pass-throughNot found

↓ Downstream: who depends on SEDEMAC

ItemFinding
Largest customerTVS Motor, about 80% of FY25 and 75 to 77% of FY26 revenue (ICRA shows 77% and 80%)
ConcentrationTop three customers 88% in FY25 and 91% in nine-month FY26. Top ten 98 to 99%. 91% of receivables sit with three clients.
Named othersBajaj Auto, Hero MotoCorp, Mahindra, Tata Motors, Ashok Leyland and Kirloskar Oil Engines appear in IPO blogs with no percentages. Ather, Ola and Cummins: not found.
Design winsISG launches on three top-ten motorcycle models and ECU deals with three top-ten OEMs, per management
End usesTwo- and three-wheelers, electric two-wheelers, generators, with power tools and commercial vehicles as stated growth areas
A single customer and a single product dominate. If TVS shifts volume or squeezes price, there is no offsetting customer yet. Management expects concentration to fall as new customers come on, but the dates are Q1 and Q4 FY27 at the earliest. [Analyst View]

Competitive Position

Incomplete peer data. The industry report in the prospectus, peer margins, peer returns and market shares were Not Available — not found. The peer search returned larger auto-component names, not direct control-electronics rivals. [Fact]

Valuation versus listed auto-component names

CompanyMarket cap (₹ cr)P/E
SEDEMAC (derived, ₹3,469)~15,300~126
Uno Minda (6 Aug)72,38660.2
Sona BLW Precision Forgings (6 Aug)50,83273.0
Endurance Technologies (6 Aug)41,21043.3

Value Research's own peer set is electronics and industrial names such as PG Electroplast (79.6x), Avalon Tech (106x) and Kaynes. It shows SEDEMAC at RoE 23% and RoCE 25% on a trailing basis in July. SEDEMAC trades at roughly twice the earnings multiple of larger auto-component names, growing faster but with far higher concentration. [Analyst View]

Competitors

CompetitorSource and relevance
Bosch, Astemo (Hitachi Astemo)The incumbents SEDEMAC chose not to fight head-on. Bosch and Schaeffler India appear as listed benchmarks for profitability.
Padmini VNA Mechatronics, Exicom, Entuple E-MobilityListed by CB Insights as alternatives
Continental, Denso, Delphi/Aptiv, Minda, Varroc, Sona ComstarNo source placed them against SEDEMAC

Industry and tailwinds

Five forces [Analyst View]

ForceStrengthReason
RivalryMediumGlobal suppliers are large but have under-served Indian two-wheelers.
Buyer powerHighOne OEM is about 75 to 80% of revenue.
Supplier powerHighChips are about 74% of material cost.
New entrantsMediumValidation cycles and software know-how protect it.
SubstitutesLowOEMs can bring design in-house, but have not so far.
Moat durability. Moderate. Strong technical credentials, but the relationship with one OEM is the real moat and the main risk. [Analyst View]

