Tega Industries Ltd
- The promoters are the Mohanka family, not "Mehrotra". Madan Mohan Mohanka is the founder and Chairman; his son Mehul Mohanka is MD & Group CEO. Promoter vehicle Nihal Fiscal Services Pvt Ltd holds 49.88%. [Fact: FY26 Annual Report, note 19A]
- McNally Sayaji Engineering no longer trades under that name. It was acquired through an NCLT resolution plan on 24 Feb 2023 and renamed Tega McNally Minerals Ltd (TMML). It forms the whole "Equipment" segment. [Fact: AR FY26 note 42; CRISIL May-2026]
Company card
| Headquarters | Godrej Waterside, Salt Lake Sector V, Kolkata 700091 |
| Founded | 1976 (Madan Mohan Mohanka). First plant at Kalyani in 1978 |
| Employees | Tega ~2,000 · TMML ~900 · Molycop ~1,500 as printed in the AR (standalone TIL: 655) |
| Promoter group | Mohanka family: 67.51% (Jun-26), nil pledge |
| Sector | Mining consumables: mill liners, screens, hydrocyclones, grinding media; mineral-processing equipment |
| Footprint | 26 plants post-Molycop (company figure; CRISIL counts 24), customers in 92+ countries |
| Auditor | Walker Chandiok & Co LLP. FY26 opinion unmodified |
| Credit rating | CRISIL A+/Stable and A1, downgraded from AA-/A1+ (Watch Developing) on 14 May 2026; ICRA A+/A1 (19 May 2026) |
| Index | Not a Nifty 50/Next 50 constituent. Broad-market small-cap indices are not verified [Not verified] |
In plain English
Tega makes the parts that wear out inside a mine's processing plant. These are rubber, polymer and steel "liners" that protect the inside of huge rotating grinding mills, plus screens that sort ore by size, hydrocyclones that separate it, and chute and conveyor wear parts. Mines replace them every few months whether metal prices are up or down. About 78% of sales came from outside India in FY26.
On 1 Jun 2026 Tega bought Molycop together with Apollo funds. Molycop is "a leading global supplier of grinding media" (company/CRISIL) with ">50% market share in our core regions" (Molycop COO) [Fact: management claims]. Its forged steel balls are the "media" that tumble inside those mills. The deal valued Molycop at about US$1.455 bn of enterprise value, roughly 8x Tega's own pre-deal revenue. Tega owns 84.18% and Apollo 15.82%, plus Apollo holds about US$270 mn of preference shares.
The new group's revenue is now ~85–90% grinding media on a full-year basis. It is a much larger company, but a lower-margin and much more leveraged one.
Quick verdict scorecard
Data freshness: market data from Screener.in and stockanalysis.com, 12 Oct 2026 intraday. Financials from the FY26 Annual Report (AGM 24 Sep 2026), Q1 FY27 results and presentation (13 Aug 2026), and the Q1 FY27 call transcript (filed 20 Aug 2026). Latest exchange filing reviewed: 7 Oct 2026.
Analyst Notes
Tega has become a different company. Until May 2026 it was a ~₹1,700 Cr, net-cash, ~20%-margin maker of mill liners that compounded at mid-teens. On 1 June it closed the Molycop acquisition, a ~US$1.455 bn EV forged grinding-media business, with Apollo as minority partner. In Q1 FY27, which included Molycop for one month (June), Molycop was already 75% of group revenue. A full quarter will push that to ~85–90%. Anyone holding Tega for the old liner thesis now owns mainly a steel-ball maker with a liner business attached.
The headline Q1 numbers flatter less than they seem. Legacy Tega posted "+42% EBITDA, 22.1% margin". However, Tega's EBITDA includes other income, and that other income was swollen by treasury yield on the ₹1,713 Cr preferential proceeds parked from November to June. Stripping other income out, legacy operating EBITDA margin was 17.5% in Q1 FY27 versus 15.6% in Q1 FY26 and 18.6% in FY26 versus 20.7% in FY25 [Est.: (adj. EBITDA − other income) ÷ revenue from ops]. Q1 operating EBITDA still rose ~36% YoY, so the improvement is real, but it starts from a weak FY26 base.
FY26 was a miss. Consumables revenue was flat at ₹1,434 Cr. Management had guided 15%, then cut to ~8% in February, then delivered 0%. It blamed Middle East shipping disruption, with ~₹50 Cr of finished goods stuck (≈₹100 Cr of revenue). That was the third straight year below the 15% "long-term CAGR" guide (FY24 ~10%, FY25 ~11%). The Q1 rebound (+36%) partly reflects Q4 spill-over, which management itself admitted.
The deal maths is sensible, but the capital structure eats the equity. The purchase multiple is about 7.6x Molycop's LTM EBITDA of US$191 mn, or ~8.2x including the US$120 mn contingent earn-out due FY28 [Est.]. Global peers trade at 13–17x. The catch is below EBITDA. In June alone Molycop's finance cost was ₹97 Cr against ₹163 Cr of adjusted EBITDA, leaving adjusted PAT of just ₹10 Cr (0.8% of revenue) [Fact: Q1 PPT]. Group debt is ₹11,200 Cr including ~₹2,600 Cr of Apollo preference shares [Fact: CFO, Q1 call]. CRISIL projects debt/EBITDA of 4.0–4.5x in FY27, against a downgrade trigger of 4.25x.
What the market is pricing. At ₹1,908, the stock trades ~29x consensus forward P/E (4 analysts, average target ₹1,799, "Hold"). That implies roughly ₹65 EPS. Treating June's Molycop finance cost as run-rate gives only ~₹33 EPS. Using the guided debt service gives ~₹70–73. The market is pricing the benign case [Est.]. The gap between those two numbers is the whole debate. On EV/EBITDA the stock is reasonable (~12x LTM pro-forma). On equity earnings it is fair only if June's finance cost was largely one-off.
What tempers the bear case. (1) Roughly 98% of revenue is now consumables or grinding media, replaced in proportion to tonnes milled rather than metal price. (2) ~85% of Molycop contracts pass steel-bar cost through via indices, protecting margin per ton. (3) Copper above US$14,000/t and gold around US$4,400/oz (Molycop COO, Aug-26) keep mines running at full throughput. (4) The restarts of Cobre Panama and Grasberg are pure upside, and trigger the earn-out only if their EBITDA arrives.
What amplifies the risk. (1) Tega's three CFOs in 12 months (Khaitan, then interim Ganguly, then Joshi from 6 Aug 2026), in the very year the balance sheet was rebuilt. (2) The leverage target slid from "net debt/EBITDA <2.5x in four years" (Sep-25) to "3x in 3–4 years" (Jun-26). (3) Shareholders approved an enabling raise of up to ₹4,000 Cr, and CRISIL notes management intends fresh equity for deleveraging, so dilution overhang is real. (4) Molycop's goodwill of ~₹5,000 Cr (US$528 mn, provisional) now exceeds Tega's entire pre-deal net worth.
The watch-list for the next four quarters: the first full Molycop quarter (Q2 FY27, due ~Nov 2026), and specifically Molycop finance cost per month and attributable PAT. After that: the Chile plant reaching commercial production (now guided Mar-2027, pushed back from ~Aug-2026 over successive calls), synergy evidence (US$20 mn guided over 2–2.5 years), and any QIP.
Business Deep-Dive
What Tega sells, product by product
| Product family | What it does | Material / tech | Where made | Nature |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mill liners (incl. DynaPrime™ hybrid liners) | Protect the shells of SAG, AG and ball mills that grind ore. Design affects throughput and energy use. | Rubber, polymer, rubber-steel composite, steel/ceramic hybrids. DynaPrime is the high-performance hybrid (TM granted 2019), growing ">20%" per management. | Kalyani (DynaPrime), Samali, Dahej, Chile, South Africa (ex-DynaPrime) | Recurring consumable |
| Screens & screen panels; trommels | Size-classify ore and slurry | Polyurethane, rubber (screen-panel patent 2010) | Samali, Dahej, Chile, SA, Australia | Recurring |
| Hydrocyclones | Classify particles in the grinding circuit | Rubber/ceramic-lined | Samali, Kalyani | Recurring spares |
| Wear products: chute liners, mosaic liners, pump liners, pipes and pipe repair, spilex | Protect material-handling surfaces | Rubber, ceramic, polyurethane (mosaic-liner patent 2013) | All six Tega plants | Recurring |
| Conveyor products | Belt-cleaning and impact components for bulk handling | Rubber, polyurethane. Historic Hosch (GB) alliance from 1991; Hosch Equipment (India) is a JV | Samali, Kalyani | Recurring |
| Equipment (TMML): crushers, vibrating screens, feeders, ball mills, thickeners, flotation cells, filter presses, pumps, sand-washing plants | Capital equipment for beneficiation, aggregates and power (coal handling) | Fabricated steel. New aggregates product with a Japanese collaborator due to launch in Q3 FY27 | Vadodara, Bengaluru, Asansol, Kumardubi | Project / cyclical |
| Grinding media (Molycop): forged steel balls (SAG and ball-mill sizes), high-chrome cast media, rods | Steel balls tumble in mills and physically break ore. Consumed continuously in kg per tonne of ore milled. | Forged steel from steel bar (bar ≈80% of COGS). Hi-chrome from own plants (~20kt in the Middle East region plus Indonesia) and from contract manufacturers. Forged capacity ~1.7 Mt at ~70% utilisation. | 15 facilities in 9 countries (AR map; 13 plants + 2 JVs per Chairman) | Recurring, indexed |
| Molycop chemicals, instrumentation, digital | Flotation chemicals (Peru); mill and process instrumentation (Gainesville USA, Perth); rail wheels and fasteners (Waratah/Perth) | The technology/digital share is "very small" but at ~2x the margin; management targets ~25% growth | USA, Peru, Australia | Mixed |
Manufacturing footprint
| Entity | Location | Since | Capabilities |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tega (6 plants, 4 countries) | Kalyani, West Bengal | 1978 | DynaPrime, conveyor products, chute liners, pump liners, hydrocyclones |
| Samali (Joka), Kolkata | 1985 | Mill liners, wear products, hydrocyclones, screens, trommels, conveyor products. 587 kWp solar | |
| Dahej SEZ, Gujarat | 2013 | Mill liners, wear products, screens, trommels. Industry 4.0, ZLD-ready | |
| Chile (Tega Industries Chile SpA, ex-Acotec) | 2011 | Mill liners, trommels, chute liners, screens, pipe spools. New greenfield plant under construction (capex US$25–35 mn; soft start Jan-27, commercial production Mar-27) | |
| South Africa (ex-Beruc Equipments) | 2006 | Mill liners (ex-DynaPrime), spilex, screen panels, chute liners, trommels | |
| Australia (Losugen) | 2010/11 | Chute liners, trommels | |
| TMML (4 plants, India) | Vadodara, Gujarat | 2023* | Crushers, vibrating screens, feeders, material-handling equipment |
| Bengaluru, Karnataka | 2023* | Thickeners, pumps, filter presses, flotation cells, sand washing | |
| Asansol, West Bengal | 2023* | Vibrating screens, feeders, ball mills, crushers, job shop | |
| Kumardubi, Jharkhand | 2023* | Mills, crushers, screens, feeders, job shop | |
| Molycop (15 facilities, 9 countries) | Canada: Kamloops | Grinding media | |
| USA: Kansas City · Gainesville · Vinton (JV) | Grinding media · instrumentation · grinding media (JV) | ||
| Mexico: El Salto | Distribution, laboratory, grinding media | ||
| Spain: Seville | Grinding media | ||
| Peru: La Joya · Lima | Lab, grinding media, flotation chemicals | ||
| Chile: Mejillones · Talcahuano | Grinding media | ||
| Ivory Coast: Abidjan (JV) | Grinding media | ||
| Indonesia: Cilegon · Cikande | Lab, grinding media (incl. hi-chrome) | ||
| Australia: Waratah · Perth | Lab, grinding media, rail wheels · instrumentation, fasteners |
*Acquisition date of TMML (24 Feb 2023); the plants themselves are older McNally Sayaji facilities. Source: FY26 AR pp.16–17, 48–49. Plant-level capacity figures are not disclosed for Tega; Molycop forged capacity is ~1.7 Mt (Sep-25 call).
Moat: why Tega is hard to replace [Analyst View]
- Engineered-to-order: each liner set is designed for a specific mill's geometry and ore. Management says orders take "3 to 6 months to execute because we are a bespoke, design-led organization". Switching suppliers means re-engineering, trial periods and downtime risk for the mine.
- Critical-to-operate, small share of cost: a liner failure stops a mill producing thousands of tonnes per hour. Buyers optimise for uptime, not price.
- Repeat business: ~75% of sales are repeat orders, with 10+ year relationships [Fact: CRISIL]. No customer is ≥10% of revenue [Fact: AR note 42].
- Proximity: plants in Chile, South Africa, Australia and now, via Molycop, in the Americas, Indonesia and Spain cut lead times and tariff exposure. Management cited US tariffs as an entry barrier that favours Molycop's US plants.
- Grinding media is weaker on moat: forged balls are closer to an indexed commodity. Molycop competes on local supply, service and SAG-ball metallurgy. Chinese competition in LatAm forged media was raised by analysts (Aug-26), and management did not quantify it.
IP, R&D and certifications
Patents include a liner-preparation method (1992 application), an improved screen panel (granted 2010) and mosaic liners for chutes (2013). DynaPrime™ was trademarked in 2019. R&D is based in India and Chile and focuses on smart, IT-enabled products and recycling, including a planned facility to recover rubber and metal from end-of-life liners. Tega is an ISO 9001:2015 company (letterhead), with occupational health and safety systems at Kolkata HQ, Samali, Kalyani and Dahej. Chile holds the HuellaChile GHG seal. A full certification list (ISO 14001/45001 scope) is not consolidated in the filings reviewed.
Customers, go-to-market and exports
- Tega serves 700+ customers in 92+ countries. Its standalone exports were ~84% of turnover [Fact: BRSR FY26], and consolidated revenue outside India was 78% (₹1,318.9 Cr of ₹1,691.9 Cr).
- Molycop serves 400+ mines in 40+ countries. ~83–84% of its revenue or volume comes from copper and gold. Its largest region is South America, then North America and Australasia, with Africa as the growth region.
- Named customers are not disclosed in the ARs or the RHP. The RHP lists major miners (Codelco, Freeport, BHP, Newmont and others) only as industry context, not as customers. Management declines customer-wise detail. NMDC is named as a ~₹120 Cr TMML equipment order (2024–25). On the Molycop side, the commentary on Freeport's Grasberg and First Quantum's Cobre Panama, which tie into the contingent earn-out, implies they are or were major customers [Analyst View]. Tega took part in a BHP-led school programme in Chile (CSR), which indicates a BHP relationship [Analyst View].
- Sales are direct to mines through regional subsidiaries (USA, Canada, Brazil, Chile, South Africa, Ghana, Australia), with installation and service teams on site.
Segment Analysis
Segment revenue and EBITDA (₹ Mn)
| Segment | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | FY26 YoY | Q1 FY26 | Q1 FY27 | Q1 YoY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumables revenue | ~12,900 [Est.] | 14,301 | 14,340 | +0.3% | 2,910 | 3,960 | +36% |
| Equipment (TMML) revenue | n.a. | 2,157 | 2,688 | +24.6% | 643 | 358 | −44% |
| Grinding media (Molycop) revenue | – | – | – | – | – | 12,916 (June only) | n.m. |
| Consumables segment EBITDA (ex other income) | n.a. | 3,149 (22.0%) | 1,974 reported (13.8%); ~2,813 adj (~19.6%) [Est.] | −37% rep. | ~608 (20.9%) | ~955 (24.1%) | +58% |
| Equipment segment EBITDA | n.a. | 251 (11.7%) | 340 (12.7%) | +35% | n.a. | ~0 (breakeven) | n.m. |
| Molycop adj. EBITDA | – | – | – | – | – | 1,628 (12.6%) | +3% vs Jun-25 (USD) |
| Group revenue from ops | 14,927 | 16,387 | 16,919 | +3.3% | 3,561 | 17,234 | +384% |
Sources: AR FY26 note 42 (FY25/FY26), Q1 FY27 call (segment Q1), Q1 PPT. Q1 consumables margins are as stated by management (24.1% vs 20.9%) and may include other income. FY24 segment split not extracted (FY24 AR reported only consolidated in the pages reviewed), hence the estimate. Adjusted FY26 consumables EBITDA assumes all ₹839 Mn of one-offs sit in Consumables.
Mix shift: what the company is now
Consumables (legacy Tega)
Mill liners, screens, hydrocyclones, wear and conveyor products. Gross margin is 57–62%, with EBITDA guided at 22–23%. Long-term growth guide is 15% CAGR. Actuals were FY24 ~10%, FY25 ~11%, FY26 ~0% and Q1 FY27 +36% (part catch-up). DynaPrime is the fastest-growing line at >20%. Price pass-through on raw materials and freight works with a ~1-quarter lag.
Equipment (TMML)
Crushers, screens, mills and beneficiation equipment for Indian mining, aggregates and power. Gross margin is 40–50%, with EBITDA of 12–14%, up from ~5% when acquired. FY26 grew +25% on the NMDC order. FY27 guidance is +25% growth at 12–13% EBITDA. Q1 FY27 fell 44% on customer clearance delays. This is the only segment that behaves like a capital-goods cycle.
New order (Sep-2026): TMML signed a ₹126 Cr (ex-GST) contract with Kalpataru Projects International for engineering services and equipment supply (design, manufacture, inspection, transport, erection supervision, performance-guarantee testing), to be executed over 14 months [Fact: per Sahi, 21 Sep 2026; exchange filing not retrieved]. That is ~47% of TMML's FY26 revenue of ₹269 Cr and should support the H2 FY27 equipment recovery [Analyst View].
Grinding media (Molycop)
Forged and hi-chrome balls. Gross margin is ~36%, with EBITDA of ~12–13% (target 15%, and 16–17% by year 5). Volume in the 12 months to Jun-26 was 1.204 Mt versus 1.223 Mt the year before. EBITDA rose 11% to US$191 mn. Ten-month outlook to Mar-27: volume +~5%, EBITDA +~4%. Hi-chrome is the growth vector: 62kt supplied now, with a 200kt goal and ~20% growth.
- End-market: ~83–84% of Molycop revenue/volume comes from copper and gold. Copper and gold were also 75% of the global mill-liner market in 2020 (F&S, RHP). The group is a leveraged play on copper/gold ore throughput.
- Throughput, not price: liners and grinding balls are consumed per tonne milled (aftermarket spend ≈3x upfront mill capex over its life, per RHP). Revenue follows mine operating rates, which stay high while copper is >US$14,000/t and gold ~US$4,400/oz. A price crash hurts only if mines cut throughput or close.
- Price indexation: ~85% of Molycop contracts are steel-indexed, so revenue moves with steel while profit per ton is protected. Tega passes rubber and freight costs through with a ~1-quarter lag.
- Recurring share: ~98% of Q1 FY27 revenue was consumables or media. Equipment (TMML) is ~2% and is the only capex-cyclical piece. Legacy Tega repeat orders were 74–80% (FY19–Q1 FY22, RHP) and ~75% (CRISIL).
- Mine-specific shocks matter more than the cycle: Cobre Panama's closure and Grasberg's mud rush cut Molycop volume 1.6% (1.223 → 1.204 Mt). Their restart is built-in upside, and it also triggers the US$120 mn earn-out.
Fastest: DynaPrime within consumables (>20%), and hi-chrome within Molycop (~20% guided). Under pressure: Equipment in Q1 FY27 (−44%), and Molycop forged-media volume (−1.6% in the year to Jun-26), hit by Cobre Panama's care-and-maintenance and Grasberg's mud-rush outage. Management attributes the 2023–24 loss of "two major customers" to mine closures, not competitive loss.
Management's stated focus by segment
- Consumables: 15% CAGR, with cross-selling of mill liners into Molycop's 400+ mine base expected to show from Q3–Q4 FY27 onwards. The Chile plant adds LatAm capacity (Chile, Peru, Brazil, Argentina).