Risks & Red Flags

RiskCategorySeverityExplanationMitigant
Customer concentrationBusinessHighTVS Motor is about 75 to 80% of revenue. Top three are 91%. 91% of receivables sit with three clients.Launches planned on three top-ten motorcycle models.
Single-product dependenceBusinessHighICRA flags heavy reliance on the ISG controller.Motor controllers and export 3W ISG ramping.
ValuationFinancialHighAbout 126x trailing earnings, 34x book, 65x EBITDA at ₹3,469.HSBC target ₹3,700. Profit growth near 49% a year forecast.
Chip and commodity costsBusinessMediumSemiconductors about 74% of material cost. Q1 margin fell about 1.9 points from the prior quarter.Management expects margins to hold or improve.
Import dependence, ChinaMacroMediumChips, boards and magnets are imported, notably from China.Not found
Further selling by holdersMarketMediumPre-IPO holders were unlocked in September. 38% by one count. Promoter lock-in ends about Sep 2027.The 24 Sep block was absorbed by institutions.
Working capital and cashFinancialMediumFY26 free cash flow −₹10.5 cr. Receivables tripled and inventory rose 39%.Operating cash flow positive. Net worth ₹449 cr.
Execution on new plantsExecutionMediumPune MF3 started limited production in Sep 2026. Shoolagiri still to come. Debt-funded capex.ICRA and India Ratings upgrades in Aug and Sep 2026.
Industrial segment declineBusinessMediumQ1 FY27 industrial revenue fell 16%. Exports depend on US generator demand.Only 9% of revenue.
Tax and GST itemsRegulatoryLow₹74.9 lakh income tax penalty, ₹2.35 cr GST demand, a GST search closed in Sep 2026.Small amounts. Company expects no material impact.
Key-person and IPBusinessMediumFounder-led technical team. Board chair unclear.ESOP plans to retain staff.
Quality of reported EBITDADataMediumReported EBITDA includes other income. Q1 FY27 PAT includes a ₹2.98 cr tax reversal.Operating margin 19.1% still strong.
Data qualityDataMediumConsolidated versus standalone basis unclear. Price and shareholding data conflict.Verification list in Tab 14.
Currency and rates. Exports are small, about US$10 mn. Chip prices are priced in dollars, so rupee weakness raises costs. Sensitivity is Not Available. [Analyst View]

Concall Highlights & Guidance

Transcript gap. A Q4 FY26 call was held on 18 May 2026 and a transcript was filed on 22 May, but only the cover letter surfaced. Whether a Q1 FY27 transcript exists is disputed, since one source says none was published. Analyst Q&A and verbatim quotes are Not Available. The notes below come from presentations and press summaries. [Fact]
PeriodHeadlineCommentary
Q4 FY26 (call 18 May 2026)Revenue ₹287.7 cr (+60%), EBITDA about ₹61 cr (21.3%), PAT ₹32.1 cr. FY26 revenue ₹1,058 cr, PAT ₹103.6 cr, RoCE about 40% per the company.FY27 growth from higher ISG penetration on more models, electric two-wheeler controllers and capacity expansion. Mild margin pressure from inflation. ECU deals with three top-ten motorcycle OEMs. Export push in two-wheelers, with Japan and possibly China named.
Q1 FY27 (28 Jul 2026)Revenue ₹309.8 cr (+42.5%), EBITDA ₹59.9 cr, PAT ₹33.3 cr (+95%)Chip supply tight and commodities inflating. Margins "expected to hold or improve" through FY27. ISG launches on three top-ten models, two in Q1 FY27 and one in Q4 FY27. El Nino flagged as a risk to two-wheeler demand and US standby generators, with no adverse effect so far.
Q2 FY27 operating data (Oct 2026)1.45 million control-intensive ECUs (+37.5%)Results expected 28 Oct 2026.

Guidance

All FY27 guidance is qualitative. There are no revenue, margin or profit numbers, and an independent review rates guidance quality "Below Average". A guidance-versus-outcome check is therefore Not Available. Delivery against the qualitative statements so far: strong, with FY26 revenue up 61% and margin about 21%, and the June margin dip consistent with the "mild pressure" language. [Fact]

Tone [Analyst View]

Questions the Q&A should answer

Growth, Outlook & Valuation

Visibility and expansion

3Top-ten motorcycle OEMs with ISG launches
~₹227 crCumulative plant capex to Mar 2025
13 acresShoolagiri land, up to 3x output
₹214.95 crRated bank limits (ICRA)
Order book and book-to-bill are Not Available. No numeric order book was found. Visibility is qualitative: ISG platform launches and electric two-wheeler ramp-up. No numeric FY27 or FY28 capex guidance was given. [Fact]

Catalysts [Analyst View]

Next 12 months
  • Q2 FY27 results on 28 Oct 2026.
  • Pune MF3 ramp and Shoolagiri progress.
  • New-OEM ISG volumes in Q4 FY27.
  • Further block sales by venture investors.
3 to 5 years
  • Export two-wheeler programmes in Japan and elsewhere.
  • Electric controller share.
  • Power tools and commercial vehicle electronics.
  • Customer mix moving away from one OEM.