- Equipment: 25% growth, the new Japanese-partnered aggregates product in Q3 FY27, and exports to Canada, CIS and the Middle East.
- Molycop: synergies of US$20 mn over 2–2.5 years (US$30 mn run-rate from year 4 per Sep-25 deck), covering HQ relocation (US$7 mn), a GCC (US$5 mn), SG&A −7% and procurement. Also hi-chrome expansion and >US$70–75 mn of non-core asset sales to repay debt.
Financials: P&L
Five-year annual P&L
| ₹ Cr | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue from operations | 952 | 1,214 | 1,493 | 1,639 | 1,692 |
| YoY growth | 18.1% | 27.5% | 23.0% | 9.8% | 3.2% |
| Gross margin (company) | n.a. | n.a. | ~57% | 57% | 60% |
| Operating EBITDA (ex OI, reported) | 184 | 271 | 317 | 341 | 233 |
| Op. EBITDA margin | 19.2% | 22.3% | 21.2% | 20.7% | 13.7% |
| Adj. op. EBITDA margin (ex one-offs, ex OI) [Est.] | 19.2% | 22.3% | 21.2% | 20.7% | 18.6% |
| Other income | 27 | 25 | 27 | 48 | 88 |
| Depreciation | 39 | 41 | 64 | 101 | 95 |
| EBIT (OP + OI − D&A) | 172 | 255 | 280 | 288 | 226 |
| Interest | 17 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 24 |
| PBT | 155 | 236 | 247 | 259 | 201 |
| Tax rate | 25% | 22% | 22% | 23% | 29% |
| PAT (reported) | 117 | 184 | 194 | 200 | 143 |
| PAT margin | 12.3% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 8.5% |
| Adj. PAT (company) | – | – | – | 200 | 227 / 208* |
| EPS (₹, basic per AR) | 17.63 | 27.73 | 29.14 | 30.08 | 20.54 |
| DPS (₹) | – | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 2.0 |
*Company PPT adj. PAT ₹226.6 Cr; Directors' Report "PAT excluding one-time expenses" ₹208.5 Cr. The two adjusted figures differ, a reconciliation gap. FY22–FY25 margins from AR "operating EBITDA" (19.22/22.27/21.17/20.74/13.66%). FY23 DPS taken from Screener's 7% payout ratio (≈₹2) [Est.]. EBIT is computed. Screener FY26 EPS of 18.99 uses year-end shares; the AR basic EPS of 20.54 uses the weighted average.
Last eight quarters (consolidated)
| ₹ Cr | Sep-24 | Dec-24 | Mar-25 | Jun-25 | Sep-25 | Dec-25 | Mar-26 | Jun-26* |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | 353 | 409 | 536 | 356 | 405 | 404 | 527 | 1,723 |
| YoY | −6.4% | 20.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 14.7% | −1.2% | −1.7% | 384% |
| QoQ | 3.8% | 15.9% | 31.1% | −33.6% | 13.8% | −0.2% | 30.4% | 227% |
| Op. EBITDA (ex OI) | 34 | 91 | 150 | 56 | 69 | 46 | 60 | 56 |
| OPM | 10% | 22% | 28% | 16% | 17% | 11% | 11% | 3% |
| Adj. EBITDA incl OI (company) | – | 103 | 157 | 71 | 85 | 77 | 163 | 264 |
| Other income | 15 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 37 | 18 |
| Interest | 7 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 117 |
| PAT (reported) | 7 | 54 | 102 | 35 | 45 | 20 | 43 | −108 |
| Adj. PAT (company) | – | – | 102 | 35 | – | – | 109 | 55 |
*Jun-26 = Q1 FY27, including Molycop for June only. Screener's EPS for the quarter is −14.41; the company-reported EPS is −11.47, and the difference likely comes from the minority share of Molycop's loss. Dec-25 and Mar-26 operating EBITDA include ₹77.6 Cr of Molycop deal costs and ₹6.4 Cr of labour-code charges. Company adjusted EBITDA is ₹600→773 Mn (Q3) and ₹967→1,632 Mn (Q4). Note that Q3 FY26 reported EBITDA is stated as 600 Mn including other income.
Q1 FY27 three-column P&L (₹ Mn) [Fact: Q1 FY27 investor presentation]
| Line | Tega (ex-Molycop) | Grinding media (June) | Group Q1 FY27 | Q1 FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue from operations | 4,318.0 | 12,916.4 | 17,234.4 | 3,560.9 |
| Other income | 256.5 | −82.4 | 174.1 | 155.3 |
| Gross margin | 62% | 36% | 42% | 59% |
| Adj. EBITDA (incl. OI) | 1,011.3 | 1,628.1 | 2,639.4 | 711.3 |
| Adj. EBITDA ex OI ÷ revenue [Est.] | 17.5% | 13.2% | 14.3% | 15.6% |
| One-time (acquisition/integration) | ~56.5 | ~1,853 | 1,910 | – |
| Depreciation & amortisation | 251.3 | 485.0 | 736.2 | 230.9 |
| Finance cost | 193.2 | 973.9 | 1,167.1 | 61.8 |
| PBT (reported) | 519.6 | −1,684.3 | −1,164.8 | 432.1 |
| PAT (reported) | 401.2 | −1,483.7 | −1,082.5 | 353.4 |
| Adj. PAT | 443.7 | 103.3 | 547.0 | 353.4 |
| EPS / Adj. EPS (₹) | – | – | −11.47 / 6.88 | 5.31 |
- One-off conflict. The Q1 PPT footnote states one-time expenses of ₹1,910 Mn (₹191 Cr) in Q1 alone, with a ~₹280 Mn tax effect. On the call an analyst summed the totals as "₹110 Cr this time and ₹75–80 Cr last year = ₹190 Cr", and management agreed. Filed numbers give a cumulative ~₹269 Cr of Molycop-related one-offs (₹77.6 Cr in FY26 plus ₹191 Cr in Q1), excluding ₹6.4 Cr of labour code. Treat the "₹190 Cr" call figure as wrong.
- "EBITDA" includes other income. FY26 other income nearly doubled to ₹81.6 Cr from ₹43.2 Cr, mainly ₹80.6 Cr of FVTPL gains on the parked ₹1,713 Cr preferential-issue proceeds. That income falls away after June 2026.
- Molycop's June finance cost of ₹97.4 Cr is almost as large as its EBITDA net of D&A. It likely includes preference-share coupons, which are treated as debt, plus refinancing amortisation. Do not annualise it blindly, but management has not split it out.
- Organic vs inorganic: FY22–FY26 growth was organic except for TMML (from Feb-23; FY24 equipment revenue was not separately reported in the pages reviewed). Q1 FY27 growth is ~95% inorganic.
- Volume vs price: Tega does not disclose liner tonnage. Molycop revenue per ton is ~₹118/kg (analyst calculation) and moves with steel indices, so its revenue growth is a poor gauge of volume.
Balance Sheet, Cash Flow & Ratios
Balance sheet summary
| ₹ Cr (31 Mar) | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 | 30 Jun 2026 (indicative) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Equity capital | 66 | 66 | 67 | 67 | 75 | 75 |
| Reserves | 670 | 983 | 1,125 | 1,330 | 3,332 | n.d. |
| Net worth | 736 | 1,049 | 1,192 | 1,397 | 3,407 | CRISIL FY27E ~4,529 |
| Borrowings | 245 | 361 | 308 | 330 | 398 | ~11,200 incl. ~2,600 pref. |
| Fixed assets (net) | 298 | 548 | 600 | 623 | 661 | n.d. |
| CWIP | 10 | 12 | 11 | 48 | 111 | Chile plant |
| Goodwill | small | small | small | small | small | ~5,000 (provisional, US$528 mn) |
| Investments (non-current, Screener) | 199 | 217 | 279 | 262 | 227 | – |
| Cash & equivalents | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | 114 | 1,164 | Molycop min. liquidity US$45–50 mn |
| Inventories [Est. alignment] | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | 415 | 437 | n.d. |
| Trade receivables [Est. alignment] | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | 501 | 452 | n.d. |
| Other assets (Screener; incl. inventory, receivables) | 663 | 852 | 995 | 1,157 | 3,311 | – |
| Total assets | 1,170 | 1,629 | 1,885 | 2,089 | 4,310 | n.d. |
FY23 fixed-asset jump reflects TMML consolidation. FY26 cash of ₹1,164 Cr (AR cash flow statement) holds the preferential proceeds before the June close. FY25/FY26 inventory and receivable values come from layout-extracted AR text and carry an Est. tag; FY22–FY24 values were not extracted (see the days below). n.d. = not disclosed in Q1 materials. The 30-Jun debt figure is from CFO Ravi Joshi (Q1 call).
Post-closing debt bridge [Fact unless tagged]
| Item | Amount | Source / note |
|---|---|---|
| Molycop gross debt pre-deal | ~US$1.0–1.05 bn | Sep-25 call; Jun-26 call ("more than US$1,050 mn"). Includes the JPM-arranged ~US$947 mn facility (Nov-24). |
| Planned day-one Molycop debt | US$780 mn | Sep-25 deal call |
| Molycop debt taken over at close | US$838 mn | Jun-26 call (Himanshu Raijada). Paid down ~US$220–235 mn at closing. |
| Molycop term loan (CRISIL) | ~₹6,630 Cr | After Apollo preference money is applied |
| Molycop net debt, 30 Jun 2026 | US$672.5 mn (₹6,366 Cr) | vs US$1.0 bn (₹9,580 Cr) at 31 Mar 2026. Molycop ABL ~US$220 mn, 49% used. |
| Parent acquisition term loan | ₹1,500 Cr | Standard Chartered (with Axis and EXIM mentioned); matures 31 May 2033 |
| Apollo preference shares | US$270 mn (~₹2,473–2,600 Cr) | The company calls them "redeemable" (CFO). CRISIL calls them "perpetual, no call option, cumulative, above-market coupon" and treats them as 50% debt. Coupon not disclosed. |
| Group total debt incl. preference shares | ~₹11,200 Cr | CFO, Q1 FY27 call |
| Contingent consideration (quasi-debt) | US$120 mn (~₹1,130 Cr) | Due FY28 if the closed mines (Cobre Panama, Grasberg) restore EBITDA. Funded from accruals. |
| Apollo common-equity minority | 15.82% (US$74 mn invested) | CRISIL |
| Guided finance cost | ₹110–120 Cr full year | Q1 call, ambiguous. This matches ₹1,500 Cr at ~7.5%, so it is probably parent-level only [Est.]. Molycop interest plus principal is ~US$70 mn over Jun-26 to Mar-27. |
Pro-forma LTM EBITDA is ~₹2,110 Cr (Molycop US$191 mn × ~₹94, plus legacy Tega FY26 adj. ex-OI ₹315 Cr). Gross debt/EBITDA is ~5.3x if the preference shares count fully as debt, or ~4.7x under CRISIL's 50% treatment. Net debt/EBITDA is ~5.0x / ~4.4x. CRISIL's downgrade trigger is debt/EBITDA >4.25x (net >4x), and its FY27 projection is 4.0–4.5x. There is little headroom until synergies, the US$70–75 mn of non-core asset sales, or fresh equity arrive.
Cash flow and earnings conversion
| ₹ Cr | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash from operations (CFO) | 14* | 179* | 252* | 195 | 350 |
| Capex (payment for capital assets) | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | 59 [Est. alignment] | 136 [Est. alignment] |
| Free cash flow | n.a. | n.a. | n.a. | ~136 | ~214 |
| FCF yield on current market cap | – | – | – | 0.9% | 1.5% |
| PAT | 117 | 184 | 194 | 200 | 143 |
| CFO / PAT | 0.12x | 0.97x | 1.30x | 0.97x | 2.46x |
| Cash from investing | −25* | −235* | −96* | −129 | −991 (incl. bank deposits) |
| Cash from financing | 3* | 63* | −115* | −38 | +1,690 (₹1,703 Cr equity) |
*FY22–FY24 from Screener. Screener shows 10 values against 12 year columns, so these are aligned on the assumption that the last 10 cover FY17–FY26 [Est.]. Screener's "FCF" row equals CFO and omits capex, so it was not used. FY25/FY26 CFO and capex come from the FY26 AR consolidated cash flow statement; capex columns were read from layout-extracted text [Est. alignment].
Five-year cumulative CFO (FY22–26) of ~₹990 Cr against cumulative PAT of ₹838 Cr gives ~1.18x, which is acceptable. FY26's 2.46x is flattered by working capital: payable days jumped from 116 to 178 and receivable days fell from 112 to 97. Management called the payable move a one-off "payable improvement". FY22's 0.12x shows how working capital-heavy this business is in growth years. Molycop runs 70–80 working-capital days, against Tega's ~153-day cash conversion cycle and 219 gross current asset days.
Working-capital and return ratios
| Days / % | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 | FY26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Debtor days | 106 | 121 | 109 | 112 | 97 |
| Inventory days | 229 | 200 | 209 | 217 | 233 |
| Payable days | 88 | 77 | 104 | 116 | 178 |
| Cash conversion cycle | 247 | 244 | 215 | 212 | 153 |
| Working-capital days | 92 | 109 | 86 | 100 | 77 |
| ROCE (Screener) | ~19–21% | ~19–21% | ~18–19% | ~18% | 8.1% |
| ROE | ~16% | ~18% | ~16% | ~14% | 5.9% |
| Interest coverage (CRISIL) | – | – | 11.4x | 14.2x | n.a. |
| Fixed-asset turnover (Rev ÷ net FA) | 3.2x | 2.2x | 2.5x | 2.6x | 2.6x |
The ROCE row on Screener has 11 values against 12 years, so FY22–FY25 are shown as ranges. FY22–FY25 ROE is computed as PAT ÷ year-end net worth [Est.]; FY26 5.9% is Screener's (average equity). On year-end net worth FY26 ROE would be ~4.2%. Management targets a consolidated ROE of 18% "post-acquisition" (Sep-25), against 5.9% in FY26.
Capex plan
- FY27: Tega ~US$40 mn including Chile (~US$25–30 mn total project; ₹50–60 Cr p.a. sustaining). Molycop ~US$28 mn for the 10 months, normalised in the "low US$30s mn" p.a. (2–3% of revenue). CRISIL models combined capex of ₹500–650 Cr p.a. including hi-chrome expansion.
- Molycop gross block is ~US$700 mn, with depreciation ~US$60 mn p.a. before purchase-price-allocation amortisation.
Credit rating and lenders
| Date | Agency | Long term | Short term | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2023 | CRISIL | A+/Stable | A1 | Reaffirmed (history table) |
| 5 Apr 2024 | CRISIL | AA-/Stable | A1+ | Upgrade (date per history annexure; layout ambiguous) |
| 19 Sep 2025 | CRISIL | AA- / Watch Developing | A1+ / Watch | Molycop term sheet |
| 18 Dec 2025 · 18 Mar 2026 | CRISIL | AA- / Watch Developing | A1+ / Watch | Watch continued pending completion |
| 14 May 2026 | CRISIL | A+/Stable (from AA-) | A1 (from A1+) | Downgrade on acquisition debt; removed from watch; limits raised to ₹2,000 Cr from ₹350 Cr |
| 19 May 2026 | ICRA | A+ | A1 | Full rationale not retrieved (page did not render) |
CRISIL facilities: ₹1,500 Cr term loan (Standard Chartered); ₹221 Cr cash credit (Axis 20, StanChart 55, DBS 35, RBL 24, ICICI 40, Citi 47); ₹50 Cr LC/BG; ₹225 Cr proposed WC. FY26 standalone/legacy: net D/E 0.09x, finance cost down 16% to ₹22.6 Cr.
Equity dilution and share count
| Date | Event | Shares added | Shares out |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2021 | Conversion of Wagner's (TA Associates) CCPP before the IPO | 86,92,281 | 6,62,93,149 |
| Dec 2021 | IPO, pure offer for sale (no new shares) | 0 | 6,62,93,149 |
| FY23–FY24 | ESOP-2011 exercises | ~2,42,343 | 6,65,35,492 |
| 28 Nov 2025 | Preferential at ₹1,994 (promoters, institutions, HNIs, employees): ₹1,713.3 Cr | 85,92,206 | 7,51,27,698 |
| Pending (in-principle approval 6 Oct 2026) | Preferential to AP Jupiter Holdings II, Ltd. at ₹1,994: ₹95.4 Cr | 4,78,435 | 7,56,06,133 |
| Overhang | EGM 10 Oct 2025 enabling resolution: raise up to ₹4,000 Cr (QIP etc.). CRISIL cites "fresh equity" for deleveraging. | ? | – |
Share count up 14% since listing, almost all from the Nov-25 preferential. At CMP a further ₹2,000 Cr raise would mean ~1.05 Cr new shares, about 14% more dilution [Est.].
Key balance-sheet risks
- Goodwill of ~₹5,000 Cr against a pre-deal net worth of ₹3,407 Cr. Any Molycop shortfall becomes an impairment test. There is already a standalone key audit matter on Tega Holdings Pte (₹450 Cr carrying value above its net worth).
- The cumulative preference coupon and the US$120 mn earn-out sit senior to common equity.
- FX: 80–85% of sales are in foreign currency. Molycop hedges, and FX "has not had a material impact". Parent INR debt is serviced from USD dividends, which creates translation and upstreaming risk.
- Molycop's ABL swings with bar purchases (bar ≈80% of COGS), so working-capital debt is seasonal.
Management, Promoters & Governance
Promoters
Madan Mohan Mohanka: Founder & Chairman
Founded Tega in 1976 and has been on the board since 15 May 1976 (50 years). Redesignated Non-Executive Chairman from 1 Feb 2025, paid a professional fee (FY26 ₹1.00 Cr, 19x the median employee). A special resolution at the 19 Sep 2025 AGM approved his pay exceeding 50% of the NED pool. Holds 7.32% directly. He sold 33.15 lakh shares in the 2021 IPO (₹150.2 Cr). Education is not stated in the filings reviewed.
Mehul Mohanka: MD & Group CEO
On the board since 6 Jun 2002 (24 years). Architect of the TMML and Molycop deals. FY26 remuneration ₹6.09 Cr (+14.5%; 104x median), against FY26 PAT down 29%. Holds 0.28% directly; the family holds the rest via Nihal Fiscal and trusts. He sold shares in FY24 for minimum public shareholding compliance. Other promoters: Manish Mohanka (stake moved to MM Mohanka in FY26) and Manju Mohanka.
Key management
| Name | Role | Note |
|---|---|---|
| Mehul Mohanka | MD & Group CEO | Promoter |
| Ravi Narayan Joshi | CFO (KMP) from 6 Aug 2026 | Third CFO in ~12 months |
| Shyama Prasad Ganguly | Interim CFO (May–Aug 2026) | Presented Q4 FY26 |
| Sharad Kumar Khaitan | CFO until close of 5 May 2026 | FY26 pay ₹1.69 Cr; led the deal call in Sep-25 and left before closing |
| Manoj Kumar Sinha | Director, Global Operations | – |
| Pratik Basu Roy | President: Product Management, Global Sales, Marketing & R&D | – |
| Sourav Sen | CEO, Tega McNally Minerals | – |
| Himanshu Raijada | Senior finance executive on the Jun-26 call (title not stated) | Gave Molycop debt figures |
| Manjuree Rai | Company Secretary, Global Head Legal; also Chief Risk Officer | FY26 pay ₹0.57 Cr |
| Lance Dawber / Patrick Koley | Molycop COO / CFO | Retained post-close. Molycop CEO not named on calls. |
Board of directors (7)
| Name | Role | Category | On board since | Committees |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madan Mohan Mohanka | Chairman | Non-Exec, Non-Indep (Promoter) | May 1976 | – |
| Mehul Mohanka | MD & Group CEO | Executive (Promoter) | Jun 2002 | Stakeholder/CSR member |
| Syed Yaver Imam | Director | Non-Exec, Non-Indep | Jul 2005 | NRC/Risk member |
| Madhu Dubhashi | Director | Independent | May 2021 | Chair, Audit Committee |
| Jagdishwar Prasad Sinha | Director | Independent | May 2021 | Audit, NRC |
| Ashwani Maheshwari | Director | Independent | Apr 2022 | Chair, NRC / Risk |
| Anand Sen | Director | Independent | Nov 2024 | Chair, Stakeholders |
Independence 4/7 (57%), one woman director. FY26 attendance: IDs 95.45%, board 97.40%. Independent directors were paid ₹15–25 lakh commission each. On 13 Aug 2026 the board approved re-appointing Ashwani Maheshwari for a second five-year term (Apr 2027–Mar 2032), subject to shareholder approval [Fact: NSE Reg 30 intimation, 13 Aug 2026]. The board has no Apollo nominee at listed-company level (Apollo's governance rights sit at the Molycop HoldCo; details not disclosed).