Analyst views

SourceViewTarget
HSBC (31 Jul 2026)Buy. FY26 to FY29 CAGR: revenue 32%, EBITDA 35%, PAT 49%. Flagged profit-taking and lock-up risk.₹3,700
Investing.com consensusTwo analysts₹3,112
MarketScreener consensusThree analysts, Buy₹3,308
SBI Securities (at IPO)Subscribe for long term, 62.6x FY26 annualisedNA
Swastika (at IPO)Avoid, about 127x trailingNA

The price of ₹3,469 is above both consensus averages and below HSBC's target. Broker names behind the consensus were not found.

Valuation

MetricValueNote
Price₹3,4691 Oct 2026 close, one summary. ₹3,328 on 24 Sep.
Market cap~₹15,300 crOn 4.416 cr shares. IPO valuation about ₹5,900 cr.
52-week range₹1,413 to 3,494+One page showed a high of ₹3,596
P/E trailing [Est.]~126xTTM EPS about ₹27.4. Sources show 116 to 131x.
P/B [Est.]~34xOn ₹449 cr net worth
EV/EBITDA [Est.]~64 to 69xNet debt near zero
Forward P/E [Est.]~45x FY29Using HSBC's 49% profit CAGR
DividendNone found
+157%Versus the ₹1,352 IPO price
+126%Versus the ₹1,535 listing price
₹3,01024 Sep block price
2.6xMarket cap versus IPO valuation
What the price assumes. Profit compounding near 49% a year for three more years from a customer base that is almost one company. Any customer slip would hit a stock priced for perfection. [Analyst View]

Final Verdict

Business qualityMedium
Management qualityMedium
Financial qualityMedium to strong
ValuationExpensive
Overall viewNeutral, cautious
Opinion. A high-return, fast-growing controls company with two rating upgrades, but one customer and one product carry the story, and the price already reflects years of high growth. I would watch the Q2 results on 28 October and the customer data in the annual report before taking a view. [Analyst View]
Bull case
  1. New-OEM ISG launches and electric controllers cut TVS share and keep growth above 35%.
  2. Margins hold near 20% as scale offsets chip costs.
  3. Exports in two-wheelers open a second growth engine.
Bear case
  1. TVS slows or squeezes price, and growth drops sharply.
  2. Chip shortages hit margins and delivery.
  3. Selling by venture holders and a de-rating compress the multiple.
Base case, 12 to 18 months

Revenue grows 30 to 40% on volumes. Margin stays at 19 to 21%. The stock stays volatile around lock-in and results dates. [Analyst View] This is a judgment, not a forecast. Consensus estimates were not found.

Five things to remember

  1. The IPO was a pure offer for sale, so the company raised no money.
  2. TVS Motor is about 75 to 80% of revenue.
  3. FY26 revenue rose 61% and profit 120%. Q1 FY27 margin fell to 19%.
  4. The stock is about 126 times earnings, up 157% from the IPO price.
  5. Q2 results are due 28 Oct 2026.

Five questions before investing

  1. What share of FY27 revenue will TVS be?
  2. How much of the margin fall can be passed on to customers?
  3. What are installed capacity and utilisation?
  4. Who owns the stock after the September block, and who is left to sell?
  5. What did the proxy advisor object to in the 2025 ESOP plan?

Sources

What could not be accessed. NSE and BSE filing pages, the prospectus, Screener and transcripts could not be read, and Quartr and Financial Modeling Prep need paid plans. Every source was reached through web search summaries, and filing links appear because they surfaced in results. Search was limited to roughly 30 queries per research area. All sources were accessed on 14 Oct 2026.

Filings and company material (NSE)

Results and operating data

IPO, ownership and market data

Analysts, history and business

Data conflicts and open items