Shareholding trend (%)
| Category | Mar-24 | Mar-25 | Sep-25 | Dec-25 | Mar-26 | Jun-26 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Promoters | 74.78 | 74.80 | 74.80 | 67.27 | 67.51 | 67.51 |
| FIIs | 1.48 | 1.73 | 1.87 | 1.48 | 2.14 | 2.80 |
| DIIs | 19.10 | 18.76 | 10.74 | 18.63 | 18.97 | 18.68 |
| Public | 4.63 | 4.70 | 12.58 | 12.63 | 11.38 | 11.02 |
| No. of shareholders | 56,862 | 52,986 | 57,447 | 56,174 | 53,867 | 53,397 |
The Sep-25 swing (DII 18.38→10.74, public 5.07→12.58) reverses in Dec-25, which suggests a classification change rather than real selling [Est.]. Dec-25 promoter dilution came from the preferential issue. History: 85.17% pre-IPO, 79.17% (Mar-22), 74.78% (Mar-24, after promoters sold 27.25 lakh shares in the open market for minimum public shareholding compliance).
>5% holders (31 Mar 2026): Nihal Fiscal Services Pvt Ltd 49.88%; M M Business Trust 9.69%; Madan Mohan Mohanka 7.32%; Tata Small Cap Fund 5.58%; HDFC Small Cap Fund 5.42%. Promoter pledge: NIL [Fact].
TA Associates: entry and exit [Fact: FY22 AR, Venture Intelligence, Avendus]
Wagner Ltd, an affiliate of TA Associates, invested in Apr–May 2011 (about US$35 mn per Avendus, the adviser). It received 76,893 equity shares plus 6,68,637 compulsorily convertible participatory preference shares, which became 9,99,609 equity and 86,92,281 CCPP after a 12:1 bonus in Oct 2013. The 2011 shareholders' agreement gave Wagner a put option on the promoters if no IPO happened. The CCPP converted in Nov 2021, and Wagner sold all 96,91,890 shares in the Dec-2021 IPO OFS for ₹439.0 Cr, a full exit at ₹453. The IPO (₹619.2 Cr, pure OFS, subscribed 219x) listed on 13 Dec 2021 at ₹760, a 68% premium. Tega received no IPO proceeds.
Insider / SAST activity
- FY24: Mehul Mohanka and Nihal Fiscal sold 27,24,950 shares in the open market (minimum public shareholding compliance). Marudhar Food & Credit merged into Nihal Fiscal (NCLT, 14 Jun 2023).
- FY26: promoters subscribed to the ₹1,994 preferential. Management guided ₹150–200 Cr of family participation; Nihal Fiscal's holding rose to 3.747 Cr shares from 3.713 Cr. The exact promoter subscription amount is not extracted [Gap]. Manish Mohanka's stake moved to MM Mohanka (intra-family).
- Oct 2026: preferential to AP Jupiter Holdings II, Ltd. (non-promoter, ₹95.4 Cr). The FY26 AR names "AP Jupiter Holdco (SG) Pte Ltd" as the Apollo HoldCo, so this allottee is very likely an Apollo vehicle, giving Apollo a small listed-company stake (~0.6%) [Analyst View].
Related parties, auditor, legal
- RPTs: all in the ordinary course and at arm's length. No material RPTs and no AOC-2 filing (AR FY26). Main flows are intra-group (subsidiaries, Hosch Equipment India JV dividend ₹4.9 Cr) plus KMP pay. RPT policy amended 15 May 2025.
- Auditor: Walker Chandiok & Co LLP (Grant Thornton Bharat), appointed at the 48th AGM (2024) for five years. It succeeded Price Waterhouse & Co Bangalore LLP, which was appointed at the 44th AGM (Oct 2020) for a term to the 49th AGM (2025), so PwC left about a year before its term ended. The reason is not stated in the filings reviewed [flag]. FY26 opinion unmodified, with no fraud reported under s.143(12). Key audit matter: impairment test on the ₹450.4 Cr investment in Tega Holdings Pte (Singapore), whose carrying value exceeds its net worth. Subsidiary auditors: SNG Grant Thornton (South Africa), Grant Thornton Chile.
- Contingent liabilities: immaterial (FY26 standalone income tax ₹8.4 Cr, GST ₹0.6 Cr, service tax ₹0.1 Cr). Corporate guarantee to TMML limit ₹120 Cr; SBLCs for Chile (US$2.0 mn) and Tega Holdings (US$2.9 mn).
- SEBI / regulatory: no SEBI orders or MCA actions found in filings or rating rationales reviewed [searched: AR FY26 secretarial audit, CRISIL].
Subsidiaries and group structure
| Entity | Country | Purpose |
|---|---|---|
| Tega McNally Minerals Ltd | India | Equipment segment (ex-McNally Sayaji, NCLT 2023) |
| Tega Holdings Pte Ltd → Tega Holdings Pty, Losugen Pty, Tega Industries Chile SpA & subs, Tega Investments South Africa, Tega Industries Africa | Singapore / Australia / Chile / South Africa | Overseas manufacturing holding chain (impairment key audit matter) |
| Tega Industries Inc · Canada Inc · do Brasil · Ghana Ltd | USA / Canada / Brazil / Ghana | Sales and service |
| Tega Industries Australia Pty | Australia | De-registered 2 Jun 2026 (immaterial) |
| Tega MC Investment Pte (WOS; Tega subscribes 384,035,816 OCRPS under SSA of 13 Feb 2026, face value not disclosed; ≈US$384 mn if US$1 each [Est.]) → Tega MC JV Holdings, MC SG Holdings, MC SG Investments I/II/III, MC Global Holdings, MC Australia Holdings, MC Canada HoldCo, MC US Inc | Singapore / Australia / Canada / USA | Molycop acquisition SPV chain. Tega holds 84.18% of HoldCo (Tega MC SG Investments III); Apollo holds 15.82% plus preference shares. |
| Molycop group (ex-AIP MC Holdings LLC) incl. JVs (Vinton USA, Abidjan) | Global | Grinding media, chemicals, instrumentation |
| Hosch Equipment (India) Ltd | India | JV (equity-accounted; FY26 share of profit ₹6.1 Cr) |
Acquisition track record
| Year | Target | Outcome [Analyst View] |
|---|---|---|
| 2006 | Beruc Equipments (South Africa) | Now the South African plant. Integrated. |
| 2011 | Losugen (Australia), Acotec (Chile) | Chile became the LatAm hub and is getting a new greenfield. Australia small; one entity de-registered in 2026. |
| 2023 | McNally Sayaji (NCLT) | EBITDA lifted from ~5% to 12–14%, revenue ₹269 Cr in FY26. A success, though small. |
| 2026 | Molycop (~US$1.455 bn EV, with Apollo) | Too early to judge. Q1 shows Molycop EBITDA +3% YoY and "directionally ahead" of plan. |
- CFO churn: three CFOs in about 12 months across the largest transaction in the company's history.
- Guidance credibility: consumables guidance missed three years running, the Chile commissioning date slipped repeatedly (~Aug-26 → Q2 FY27 → Q3–Q4 FY27 → Mar-27), the leverage target was loosened, and the Molycop FY27 growth comment (7–8% in a Dec-25 TV interview, versus 3% in Jun-26) was disowned on the call.
- Inconsistent deal disclosures: stake 77% (Sep-25), then 84% (Feb-26), then 84.18% (AR). Synergy figures moved between calls. CRISIL's own rationale contains internal inconsistencies (EV ₹13,325 Cr vs ₹13,313 Cr; upfront equity ₹3,809 Cr vs ₹4,313 Cr).
- MD pay up 14.5% in a year when PAT fell 29%.
- Mitigants: nil pledge, clean audit opinion, majority-independent board, immaterial contingent liabilities, and no material RPTs.
Supply Chain
↑ Upstream: what Tega depends on
| Input | Used in | Dependence / risk | Pass-through |
|---|---|---|---|
| Steel bar (special bar quality, forging grade) | Molycop forged grinding media | ~80% of Molycop COGS. Bought from regional steel mills by a large global procurement team; named suppliers not disclosed. Bar payment timing drives ABL swings. | ~85% of contracts are indexed to steel prices by region. Profit per ton is protected, so revenue rises and falls with steel. |
| Natural & synthetic rubber, carbon black, polyurethane | Liners, screens, wear products | Commodity and oil-linked. RM was 40.5% of FY26 revenue (42.6% in FY25). Supplier names not disclosed. | ~1-quarter lag (management). Gross margins held at 59–62%. |
| Steel inserts, castings, ceramics | Hybrid and steel liners, DynaPrime, mosaic liners | Domestic and imported | Contractual pass-through |
| Alloys (chrome) and scrap | Hi-chrome cast media | ~40kt of 62kt hi-chrome is sourced from contract manufacturers ("trading volume"). Chrome price risk. | Indexed / negotiated |
| Freight: containers, vessels, land haulage | India→LatAm/Africa/Australia exports | FY26 Middle East disruption stranded ~₹50 Cr of finished goods. Container rates are up in FY27. | Passed through with ~1 quarter lag. Molycop hedges ocean freight. |
| Energy (gas/LPG/PNG, power) | Forging and heat treatment; rubber curing | Molycop land freight is affected by gas prices | Partly passed |
Import dependence for Indian plants is not quantified in the filings reviewed. Single-source risk appears low: multiple plants per product, and Molycop sources bar from several regional mills [Analyst View].
↓ Downstream: who depends on Tega
| Customer group | Share / evidence | Stickiness |
|---|---|---|
| Copper and gold mines (concentrators) | "Significant portion" of Tega. ~83–84% of Molycop revenue/volume. | High. Liners are custom-designed and grinding media are consumed continuously. |
| Iron ore, coal, other minerals and aggregates | Balance of Tega. TMML serves NMDC, power and aggregates. | Medium (TMML is project-based) |
| Bulk solids handling (ports, cement, power) | Conveyor and wear products | Medium |
- Concentration: no single customer ≥10% of group revenue (FY25, FY26). Latest top-customer shares are not disclosed. The RHP (2021) gave top-10 at 29.19% on a three-year average (FY19 22.51%, FY20 31.31%, FY21 32.62%, Q1 FY22 34.19%), top-20 at 42.11% and top-50 at 65.30% [Fact: RHP]. Post-Molycop concentration is unknown. Molycop lost "two major customers" in 2023–24 when their mines closed (Cobre Panama, care-and-maintenance from late 2023; Grasberg disrupted by the 25 Sep 2025 mud rush), which shows mine-level concentration risk [Analyst View on mine identities].
- Contract tenors: Molycop runs multi-year supply contracts with steel-index formulas; tenors not disclosed. Tega liners are order-by-order with a 3–6 month lead time. The order book is ₹1,231 Cr (Jun-26), with ~₹960 Cr executable within 12 months.
- End-products: refined copper (grids, EVs, data centres), gold (investment, central banks), iron ore (steel).
Value-chain map
Liners (Tega): pricing power is moderate to high. They are a small share of mine opex, failure costs a lot, and designs are bespoke, so Tega holds 57–62% gross margins and passes through costs. Grinding media (Molycop): low to moderate. The product is close to a commodity indexed to steel, its gross margin is ~36%, and it competes on local supply and service, but indexation protects per-ton margins. Mines hold the power in tenders. Steel mills have power over Molycop's input cost, but the index formulas transfer that power to the mine. The combined group's thesis is that bundling liners, media, instrumentation and digital ("complete mill optimisation") moves the conversation from price per ton to cost per tonne milled.
Competitive Position
Market position
- Mill liners: Tega is the second-largest producer of polymer-based mill liners globally by CY2020 revenue (Frost & Sullivan, cited in RHP) [Fact: RHP]. The global mill-liner market was US$1.73 bn in 2020: metallic US$971 mn, composite US$451 mn, rubber US$312 mn. It is forecast to grow at a 5.8% CAGR to 2030, with composite growing fastest at 8.4%. The top 5 held 49%: Metso Outotec, ME Elecmetal, Bradken, PT Growth and Tega. The hydrocyclone market was US$671 mn (Weir, FLSmidth, Metso lead). The trommel-screen market was US$0.94 bn, with Multotec, Sandvik, FLSmidth and Metso at ~85%.
- Grinding media: Molycop is a global leader in forged media with >50% share in its core regions (Molycop COO, Aug-26) and a "clear leading position" in large SAG balls [Fact: management claim]. CRISIL calls the combined group "the world's largest player in critical-to-operate mining consumables" [Fact: CRISIL wording].
- Market sizes: management cites blended gold and copper growth of ~3% CAGR to FY30. UNCTAD sees copper demand +40% by 2040, needing ~US$250 bn of investment and ~80 new mines (one transcript says 18; 80 is the figure in the Jun-26 call). Global mining market ~US$2.16 tn (CY26, AR).
Peer comparison (12 Oct 2026; peers from stockanalysis.com and Screener.in)
| Company | Revenue (TTM) | Growth | EBITDA % | PAT % | RoE | P/E (trail / fwd) | EV/EBITDA | Moat |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tega (pro-forma) | ₹3,059 Cr TTM reported; ~₹16,000 Cr pro-forma [Est.] | FY26 +3% | ~14% group (Q1 adj ex-OI) | neg. (Q1) | 5.9% | n.m. / 29.1 | ~12.1x LTM PF [Est.] | Bespoke liners plus a leading forged-media franchise |
| AIA Engineering (India) | ₹4,549 Cr | FY26 +3% | 28–29% | ~28% | 17.0% | 27.7 / n.a. | ~24x [Est.] | Hi-chrome castings leader, net cash |
| Weir Group (UK) | £2.64 bn | 3-yr fcst 6.8% | 19.8% | n.a. | 13.9% | 26.0 / 19.0 | 14.9x | Slurry pumps, Vulco liners, ESCO GET |
| Metso (Finland) | €5.36 bn | 3-yr fcst 8.1% | 16.2% | n.a. | 20.0% | 28.1 / 20.8 | 16.6x | Full flowsheet plus Poly-Met/Megaliner |
| FLSmidth (Denmark) | DKK 14.75 bn | n.a. | 16.1% | n.a. | 15.1% | 20.2 / 17.1 | 13.1x | Mining aftermarket, mill liners |
AIA EV/EBITDA = (mcap ₹35,093 Cr − investments ₹4,302 Cr) ÷ FY26 operating profit ₹1,261 Cr. Private peers (Magotteaux/Sigdo Koppers, ME Elecmetal, Polycorp, Multotec, Trelleborg mining) are not covered: no verified data this session. Tega's trailing P/E is not meaningful after the Q1 loss (stockanalysis shows 688x).
Strengths and weaknesses vs each peer [Analyst View]
| vs. | Tega's edge | Tega's gap |
|---|---|---|
| AIA Engineering | Forged SAG media and polymer liners, which AIA lacks. Local plants in the Americas and Indonesia, compared with AIA's export model exposed to anti-dumping duties. | AIA has ~2x Tega's legacy margins, net cash, and hi-chrome scale. Molycop's hi-chrome capacity is sub-scale (~20kt own). |
| Weir / Metso / FLSmidth | Pure-play consumables. Cheaper cost base in India. Molycop gives scale in media that the OEMs largely do not make. | The OEMs own mill and equipment design (installed base), have balance-sheet strength and broad service networks, and earn far higher RoE. |
| Chinese media producers | Local supply, service and SAG-ball metallurgy. US tariffs act as a barrier. | Price pressure in LatAm forged media (raised Aug-26; not quantified). |
Industry structure and Porter's five forces
- Structure: liners are an oligopoly of global OEMs plus specialists. Grinding media is consolidated in the West (Molycop, Magotteaux, ME Elecmetal, AIA) and fragmented in China.
- Barriers to entry: mine qualification trials, design IP, local plants, safety records. These are high for liners and medium for forged media.
- Moat durability: durable as long as ore grades keep falling, because more tonnes must be milled per unit of metal and consumables demand rises.
- Buyer power: high. Large miners run global tenders.
- Supplier power: medium. Steel and rubber are indexed or passed through.
- Threat of substitutes: low to medium. Hi-chrome replaces small forged balls in Africa and Australia, and polymer replaces steel liners, which Tega gains from.
- New entrants: low in liners, medium in media (Chinese).
- Rivalry: moderate. Competition is on cost per tonne milled.
Risks & Red Flags
| Risk | Category | Severity | Explanation | Mitigant |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leverage and covenant/rating headroom | Financial | High | ~₹11,200 Cr of gross debt including preference shares; ~4.7–5.3x pro-forma EBITDA. CRISIL downgrade trigger is >4.25x. Molycop's June finance cost was ₹97 Cr. | Apollo preference money cut senior debt. Non-core asset sales (>US$70 mn). Strong liquidity. Upstream dividends. |
| Equity dilution | Governance / Financial | High | Enabling ₹4,000 Cr raise. CRISIL cites fresh equity to deleverage within 18–20 months. ₹95 Cr allotment to AP Jupiter pending. | Pricing likely at or near market; the promoter has participated before. |
| Integration and synergy delivery | Execution | High | An acquired business ~8x Tega's size, different culture (US PE-owned), HQ relocation plans, and a 26-plant network. | Phased approach; Molycop COO and CFO retained; Apollo aligned. |
| Goodwill impairment | Financial | Medium | ~₹5,000 Cr provisional goodwill. A key audit matter already exists on Tega Holdings Pte. | Purchase multiple ~7.6x EBITDA is low versus peers. |
| Mining cycle / mine closures | Macro | Medium | Consumables track ore throughput, not metal price, but mine closures (Cobre Panama, Grasberg) cut Molycop volume ~1.6%. Equipment is capex-cyclical. | ~98% recurring revenue. Copper and gold prices near records support throughput. |
| Steel and rubber price volatility | Business | Medium | Bar is ~80% of Molycop COGS; rubber and PU for Tega. | ~85% steel-indexed contracts; pass-through with ~1-quarter lag. |
| Chinese competition in forged media | Business | Medium | Raised by analysts for LatAm. | Local plants, service, SAG-ball leadership, tariff barriers. |
| Hi-chrome substitution | Technology | Medium | Hi-chrome replaces smaller forged balls in Africa and Australia. | Molycop's own hi-chrome (62kt supplied, 200kt goal). |
| Guidance credibility / CFO churn | Governance | Medium | Three CFOs; consumables guidance misses; Chile COD pushed from ~Aug-26 to Mar-27. | New CFO from 6 Aug 2026; separate three-segment reporting promised. |
| Preference shares and earn-out seniority | Financial | Medium | Cumulative, above-market coupon (undisclosed) on ~US$270 mn; US$120 mn earn-out in FY28. | The earn-out pays only if the mine-restart EBITDA arrives. |
| FX and upstreaming | Macro | Medium | 80–85% of revenue in FX. INR parent debt is serviced by USD subsidiaries. | Natural hedge; Molycop hedging programme. |
| Logistics and geopolitics (Middle East shipping) | Macro | Medium | FY26 consumables flat partly on container and vessel shortages. | Local plants (Chile, South Africa, Molycop network). |
| Chile plant regulatory delays | Execution | Low | Commercial production now Mar-27, subject to local approvals. | Interim alternate Chilean plants keep capacity unconstrained (management). |
| Key-person dependence | Governance | Medium | Mehul Mohanka drives strategy and the deals. Chairman is 50 years in. | Board and senior-management succession policy exists. |
| Interest rates | Macro | Medium | Floating-rate Molycop and parent debt. Indian rate hikes are signalled for Oct/Dec 2026 (ICRA research banner, unverified). | Expected 20–30 bp spread improvement after the refinancing. |
| Tax / litigation | Regulatory | Low | Standalone contingent liabilities of ~₹9 Cr (mainly income tax). | Immaterial. |
| ESG / safety | ESG | Low | Forging and rubber curing are energy-intensive; mining-linked. | Target −20% Scope 1+2 by FY30; ZLD at Dahej; liner recycling. |
Rising debt: YES. Margin deterioration: FY26 yes, Q1 FY27 partial recovery. Auditor concerns: no (one key audit matter only). RPT abuse: no. Promoter selling: no (only for public-shareholding compliance in FY24). Dilution: YES, plus overhang. Customer losses: Molycop mine closures. Pledge: nil.
Concall Highlights & Guidance
| Call | Key highlights | Tone |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY25 May 2025 CFO Khaitan | FY25 income ₹1,681.8 Cr (+11%), EBITDA 23%. Order book ₹1,029 Cr (₹591 Cr within 12 months). Consumables +11% vs the 15% guide, called a "deferment". Chile capex US$30–35 mn. Equipment Q4 +35%. | Confident |
| Q1 FY26 Aug 2025 | Total income ₹371.6 Cr (revenue from ops ₹356 Cr), EBITDA ₹72.5 Cr (20%). Equipment +78%. Order book ₹1,005 Cr. "On track to achieve FY26 guidance". Chile commercial production "around same time next year". DynaPrime growth guided at 15–20%+. | Confident |
| Molycop deal call 12 Sep 2025 | EV US$1.48 bn. Tega equity US$361 mn (US$110 mn debt plus US$250–260 mn equity raise). Apollo ~23% plus perpetual preference shares. Debt cut from US$1.0 bn to US$780 mn. Net debt/EBITDA <2.5x in four years. Margin 11.5% → 15%. Synergies US$20 mn (year 2) → US$30 mn (year 4). ROE 18%. FY25 Molycop EBITDA US$173 mn, FCF ~US$50 mn. 83% gold and copper. | Expansive |
| Q2 FY26 Nov 2025 | Total income ₹421.1 Cr (+15%; revenue from ops ₹405 Cr), EBITDA 20%. H1 consumables only +3%, but management "committed to full year". Equipment margin 14%. Chile commercial production "Q2 FY27". ₹2,000 Cr capital raise noted. | Confident, defensive on consumables |
| Q3 FY26 Feb 2026 | 9M EBITDA 18% (one-offs). Consumables FY26 cut to ~8%; equipment 28–30%. Stake raised to 84%. Closing expected by 31 Mar. Industry growth ~4.9%. | Cautious |
| Q4 FY26 2 Jun 2026 Interim CFO Ganguly | FY26 income ₹1,773.6 Cr (+5%); adj. EBITDA ₹396.7 Cr (22% incl. other income). Consumables flat (Middle East logistics; ~₹50 Cr finished goods stuck). Order book ₹1,206 Cr (+18%). Molycop closed 1 Jun. Debt taken over US$838 mn; parent debt ₹1,500 Cr. Leverage target now 3x in 3–4 years. Molycop FY27 growth ~3% (mine restarts pushed to FY28). Q1 one-offs ~US$30 mn flagged. FY27 guidance: consumables 15%, equipment 25% at 12–13% margin, blended 21–22% ex-Molycop. | Defensive |
| Q1 FY27 13 Aug 2026 CFO Joshi (new) | Group revenue ₹1,723 Cr; adj. EBITDA ₹264 Cr (15%); one-offs ₹191 Cr. Legacy revenue +21%; consumables +36% at 24.1% margin; equipment −44%. Molycop June revenue ₹1,292 Cr, EBITDA ₹163 Cr (+3% YoY), "directionally ahead". Goodwill ~₹5,000 Cr provisional. Molycop net debt US$672.5 mn. Group debt ₹11,200 Cr incl. ₹2,600 Cr preference. Synergies US$20 mn in 2–2.5 years; cross-sell from Q3–Q4. Chile soft start Jan-27, commercial Mar-27. FY27 consolidated margin "~15%". | Upbeat, early |
Management in their own words
"We're maintaining our guidance of about 15% CAGR on the consumables." (Mehul Mohanka, Q1 FY27)
"It would be premature to draw conclusions regarding the full year outlook based on this number of Molycop." (CFO Ravi Joshi, Q1 FY27)
"Our very primary focus will be to bring down the debt in the next 3 years to a level wherein 3x of leverage." (Himanshu Raijada, Q4 FY26)
"Around 85% of our contracts have a movement based on steel indexes." (Lance Dawber, Molycop COO, Q1 FY27)
"I'd like to begin by assuring all investors… that the debt at Molycop level carries no recourse to Tega Industries." (Mehul Mohanka, Sep-25 deal call)
Analyst Q&A that reveals risk
- Varun Jain (Dolat): "Even the past 3 years, management keeps guiding 15%, but consistently Consumable segment has been weaker." Management replied it was "cyclicality" and kept the 15%+ guide.
- Deepak (Sundaram MF): "The commentary was similar in the last 2 quarters also… that the order will come in, in the next quarter."
- Kirtan Mehta (Baroda BNP): AIP bought Molycop at ~US$1.2 bn EV (~2017) and sold at ~US$1.5 bn eight years later, so what went wrong? Management replied AIP's fund was at end of life and its IRR was likely 13–14%.
- Saurabh Ginodia (SMIFS): Molycop's EBITDA-to-PAT conversion was "almost flat" in FY25 after interest and depreciation.
- Renjith (Mahindra Manulife): "Why are the margins at 11% while AIA Engineering is at 23%?" Management: normalised ~15% excluding lost customers.
- Varun Jain: an analyst reported that a Dec-25 TV interview had Molycop growth at 7–8%, versus 3% given in Jun-26. Management said it had "never given such guidance" and blamed mine-restart deferral.
Guidance vs. outcome (credibility ledger)
| Guidance | Given | Outcome | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|
| Consumables +15% FY26 | May/Aug/Nov-25 | ~0% (₹1,434 Cr vs ₹1,430 Cr) | Missed |
| Consumables ~8% FY26 (revised) | Feb-26 | ~0% | Missed |
| Equipment +25% FY26 | May-25 | +24.6% | Met |
| Group EBITDA 21–22% (ex one-offs) | FY26 | 22% incl. OI; 18.6% ex OI | Met only incl. OI |
| Chile commercial production | Aug-25: ~Aug-26 → Nov-25/Feb-26: Q2 FY27 → Jun-26: Q3–Q4 → Aug-26: Mar-27 | Pending | Slipped ~7 months |
| Molycop closing | Sep-25: Dec-25/Jan-26 → Feb-26: by 31 Mar | 1 Jun 2026 | Late |
| Leverage | Sep-25: net <2.5x in 4 years | Jun-26: 3x in 3–4 years | Loosened |
| Order book growth | Ongoing | ₹1,029 Cr → ₹1,231 Cr (Mar-25 → Jun-26) | Delivered |
Tone over time: confident (FY25) → expansive (deal) → cautious (Feb-26) → defensive (Jun-26) → upbeat but hedged (Aug-26). Recurring themes: 15% CAGR, "timing" of orders, logistics, Chile. Contradictions: one-off totals, the stake (77% → 84.18%), the Molycop growth outlook, and the leverage target.
Growth, Outlook & Valuation
Revenue visibility
Expansion and catalysts
Next 12 months
- Q2 FY27 results (~Nov 2026): first full Molycop quarter, the true finance cost, minority share and PAT.
- Final purchase price allocation (within 12 months of 1 Jun 2026); amortisation of intangibles.
- Chile plant: soft start Jan-27, commercial production Mar-27.
- Equipment aggregates product with a Japanese partner, Q3 FY27. Execution of TMML's ₹126 Cr Kalpataru Projects order (signed Sep-26, 14 months).
- Cross-sell numbers from Q3–Q4 FY27. Non-core land sales (>US$70–75 mn).
- Possible QIP under the ₹4,000 Cr enabling resolution. AP Jupiter allotment.
3–5 years
- Cobre Panama restart (stockpile processing approved Apr-26) and Grasberg back to full output by end-CY27 → volume upside and the US$120 mn earn-out.
- Hi-chrome from 62kt to 200kt.
- Synergies of US$20 mn → US$30 mn; Molycop margin to 15–17%.
- Deleveraging to ≤3x debt/EBITDA (CRISIL upgrade trigger <3x).
- Falling ore grades and electrification-driven copper demand.
Guidance summary
| Metric | Guidance | Source |
|---|---|---|
| Consumables revenue | 15% CAGR (long term) | Q1 FY27 call |
| Equipment revenue / margin | ~25% / 12–13% | Q4 FY26 call |
| Legacy blended EBITDA (incl. OI) | 21–22% | Q4 FY26 call |
| Consolidated EBITDA margin FY27 | ~15% | Q1 FY27 call |
| Molycop (Jun-26 to Mar-27, 10 months) | Volume +~5%, EBITDA +~4%; capex ~US$28 mn | Q1 FY27 call |
| Synergies | US$20 mn in 2–2.5 years | Q1 FY27 call |
| Capex FY27 | Tega ~US$40 mn incl. Chile; Molycop US$28 mn | Q1 FY27 call |
| Leverage | 3x in 3–4 years | Q4 FY26 call |
Valuation
| Pro-forma EV build [Est.] | ₹ Cr |
|---|---|
| Market cap at ₹1,908 × 7.51 Cr shares | 14,338 |
| + Molycop net debt (US$672.5 mn) | 6,366 |
| + Parent acquisition loan | 1,500 |
| + Legacy Tega other debt less cash (approx.) | ~100 |
| + Apollo preference shares (100% as debt) | ~2,500 |
| + Apollo 15.82% common minority (at cost US$74 mn) | ~690 |
| Pro-forma EV | ~25,500 |
| + Contingent earn-out US$120 mn (if triggered) | ~1,130 |
| Pro-forma LTM EBITDA (Molycop US$191 mn + Tega ₹315 Cr ex-OI) | ~2,110 |
| EV / LTM EBITDA | ~12.1x (12.6x incl. earn-out) |
| Deal multiple paid for Molycop: US$1.455 bn ÷ US$191 mn LTM (÷ US$173 mn FY25) | 7.6x (8.4x) |
The stockanalysis EV of ₹12,376 Cr (EV/EBITDA 33x) is stale: it uses the FY26 balance sheet with parked cash and excludes Molycop debt. Do not use it.
- Legacy Tega FY27E PAT ~₹145–150 Cr. This assumes ex-OI EBITDA ₹362 Cr (+15%), normal other income ~₹40 Cr, D&A ~₹100 Cr, and interest at the new CFO's guided ₹110–120 Cr for the year, since the ₹1,500 Cr acquisition loan was undrawn at 31 Mar. Tax at 25%.
- Case A, June as run-rate. Molycop finance cost stays ~₹97 Cr/month (≈US$10.3 mn). Adj. PAT ₹10.3 Cr × 12 ≈ ₹124 Cr, of which 84.18% is attributable ≈ ₹104 Cr. Group ≈ ₹250 Cr ÷ 7.56 Cr shares ≈ ₹33 EPS, ~58x P/E.
- Case B, guided debt service. Patrick Koley guided ~US$70 mn of interest plus principal over 10 months, ≤US$7 mn/month, so June's ~US$10 mn likely included a preference accrual or one-off fee amortisation. This case assumes an all-in recurring finance cost of ~₹57 Cr/month (≈US$6 mn, within the ≤US$7 mn/month interest-plus-principal guide), which lifts Molycop pre-tax by ~₹40 Cr/month versus June. Molycop pre-tax would then be ~₹57 Cr/month (₹683 Cr a year). At ~30% tax and 84.18% ownership that is ~₹400 Cr attributable, a group total of ~₹550 Cr, and ~₹70–73 EPS, ~26–27x P/E, close to consensus. Sensitivity: if the undisclosed preference coupon (~12% on ~₹2,500 Cr ≈ ₹25 Cr/month) sits on top of ~₹45 Cr/month of interest, all-in cost is ~₹70 Cr/month and EPS falls to roughly ₹60 (~32x).
- Consensus forward P/E of 29.1x implies ~₹65 EPS. The market is pricing Case B. The gap between A and B (~₹37–40/share of EPS) depends almost entirely on the undisclosed preference coupon and on how much of June's finance cost was one-off. Q2 FY27 (first full quarter) will show which case holds.
Multiples vs history and peers
| Metric | Tega now | Tega 3-yr context | Peer range |
|---|---|---|---|
| P/E (forward consensus) | 29.1x | FY24–FY25 trailing ~45–60x on ₹29–30 EPS at ₹1,400–1,900 prices [Est.] | 17–21x (global fwd); AIA 27.7x trailing |
| P/B | 4.2x (book ₹454) | Higher pre-raise | – |
| EV/EBITDA (pro-forma LTM) | ~12.1x | Legacy traded ~25–30x+ [Est.] | 13–17x global; ~24x AIA |
| Dividend yield | 0.10% (₹2 DPS) | Flat at ₹2 | AIA 0.43% |
| Buybacks | None ever | – | – |
A precise 3-year average P/E and EV/EBITDA history was not retrievable without paid data [Gap]. Ranges are computed from reported EPS and the 52-week and 3-year price range.
Scenario targets (12–18 months) [Est.]
| Scenario | Assumptions | FY28E EBITDA | Multiple | Net debt + minority + earn-out | Value / share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bull | Consumables 15%+, Chile on time, Molycop 15% margin, mines restart, finance cost normalises | ~₹2,600 Cr | 13x | ~₹10,200 Cr | ~₹3,100 |
| Base | Consumables ~12%, Molycop +4% plus half of synergies, slow deleveraging | ~₹2,450 Cr | 11x | ~₹11,060 Cr | ~₹2,100 |
| Bear | Molycop volume flat, China pricing, rating pressure, QIP at a discount | ~₹2,150 Cr | 9x | ~₹12,130 Cr | ~₹955 |
| Probability-weighted (25/50/25) | ~₹2,060 (+8%) |
Sell-side: 4 analysts, average target ₹1,799 ("Hold") per stockanalysis.com. A Simply Wall St consensus of ₹1,914 (range ₹1,714–2,030) is undated. Named brokerages are not verified [Gap]. Equity value is highly geared to EBITDA because of the leverage: each 1x turn of multiple ≈ ₹320/share.
Final Verdict
Bull case
- Bought a global grinding-media leader at ~7.6x EBITDA. Synergies (US$20–30 mn) and mine restarts could lift Molycop EBITDA 20%+ without large capex.
- Cross-selling liners into 400+ Molycop mines makes legacy consumables growth >15% durable, with the Chile plant adding LatAm capacity.
- Deleveraging (FCF, land sales) shifts value from debt to equity, so each 1x of leverage reduction adds roughly ₹250–300/share.
Bear case
- Molycop's below-EBITDA costs (debt plus a cumulative, above-market preference coupon) leave common shareholders a few hundred crore of PAT for years. The P/E is ~58x if June's finance cost is the run-rate.
- Dilutive QIP under the ₹4,000 Cr enabling resolution at or below market, as CRISIL flags.
- Forged-media commoditisation (Chinese competition, hi-chrome substitution) plus a legacy business that keeps missing 15%.
Base case (12–18 months)
Consumables grow ~12%, Molycop EBITDA +4–6% with early synergies, and the group EBITDA margin sits ~14–15%. Debt/EBITDA drifts to ~4x by FY28. Some equity is raised. The stock tracks the ₹1,800–2,200 range, with fair value ~₹2,100.
Five things to remember
- Tega is now ~85–90% a grinding-media company. Analyse it as Molycop plus a high-margin liner business.
- Company "EBITDA" includes other income. FY26 other income was inflated by parked preferential-issue proceeds that are now deployed.
- Group debt is ₹11,200 Cr including ~₹2,600 Cr of Apollo preference shares, plus a US$120 mn earn-out due FY28.
- Q1 FY27: legacy operating EBITDA +36% YoY; Molycop June adj. PAT was only ₹10 Cr on ₹1,292 Cr of revenue.
- Promoters are the Mohanka family (nil pledge). TA Associates exited fully in the 2021 IPO. Apollo is now the key financial partner at the Molycop level.
Five questions to ask before investing
- What is the coupon, dividend policy and redemption mechanics of Apollo's ~US$270 mn preference shares, and how much of June's ₹97 Cr Molycop finance cost is recurring?
- How much equity will be raised under the ₹4,000 Cr enabling resolution, at what price, and when?
- What are Molycop's quarterly volume, EBITDA per ton and hi-chrome mix, and how much revenue is at risk from Chinese forged media in LatAm?
- Why did three CFOs serve in a year, and what controls cover a 26-plant multinational now consolidated from Kolkata?
- What is the final purchase price allocation (intangible amortisation versus goodwill), and what are the exact conditions for the US$120 mn earn-out?
Sources
Company filings and reports
- FY26 Annual Report (BSE): bseindia.com …044b03ab….pdf (segments, footprint, board, auditor, shareholders, cash flow, Molycop note 47)
- FY24 Annual Report (BSE): …2c142aed….pdf (minimum public shareholding sale, ESOP)
- FY22 Annual Report (BSE): …74888543413.pdf (IPO OFS split, Wagner CCPP conversion, listing price)
- Press release, definitive agreement and ₹1,713 Cr preferential, 29 Nov 2025: tegaindustries.com
- Q1 FY27 investor presentation (13 Aug 2026): BSE
- Q4 FY26 investor presentation (May 2026): BSE · Q3 FY26 PPT: BSE
- In-principle approval, 4,78,435 preferential shares (6 Oct 2026): BSE
- 50th AGM voting results (25 Sep 2026): BSE
- RHP (Dec 2021, SEBI): read per research notes (SEBI attachdocs file 1681882986314.pdf; path not re-verified at review) for F&S polymer-liner rank, mill-liner/hydrocyclone/trommel market sizes, top-10/20/50 customer shares and repeat-order %. DRHP listing page: sebi.gov.in
Concall transcripts (BSE)
- Q1 FY27, 13 Aug 2026: transcript
- Q4 FY26, 2 Jun 2026: transcript
- Q3 FY26, Feb 2026: transcript
- Q2 FY26, Nov 2025: transcript
- Molycop deal call, 12 Sep 2025: transcript
- Q1 FY26, Aug 2025: transcript
- Q4 FY25, May 2025: transcript
Financial databases and market data
- Screener.in, Tega consolidated: screener.in/company/TEGA/consolidated (price, P&L, BS, CF, ratios, shareholding)
- Screener.in, AIA Engineering: link
- stockanalysis.com: TEGA · Weir · Metso · FLSmidth
Credit ratings
- CRISIL rationale, 14 May 2026: crisil.com
- ICRA, 19 May 2026: icra.in (did not render; listed for completeness)
- Earlier CRISIL actions: 18 Mar 2026, 18 Dec 2025, 19 Sep 2025, 3 Jul 2025 (links via Screener documents tab)
News and secondary
- FilingReader, Molycop completion summary (1 Jun 2026): link
- FilingReader, term-sheet call summary (13 Sep 2025): link
- NSE, Reg 30 intimation, re-appointment of Ashwani Maheshwari (13 Aug 2026): nsearchives.nseindia.com · investywise summary
- Sahi, TMML ₹126 Cr contract with Kalpataru Projects (21 Sep 2026): link
- Sahi, AP Jupiter preferential (22 Aug 2026): link
- Venture Intelligence, IPO anchor book (1 Dec 2021): link
- Avendus, TA Associates investment (2011): link
- Molycop news release on the Tega and Apollo consortium: molycop.com (listed, not re-read)
- Simply Wall St narrative (consensus range): link (undated)
Known data gaps
- Apollo preference-share coupon and terms; ICRA rationale text; Molycop standalone audited financials (beyond figures given on calls).
- Named customers, top-5/top-10 concentration; supplier names; plant capacities for Tega's plants.
- FY22–FY24 capex from audited cash flows (Screener alignment unreliable); 3-year historical average P/E and EV/EBITDA.
- Exact promoter subscription in the Nov-25 preferential; full certification list; named brokerage targets.
- Private peers (Magotteaux, ME Elecmetal, Polycorp, Multotec) financials.